Premier League · resolved market
Cardiff City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec25227c07e31898b0848bd788a24b5acd8d345f0a2393b4d995fc5619406368
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,681
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,411
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,681 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 32c | 3,759$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.52 | 914 | 35.3%323 W · 591 L | -15.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 33c | 2,856$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.78 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27e4…4803backed Over | 63c | 2,500$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 39c | 2,363$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,436.11 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 38c | 2,357$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.26 | 1,044 | 33.3%348 W · 696 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 64c | 1,086$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.69 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d2…7babbacked Over | 39c | 900$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Over | 17c | 754.09$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.89 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +115.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Over | 13c | 574.69$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.98 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 14c | 563.02$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.59 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Under | 62c | 513$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…adadbacked Over | 79c | 506.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 65c | 502.29$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.46 | 593 | 32.9%195 W · 398 L | -30.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x308b…b223backed Over | 47c | 429.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.41 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Over | 17c | 416.93$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.07 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 3c | 403$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeda…8e35backed Over | 53c | 395.43$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.63 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 39c | 361.39$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.19 | 1,938 | 42.5%823 W · 1,115 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Under | 56c | 351.93$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.67 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…0a9bbacked Over | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1a…f598backed Under | 40c | 333.33$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.33 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 16c | 293$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.12 | 227 | 44.1%100 W · 127 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 15c | 257.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.29 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5e54…0466backed Over | 79c | 253.02$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…317abacked Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.5 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7356…04cfbacked Over | 49c | 204.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 60c | 166.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.27 | 353 | 47.6%168 W · 185 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 13c | 133.66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.28 | 504 | 50%252 W · 252 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 22c | 129.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.42 | 410 | 21.7%89 W · 321 L | -54.8wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Under | 20c | 113.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 204 | 25%51 W · 153 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…39bbbacked Over | 53c | 113.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.26 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba28…fa8fbacked Over | 45c | 105.97$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.97 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22fe…92c1backed Under | 71c | 95.63$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.71 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 31c | 94.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 21c | 86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 1,636 | 52.9%866 W · 770 L | +32.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 37c | 86$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 16c | 85.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.19 | 146 | 45.9%67 W · 79 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 34c | 80.68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 54c | 80$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.15 | 257 | 50.2%129 W · 128 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x059c…050ebacked Under | 18c | 71.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 28c | 65.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 33c | 64.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e7…0365backed Over | 76c | 49.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -5.0wins | -0.24per pick | 62cpaid | -21%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Over | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Over | 26c | 39.21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.03 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee0…4078backed Under | 80c | 39.05$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 37c | 37.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.66 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39f9…fcc3backed Over | 40c | 35.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 37c | 34.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -34%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae3b…e06ebacked Under | 48c | 26.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9545…d6f7backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d41…6a2ebacked Under | 47c | 24.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd1…0604backed Over | 62c | 18.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cardiff City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 1.5this page
- Cardiff City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Cardiff City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Cardiff City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Cardiff City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Cardiff City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: Cardiff City FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Cardiff City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Cardiff City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Cardiff City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Cardiff City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Cardiff City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Cardiff City FC (-1.5)Wrexham AFC won
- Spread: Wrexham AFC (-1.5)Cardiff City FC won
- Spread: Wrexham AFC (-2.5)Cardiff City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.