NHL · resolved market
Rangers vs. Sharks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3129574d3bff860fcd8743009586a8de2975a01a0ec0df4eb9e6c8e699eb53b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sharksof Rangers, Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $732,899
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $844,847
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $732,899 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 558 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Rangers | 48c | 150,000$72,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,999.95 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Rangers | 47c | 102,777$48,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,304.97 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ae…3020backed Sharks | 53c | 94,340$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,339.62 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Sharks | 52c | 48,554$25,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,305.75 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb859…e244backed Sharks | 52c | 44,800$23,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,504.05 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Sharks | 53c | 44,368$23,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,817.1 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Sharks | 52c | 30,427$15,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,605.06 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Rangers | 48c | 30,000$14,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,399.99 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Sharks | 52c | 29,260$15,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,044.8 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Sharks | 52c | 17,759$9,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,498.77 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Sharks | 52c | 12,401$6,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,952.48 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Rangers | 46c | 11,344$5,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,218.24 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Sharks | 52c | 11,025$5,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,291.77 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Sharks | 52c | 10,993$5,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,276.83 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5836…4d03backed Rangers | 47c | 10,664$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Rangers | 48c | 10,321$4,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,937.72 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Rangers | 16c | 10,052$1,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637.21 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Rangers | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Sharks | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Sharks | 52c | 9,430$4,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,526.59 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Rangers | 47c | 9,365$4,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,404.65 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Sharks | 52c | 8,852$4,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,248.96 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Rangers | 46c | 6,514$2,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,996.36 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Rangers | 8c | 6,508$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.93 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Rangers | 47c | 6,500$3,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,046.47 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fff…5c34backed Rangers | 13c | 5,953$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.38 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Rangers | 47c | 5,929$2,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,786.49 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Rangers | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.98 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Rangers | 48c | 4,772$2,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,267.68 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Rangers | 48c | 4,625$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,220 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Sharks | 52c | 4,500$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.99 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Rangers | 14c | 4,072$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.02 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Sharks | 52c | 3,842$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.31 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Rangers | 47c | 3,719$1,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,745.48 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Rangers | 0c | 3,553$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sharks | 80c | 3,469$2,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.27 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Sharks | 53c | 2,830$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.19 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Rangers | 45c | 2,618$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.28 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Sharks | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Sharks | 52c | 2,425$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.13 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Sharks | 52c | 2,200$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Rangers | 1c | 2,184$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rangers | 17c | 2,174$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.43 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f4…5bc0backed Rangers | 48c | 2,088$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Rangers | 48c | 2,009$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.48 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Rangers | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Sharks | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rangers | 48c | 1,872$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.07 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Sharks | 53c | 1,802$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.67 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Rangers | 48c | 1,600$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Rangers | 48c | 1,600$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6183…575fbacked Sharks | 52c | 1,538$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.46 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x293f…3e52backed Rangers | 49c | 1,531$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Sharks | 52c | 1,442$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.31 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Sharks | 52c | 1,373$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.08 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d8…480bbacked Sharks | 52c | 1,288$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.29 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Rangers | 11c | 1,265$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.43 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7774…de59backed Sharks | 55c | 1,258$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.1 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +55%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee4…44f7backed Rangers | 45c | 1,258$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.1 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…8a6dbacked Sharks | 55c | 1,255$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.75 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec2…6c3ebacked Rangers | 45c | 1,255$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.75 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Rangers | 47c | 1,200$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.99 | 352 | 45.2%159 W · 193 L | -19.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca6…4123backed Sharks | 55c | 1,194$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.3 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14a8…504bbacked Rangers | 45c | 1,194$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.3 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4239…969cbacked Sharks | 55c | 1,193$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.85 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d6…0b0fbacked Rangers | 45c | 1,193$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.85 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a0…0e1fbacked Sharks | 55c | 1,186$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.7 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa7bd…1a8ebacked Rangers | 45c | 1,186$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.7 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82b7…cc32backed Sharks | 52c | 1,165$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.2 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Sharks | 52c | 1,153$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.44 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Sharks | 52c | 1,152$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.96 | 167 | 52.7%88 W · 79 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe072…beb5backed Rangers | 45c | 1,112$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a9…6659backed Sharks | 55c | 1,112$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Sharks | 52c | 1,100$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368a…b220backed Sharks | 55c | 1,081$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.45 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x319c…d514backed Rangers | 45c | 1,081$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.45 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7b…4f82backed Rangers | 45c | 1,080$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d7…41ebbacked Sharks | 55c | 1,080$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d7…da9fbacked Rangers | 45c | 1,047$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.15 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6b…5437backed Sharks | 55c | 1,047$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b92…7f6ebacked Rangers | 45c | 1,047$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.15 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…3feabacked Sharks | 55c | 1,047$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.15 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd7…02f6backed Rangers | 45c | 1,045$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbc…1c20backed Sharks | 55c | 1,045$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9764…c40cbacked Rangers | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc528…908cbacked Rangers | 45c | 1,040$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x368f…bdfcbacked Rangers | 45c | 1,040$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37d…b897backed Sharks | 55c | 1,040$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ced…e419backed Sharks | 55c | 1,040$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa565…5eb0backed Rangers | 45c | 1,040$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x803d…d287backed Sharks | 55c | 1,040$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f04…ff63backed Rangers | 45c | 1,035$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.75 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3662…444fbacked Sharks | 55c | 1,035$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.75 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62bb…fc73backed Sharks | 55c | 1,034$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.3 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Sharks | 54c | 1,032$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.56 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dac…9faabacked Sharks | 55c | 1,018$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.1 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa258…8b4bbacked Rangers | 45c | 1,018$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.1 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c1…5f67backed Sharks | 55c | 1,005$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.25 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Sharks | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Sharks | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 295 | 51.9%153 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rangers vs. Sharksthis page
- Rangers vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Sharks (-1.5)Sharks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.