TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9644…d03b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
458
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT37047%174 W · 196 L-18.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 370 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open, Qualification WTA: Madison Brengle vs Anastasia Gasanovabacked Madison Brengle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$18.36
Taylor Fritz vs. Brandon Nakashima: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.9
Fils vs. Minaur: Match O/U 22.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$122.01
Set Handicap: Pegula (-1.5) vs Navarro (+1.5)backed Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.86
Set Handicap: Shnaider (-1.5) vs Chwalinska (+1.5)backed Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+91.3%+$141.5
Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Gibson (+1.5)backed Gibson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.44
Set Handicap: Rybakina (-1.5) vs Townsend (+1.5)backed Townsend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Set Handicap: Noskova (-1.5) vs Boulter (+1.5)backed Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.26
Set Handicap: Arango (-1.5) vs Williams (+1.5)backed Williams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.05
Kostyuk vs. Swiatek: Match O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Set Handicap: Bencic (-1.5) vs Townsend (+1.5)backed Townsend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$105.72
Set Handicap: Gauff (-1.5) vs Sakkari (+1.5)backed Sakkari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Set Handicap: Samsonova (-1.5) vs Joint (+1.5)backed Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.75
Set Handicap: Jovic (-1.5) vs Korneeva (+1.5)backed Korneeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$19.8
Set Handicap: Pegula (-1.5) vs Rakhimova (+1.5)backed Rakhimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.05
National Bank Open: Talia Gibson vs Ekaterina Alexandrovabacked Talia Gibson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.55
National Bank Open: Maria Sakkari vs Zeynep Sonmezbacked Maria Sakkari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+66.1%+$46.83
National Bank Open: Clara Tauson vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Clara Tauson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.05
National Bank Open: Anna Kalinskaya vs McCartney Kesslerbacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+64%+$15.08
National Bank Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$19.68
National Bank Open: Maja Chwalinska vs Talia Gibsonbacked Talia Gibson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$90.12
National Bank Open: Donna Vekic vs Viktorija Golubicbacked Donna Vekic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.4
National Bank Open: Camila Osorio vs Ekaterina Alexandrovabacked Ekaterina Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$60.68
National Bank Open: Elina Svitolina vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.9
National Bank Open: Tatjana Maria vs Caty McNallybacked Tatjana Maria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.8
Showing 25 of 370 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST3345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Suns: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$24.38
Warriors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$153.18
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$11.53
Raptors vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+122.2%+$26.92
Nuggets vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$68.59
Pelicans vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$83.19
Kings vs. Cavaliers: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+108.3%+$33.34
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$28.7
Bucks vs. Hawks: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$27.98
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$75.84
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+104.2%+$37.58
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 239.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+104.1%+$15.31
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+93%+$299.94
Suns vs. Nets: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$26.07
Suns vs. Nets: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+121.1%+$38.8
Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$38.6
Spread: Knicks (-9.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+112.8%+$16.96
Jazz vs. Spurs: O/U 242.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$101.1
Spread: Clippers (-6.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+113.6%+$123.78
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$244.27
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+114.1%+$68.9
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$305
Knicks vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,723Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$2,722.79
Pistons vs. Hawksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,715Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+93.8%+$1,608.77
Warriors vs. Magicbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$280
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Alexander Poppeck vs. Jovan Leka (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Jovan Leka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$16.76
UFC Fight Night: Damien Anderson vs. Ezra Elliott (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Damien Anderson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.55
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Ilia Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$4,512Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,512.47
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Sean O'Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$475Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$141.89
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Bo Nickal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$331Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$128.8
UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alonzo Menifield · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$624Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+227.9%+$1,421.47
UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Jose Henrique (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Jose Henrique · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$568Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$614.94
UFC Fight Night: Aoriqileng vs. Cody Haddon (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Aoriqileng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.15
UFC Fight Night: Rodrigo Vera vs. Zhu Kangjie (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Rodrigo Vera · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+111.6%+$168.63
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Arnold Allen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,530Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,412.59
UFC Fight Night: Modestas Bukauskas vs. Christian Edwards (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Christian Edwards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$235.61
UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Malcolm Wellmaker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.79
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Joaquin Buckley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$589Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$588.52
UFC 328: Jeremy Stephens vs. King Green (Lightweight, Main Card)backed King Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,048Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$295.67
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alexander Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,547Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+81%+$1,253.09
All 15 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST1457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed SK Slavia Praha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$53
Juventus FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+104.1%+$15.3
Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)backed Athletic Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$405Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+47.1%+$190.5
Atalanta BC vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$13.01
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$439.69
Sporting CP vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10.41
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$432Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$432.03
Spread: Club Brugge KV (-1.5)backed Club Brugge KV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+150%+$28.2
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-11-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$330
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+69.5%+$205
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$2,481Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+212%+$5,259.55
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+29.9%+$34.81
Will PSV win on 2025-11-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+61.3%+$76
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+66.7%+$80
All 14 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+39.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+127.3%+$18.59
Devils vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+132.6%+$19.95
Ducks vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$570
Sabres vs. Red Wingsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+163.2%+$1,239.99
Oilers vs. Hurricanesbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$920Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+117.4%+$1,080
Islanders vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$1,300
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$1,099.99
Sharks vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$639Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$639.44
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+194.1%+$660
Penguins vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,820Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+64.8%+$1,179.99
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST1020%2 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-73%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$195
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+37%+$95.99
Will Bournemouth vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$13.5
Will Brentford win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$67.65
Will Tottenham win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$585Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$585
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,540Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$1,539.97
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,695Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$1,695
Will West Ham win on 2025-12-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will Newcastle vs. Manchester City end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$337Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+33.4%+$112.72
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$115
All 10 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will KRC Genk win on 2025-11-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$395
Will PAOK win on 2025-11-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$176.54
Will FC Porto win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,322Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$1,322.14
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)backed Tunisia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+107.3%+$24.84
Spread: Morocco (-2.5)backed Haiti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$11.85
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$31.89
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.