Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Tiafoe (-1.5) vs Atmane (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57100d0bbb00f2f83b17ff7360f7805ccaabc4ad86cd427091054295d0e635d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atmaneof Tiafoe, Atmane
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,543
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,146
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,543 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa9bc…d6d1backed Tiafoe | 3c | 22,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 6cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Atmane | 51c | 5,490$2,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,667.65 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Tiafoe | 49c | 2,624$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.76 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Tiafoe | 51c | 1,899$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.52 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Tiafoe | 19c | 1,510$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.2 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed Tiafoe | 18c | 1,420$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.7 | 171 | 36.3%62 W · 109 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Atmane | 46c | 1,413$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.86 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Tiafoe | 48c | 1,083$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.68 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84b1…51b8backed Tiafoe | 13c | 599.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab70…774cbacked Tiafoe | 70c | 376.6$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.62 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6797…e0e5backed Tiafoe | 71c | 376.06$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 262 | 63%165 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Atmane | 74c | 358$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.08 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bc…42c1backed Tiafoe | 49c | 309.17$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a19…ad3abacked Tiafoe | 49c | 290.13$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd00c…8154backed Tiafoe | 48c | 209.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0c…7047backed Tiafoe | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 256 | 33.6%86 W · 170 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Atmane | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 265 | 55.8%148 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Tiafoe | 51c | 94.95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.42 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…d03bbacked Atmane | 51c | 88.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Atmane | 51c | 86.12$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 559 | 41.3%231 W · 328 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…b3eabacked Atmane | 53c | 79.46$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.46 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Atmane | 74c | 67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Atmane | 51c | 66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 384 | 46.4%178 W · 206 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Atmane | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Atmane | 52c | 56.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.35 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Tiafoe | 28c | 52.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2530…8876backed Tiafoe | 49c | 48.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…0e95backed Atmane | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed Tiafoe | 34c | 39.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 183 | 56.3%103 W · 80 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Atmane | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…ceecbacked Tiafoe | 48c | 27.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Atmane | 52c | 27.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Tiafoe | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1,226 | 52%637 W · 589 L | +44.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Atmane | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 348 | 51.1%178 W · 170 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Atmane | 51c | 19.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 586 | 65.5%384 W · 202 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Atmane | 52c | 19.24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 553 | 47.6%263 W · 290 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Tiafoe (-1.5) vs Atmane (+1.5)this page
- Frances Tiafoe vs. Terence Atmane: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Mubadala Citi DC Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence AtmaneTerence Atmane won
- Set 1 Winner: Tiafoe vs AtmaneTiafoe won
- Set 2 Winner: Tiafoe vs AtmaneAtmane won
- Tiafoe vs. Atmane: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Tiafoe vs. Atmane: Match O/U 23.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.