TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd00c…8154

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
80
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 55 out of 100; worst La Liga at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT3154.8%17 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jakub Mensikbacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+525%+$257.25
Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borgesbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Frances Tiafoebacked Lorenzo Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$166
Cincinnati Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$64.74
Cincinnati Open: Nuno Borges vs Thanasi Kokkinakisbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$112.5
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Alex Michelsenbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
Bonn: Max Dahlin vs Daniel Galanbacked Daniel Galan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Los Cabos Open: Cameron Norrie vs Bernard Tomicbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$61.27
Set Handicap: Atmane (-1.5) vs Tabilo (+1.5)backed Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$41.84
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Cruz Hewittbacked Cruz Hewitt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Nakashima vs. Mensik: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+40.3%+$40.35
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.38
Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Damm (+1.5)backed Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$208
Set Handicap: Nakashima (-1.5) vs Etcheverry (+1.5)backed Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$127.27
Bonn: Max Hans Rehberg vs Stefano Travagliabacked Stefano Travaglia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Set Handicap: Tiafoe (-1.5) vs Atmane (+1.5)backed Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Katie Boulterbacked Ashlyn Krueger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$108.69
Set Handicap: Tauson (-1.5) vs Cocciaretto (+1.5)backed Tauson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Tallon Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Martin Damm vs Abedallah Shelbayhbacked Martin Damm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$157.89
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Alex Boltbacked Aleksandar Vukic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$147.84
Estoril Open: Alexander Blockx vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Zug: Max Hans Rehberg vs Marc-Andrea Hueslerbacked Marc-Andrea Huesler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$150.88
Set Handicap: Bublik (-1.5) vs Halys (+1.5)backed Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+65.8%+$164.39
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+24.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
PAOK vs. SK Brann: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$234.78
RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$76.76
KF Víkingur vs. FC Thun: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$123.64
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-08-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$49.96
Will FC St. Gallen win on 2026-08-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$254.61
PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad vs. MH Hapoel Tel Aviv: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$56.47
Will PAOK win on 2026-07-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$425.93
Will PAOK win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+140.4%+$7,018.73
Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2026-07-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,555Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,554.94
Will MŠK Žilina vs. HNK Hajduk Split end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,698Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,697.64
Will FK Sarajevo win on 2026-07-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,431Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,430.75
All 12 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-27.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+38.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+23.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$158.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: Elche CF O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie Alast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Torino FC vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$184.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,600
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.