Premier League · resolved market
Cardiff City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42f8644f2c9db8db77a1db35c8a167ca323fecbeed557e7a7fa103d27065bf1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,529
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,759
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,529 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 62c | 21,801$13,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,392.4 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 40c | 5,977$2,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,415.83 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 39c | 2,768$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.64 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 39c | 2,484$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.56 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed No | 37c | 2,307$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.56 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 39c | 2,163$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.1 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 38c | 1,969$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.98 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 39c | 1,903$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.41 | 136 | 33.8%46 W · 90 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 61c | 1,654$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed No | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 38c | 1,339$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.15 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 39c | 1,200$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 39c | 1,153$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.27 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 14c | 1,062$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.38 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 62c | 929.45$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.65 | 543 | 40.5%220 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 44c | 682.61$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.78 | 489 | 50.1%245 W · 244 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 40c | 625$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked No | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 39c | 480$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.2 | 173 | 39.9%69 W · 104 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 39c | 452.71$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.21 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5af3…1534backed Yes | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd00c…8154backed Yes | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 40c | 300$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.5 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 39c | 300$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.1 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed Yes | 63c | 285.71$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.71 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 40c | 264.67$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.96 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 45c | 224.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.79 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6b…9fe4backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d20…8326backed No | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 42c | 156.64$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.4 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes | 63c | 155.56$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 38c | 150.49$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.93 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 50c | 131.49$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.22 | 578 | 33%191 W · 387 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 38c | 110$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed No | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ace…23d1backed No | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a62…4ab9backed Yes | 27c | 99.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed No | 37c | 96.78$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.29 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 45c | 88.94$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.87 | 141 | 44%62 W · 79 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 43c | 83.3$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.44 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 75c | 81$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 39c | 78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.17 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed No | 38c | 74.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 38c | 74.94$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 30c | 62.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.43 | 408 | 21.8%89 W · 319 L | -53.7wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 51c | 58.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 41c | 51.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed No | 39c | 51.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Yes | 61c | 50.64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed No | 39c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…fa5cbacked Yes | 76c | 44.74$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 30c | 40.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +13.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 51c | 40.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 30c | 34.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…3319backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked No | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 41c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Yes | 59c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 42c | 25.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 117 | 12%14 W · 103 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed No | 41c | 25.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd940…e682backed Yes | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd4…b303backed Yes | 60c | 23.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Yes | 63c | 20.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbace…34d6backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 62cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cardiff City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Cardiff City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Cardiff City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Cardiff City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Cardiff City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: Cardiff City FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Cardiff City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Cardiff City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Cardiff City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Cardiff City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Cardiff City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Cardiff City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Cardiff City FC (-1.5)Wrexham AFC won
- Spread: Wrexham AFC (-1.5)Cardiff City FC won
- Spread: Wrexham AFC (-2.5)Cardiff City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.