Tennis · resolved market
Tiafoe vs. Atmane: Match O/U 22.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5cbebee1fe52c24d2a3a52cf98b87b1c6185dacdbcc1aff1dd1c5b1fd894a33d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,076
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,111
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,076 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe98c…8792backed Over | 55c | 1,985$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.05 | 298 | 40.9%122 W · 176 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 45c | 1,428$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.48 | 4,070 | 39.7%1,617 W · 2,453 L | +92.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed Under | 19c | 1,420$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.2 | 171 | 36.3%62 W · 109 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 58c | 1,032$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.83 | 4,126 | 44.6%1,842 W · 2,284 L | +13.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 46c | 717.63$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.42 | 1,143 | 41.3%472 W · 671 L | +23.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 45c | 700$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 9,231 | 44.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L | -241.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Under | 6c | 699.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 46c | 677.52$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.87 | 2,137 | 36.8%787 W · 1,350 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…6f13backed Over | 54c | 648.15$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.15 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 79c | 549.17$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.99 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b1…51b8backed Under | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…c520backed Over | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 299 | 48.5%145 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x470a…881ebacked Over | 54c | 312.47$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.74 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Over | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 401 | 44.4%178 W · 223 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…8b19backed Under | 46c | 150.92$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.16 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ae…d117backed Under | 46c | 106.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.15 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Under | 49c | 100.28$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 559 | 41.3%231 W · 328 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Under | 46c | 97.69$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.83 | 6,998 | 39.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L | -16.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked Under | 43c | 90$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 263 | 45.6%120 W · 143 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Under | 46c | 87.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 51c | 79.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.84 | 3,809 | 45.4%1,730 W · 2,079 L | -35.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 46c | 72.17$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2,404 | 51.7%1,244 W · 1,160 L | +12.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d12…ccc3backed Under | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Over | 49c | 65.46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 965 | 41.5%400 W · 565 L | +14.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53d3…cc48backed Over | 49c | 61.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.17 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 46c | 44.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 509 | 48.1%245 W · 264 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…ceecbacked Under | 49c | 43.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 50c | 43.7$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 6,419 | 46.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Under | 48c | 42.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 1,534 | 42.4%651 W · 883 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked Under | 45c | 42.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 396 | 48%190 W · 206 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 46c | 37.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 504 | 45.8%231 W · 273 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…2ce1backed Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 2,399 | 50.6%1,215 W · 1,184 L | +76.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 1,013 | 53.8%545 W · 468 L | +35.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7734…017dbacked Over | 54c | 28.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 136 | 58.1%79 W · 57 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x853f…bdf1backed Over | 55c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Under | 46c | 21.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc09d…d110backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…b515backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…98f9backed Over | 55c | 19.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tiafoe vs. Atmane: Match O/U 22.5this page
- Frances Tiafoe vs. Terence Atmane: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Mubadala Citi DC Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence AtmaneTerence Atmane won
- Set 1 Winner: Tiafoe vs AtmaneTiafoe won
- Set 2 Winner: Tiafoe vs AtmaneAtmane won
- Set Handicap: Tiafoe (-1.5) vs Atmane (+1.5)Atmane won
- Tiafoe vs. Atmane: Match O/U 23.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.