TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Rangers vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$661,549
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$673,436

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $661,549 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Under46c300,000$137,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162,45822443.8%98 W · 126 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over54c290,260$156,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156,740.3939047.9%187 W · 203 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Under46c139,077$63,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75,426.2320354.2%110 W · 93 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Over54c94,222$50,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,879.821,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d8a…e842backed Over56c69,757$39,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,064.132458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under44c59,792$26,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,483.5856152%292 W · 269 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Over55c45,000$24,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,75026849.6%133 W · 135 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Over55c23,000$12,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,699.993243.8%14 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe73e…74febacked Over55c22,227$12,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,2251741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Under46c21,750$10,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,7453262.5%20 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+23.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under45c10,000$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,50010650%53 W · 53 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Over56c9,683$5,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,422.7414553.1%77 W · 68 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over55c9,289$5,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,098.522,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Over55c8,564$4,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,710.278848.9%43 W · 45 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Under45c8,535$3,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,694.1448545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under46c8,112$3,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,380.361,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Over55c8,000$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,40012947.3%61 W · 68 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over55c5,247$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,900.032,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over55c3,232$1,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,777.661953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Under45c3,199$1,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,759.2515949.7%79 W · 80 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Over55c3,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,65022546.2%104 W · 121 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae2f…fd04backed Under46c2,739$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,479.12850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Under45c2,165$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,190.922550.2%113 W · 112 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over55c2,025$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,112.581,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over55c1,818$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00085250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Over55c1,818$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under44c1,673$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931.881,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over56c1,537$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.6818547%87 W · 98 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed Over16c1,500$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.123250%16 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Over16c1,453$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.6815238.8%59 W · 93 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under46c1,231$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.392,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over55c1,145$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.7583149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over14c1,008$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.41,10752%576 W · 531 L+63.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e82…7670backed Over54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5404045%18 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Over54c999.99$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54027048.1%130 W · 140 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Over56c900$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5049157.1%52 W · 39 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under44c699.99$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.21,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over12c614.3$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.121,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over55c545.45$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30062346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Under46c533.6$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.1431550.8%160 W · 155 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over55c500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27558352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Over55c500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2757357.5%42 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under45c499.96$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.9823751.5%122 W · 115 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Over55c454.87$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.1817057.1%97 W · 73 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under44c444$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.6449546.5%230 W · 265 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under45c425.45$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.0227453.6%147 W · 127 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea93…d9bdbacked Under46c415.02$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.112147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under45c400$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22076450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Over55c360.63$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20048552.2%253 W · 232 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over55c358.3$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.4593953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Over56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020655.3%114 W · 92 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed Over56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009346.2%43 W · 50 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over15c326.2$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.561,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c36…36a0backed Under45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1651471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+37.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Under44c298.96$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.4216254.9%89 W · 73 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over14c298$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.891,05442.5%448 W · 606 L-25.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe975…9d22backed Over55c293.45$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16033154.1%179 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Over55c272.73$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under44c238.86$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.7660741%249 W · 358 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Over55c218.18$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12039649.5%196 W · 200 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Under46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10826547.5%126 W · 139 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe77b…f10abacked Over55c197.83$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.816960.9%42 W · 27 L+6.3wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Under45c195.27$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.43342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5995…3385backed Over55c181.8$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.995959.3%35 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over36c151.47$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.281,53051.7%791 W · 739 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Under44c150.39$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.2221856.4%123 W · 95 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x61f6…1a20backed Over16c141.46$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.91825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-61.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe017…52c8backed Over55c136.36$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over55c136.15$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.623,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Over10c135.66$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.928368.7%57 W · 26 L+12.3wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+30.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x460d…9d5fbacked Over17c132.58$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.25333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-51%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b79…a497backed Over57c130.07$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.072339.1%9 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-22%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Over17c120.54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4313941.7%58 W · 81 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x664b…00b3backed Over55c112.6$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.9318551.9%96 W · 89 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1cb…fb77backed Over14c110.7$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.626040%24 W · 36 L-8.6wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-27.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Over55c108.62$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7436852.2%192 W · 176 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over54c108.1$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3778651.8%407 W · 379 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf836…e7b5backed Over56c107.59$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.256541.5%27 W · 38 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x53c2…cdb2backed Under47c106.74$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.746448.4%31 W · 33 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d0e…e0cdbacked Under38c104.29$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.85450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+30.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x485e…fcb5backed Over21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20825%2 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-56%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Over55c91.6$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3849053.7%263 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Over55c91.6$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3828550.2%143 W · 142 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4301…6fc0backed Over55c90.71$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.891947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked Under47c86.01$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.017358.9%43 W · 30 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed Over55c84.98$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.749147.3%43 W · 48 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x38ac…6356backed Over62c80.26$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.76850%4 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-35.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe7ea…066ebacked Over55c80$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x40bd…4c35backed Over63c78.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.76560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick72cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07a6…ca7dbacked Over63c78.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.761457.1%8 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick73cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under46c77.2$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6922443.3%97 W · 127 L+1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x643d…cce1backed Over67c74.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501471.4%10 W · 4 L-0.1wins0.00per pick72cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd65a…632cbacked Over67c73.2$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.041080%8 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc82…6421backed Over55c72.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406947.8%33 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x135c…0c80backed Over55c72.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402661.5%16 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6495…39e5backed Over56c71.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7055…9717backed Over54c71.36$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.532540%10 W · 15 L-4.7wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-32.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbd44…abc8backed Under76c65.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.531250%6 W · 6 L-3.0wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-32.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Over55c63.64$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3543256.5%244 W · 188 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over56c62.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3511153.2%59 W · 52 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.