TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x87de…6e5b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
137
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: UFC, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 50 out of 100; worst NBA at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST6440.6%26 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oregon Ducks vs. Washington Huskiesbacked Oregon Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs: O/U 141.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-3.5)backed Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+127.3%+$12.73
Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Buffalo Bullsbacked Buffalo Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Lafayette Leopards vs. Lehigh Mountain Hawksbacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+73.9%+$14.78
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Baylor Bears: O/U 148.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+112.8%+$11.28
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. Southern Jaguars: O/U 156.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+104.1%+$10.41
Spread: Prairie View A&M Panthers (-3.5)backed Prairie View A&M Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Prairie View A&M Panthers (-2.5)backed Prairie View A&M Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Prairie View A&M Panthers (-4.5)backed Prairie View A&M Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Alabama State Hornets vs. Prairie View A&M Panthers: O/U 158.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Spread: UC Davis Aggies (-8.5)backed UC Riverside Highlanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+117.4%+$11.74
Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-10.5)backed Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Bowling Green Falcons vs. Toledo Rockets: O/U 158.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Auburn Tigers vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Auburn Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+614.3%+$61.43
Spread: Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros (-2.5)backed Houston Christian Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10
San Jose State Spartans vs. Wyoming Cowboys: O/U 142.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+112.8%+$11.28
Spread: Bethune-Cookman Wildcats (-8.5)backed Jackson State Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Eastern Kentucky Colonels vs. Jacksonville Dolphinsbacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+218.2%+$43.63
North Dakota State Bison vs. Oral Roberts Golden Eaglesbacked Oral Roberts Golden Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Queens (NC) Royals (-7.5)backed West Georgia Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+117.4%+$11.74
Houston Cougars vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Morgan State Bears vs. Howard Bison: O/U 148.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Florida International Golden Panthers vs. New Mexico State Aggies: O/U 157.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST4334.9%15 W · 28 L-5.9wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-27.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Spread: Heat (-6.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Lakers vs. Mavericks: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 246.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Heat vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+96.1%+$9.61
Celtics vs. Bullsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10.01
Wizards vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Raptors vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Raptors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Bucks (-8.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Bucks (-7.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Bucks (-6.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Celtics vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Pelicans vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Celtics vs. Nets: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Celtics vs. Nets: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Rockets vs. Pistonsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+163.2%+$16.32
Rockets vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST2334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+117.4%+$11.74
Ducks vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Panthers vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Penguins vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Golden Knights vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+127.3%+$12.73
Avalanche vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Panthers vs. Wildbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+132.6%+$13.26
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Red Wings vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Jets (-1.5)backed Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Red Wings vs. Jets: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+88.7%+$8.87
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)backed Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Kings vs. Blues: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Sabres vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Islanders (-1.5)backed Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Rangers vs. Sharksbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Sharks (-1.5)backed Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+222.6%+$22.26
Devils vs. Canucksbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+29.9%+$2.99
Flyers vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Blues vs. Starsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)backed Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+96.1%+$9.61
Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+104.1%+$10.41
Penguins vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 23 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed O'Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.77
UFC 324: Allen vs. Silva (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Allen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.