NHL · resolved market
Spread: Sharks (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00ed05083c5662ad52725bd536a046e9e20d9ce9a44c30452cc55e5913618ce8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sharksof Sharks, Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,223
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,203
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,223 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Sharks | 34c | 6,767$2,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,466.21 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Rangers | 66c | 6,477$4,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,274.54 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Sharks | 30c | 550.54$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.29 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Sharks | 51c | 350.5$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.74 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Rangers | 70c | 342.86$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 226 | 55.8%126 W · 100 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rangers | 49c | 250.5$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.75 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Sharks | 36c | 250$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f49…7458backed Rangers | 66c | 227.27$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.9wins | -0.29per pick | 52cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Rangers | 68c | 214.08$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.3 | 317 | 53.3%169 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Rangers | 65c | 125.1$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.7 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Rangers | 69c | 115.47$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Rangers | 69c | 97.14$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.03 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Rangers | 66c | 90.91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 336 | 60.7%204 W · 132 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12a1…4e4dbacked Rangers | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Sharks | 33c | 83.29$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.93 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Sharks | 32c | 77.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.56 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Sharks | 31c | 73.05$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.04 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Rangers | 70c | 72.86$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ad…8b71backed Rangers | 69c | 72.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Sharks | 31c | 64.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.84 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Sharks | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Rangers | 67c | 53.25$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.81 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Sharks | 31c | 51.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.65 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefa…e9e3backed Sharks | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +8.5wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Sharks | 36c | 49.89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.93 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Rangers | 64c | 49.89$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.93 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Rangers | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Rangers | 64c | 35.28$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Sharks | 32c | 34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87de…6e5bbacked Sharks | 31c | 32.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Rangers | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Rangers | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8677…4d2cbacked Rangers | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd164…f17bbacked Rangers | 69c | 26.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Rangers | 64c | 18.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Rangers | 66c | 16.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Sharks (-1.5)this page
- Rangers vs. SharksSharks won
- Rangers vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.