NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 228.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f71b74ba81996dafe6bbe5cf8a82370e9d99c63b58d5d02a086ff7b1326605f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $197,957
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $201,022
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $197,957 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8e6…d504backed Over | 47c | 58,977$27,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,901.76 | 210 | 57.1%120 W · 90 L | +20.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Under | 52c | 17,393$9,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,266.39 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 53c | 12,695$6,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,993.94 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Under | 55c | 11,141$6,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,013.33 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 52c | 9,000$4,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,320 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc96…8a0bbacked Over | 48c | 8,400$4,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,032 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce2f…aa56backed Over | 48c | 8,400$4,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,032 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d04…9435backed Under | 52c | 8,400$4,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,032 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…cd76backed Over | 48c | 8,400$4,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,032 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf32…e0e7backed Over | 48c | 8,400$4,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,032 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe4db…309dbacked Under | 52c | 8,400$4,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,032 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…103dbacked Under | 52c | 8,400$4,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,032 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb482…e3ecbacked Under | 52c | 8,400$4,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,032 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e27…3cccbacked Under | 52c | 8,145$4,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,909.6 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafd1…da41backed Over | 48c | 8,145$3,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,909.6 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 22c | 7,661$1,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,648 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4d…8324backed Over | 50c | 4,016$2,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,008 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c73…3e90backed Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7212…8713backed Over | 50c | 3,160$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x273f…94d8backed Under | 50c | 3,022$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9d…f092backed Over | 50c | 3,011$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe8…2649backed Over | 50c | 2,828$1,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,414 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc037…e1c2backed Over | 50c | 2,751$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84fe…80febacked Under | 50c | 2,688$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32e5…d066backed Under | 50c | 2,626$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 52c | 2,516$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.42 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d06…84fabacked Under | 50c | 2,501$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…5342backed Under | 50c | 2,415$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x967a…42cbbacked Over | 50c | 2,415$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2493…faefbacked Over | 50c | 2,233$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…564bbacked Under | 50c | 2,216$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb109…04debacked Over | 50c | 2,188$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.02 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3231…892cbacked Over | 50c | 2,070$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb369…c0c7backed Over | 50c | 2,010$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Over | 45c | 2,000$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890 | 228 | 45.2%103 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6125…1b5fbacked Under | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 54c | 1,944$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.23 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3997…4d22backed Over | 50c | 1,920$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…0cdebacked Under | 50c | 1,878$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2a…6079backed Under | 50c | 1,813$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97f5…21e2backed Over | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 53c | 1,690$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.45 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 46c | 1,679$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.61 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36cc…e392backed Under | 50c | 1,514$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 53c | 1,437$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.9 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Under | 54c | 1,426$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.15 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 44c | 1,241$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.95 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x782f…d6bfbacked Under | 50c | 1,215$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7001…9911backed Under | 50c | 1,201$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Under | 51c | 1,166$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.49 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…cd08backed Under | 50c | 1,102$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 51c | 1,024$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.76 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x870a…bd43backed Under | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 997.27$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.66 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 40c | 950$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7a…ef07backed Under | 50c | 819$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd85a…f230backed Under | 50c | 677$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f4…5bc0backed Under | 51c | 547.64$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.34 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 52c | 531.12$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.18 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 14c | 513.03$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.84 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Under | 78c | 486.24$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.1 | 271 | 44.3%120 W · 151 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Over | 47c | 439.98$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.79 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Over | 46c | 439.13$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfa…5cd1backed Under | 50c | 422$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…7a4ebacked Over | 46c | 410.87$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 46c | 389.03$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.47 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…bc49backed Over | 50c | 363$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Over | 53c | 335.85$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 53c | 320.97$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.04 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0de…4ba6backed Under | 50c | 303$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…38cbbacked Under | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Over | 50c | 297$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Over | 49c | 204.3$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.38 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe47d…c824backed Under | 50c | 201$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68e4…00bdbacked Over | 46c | 163.04$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 46c | 157.71$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.83 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 61c | 156.1$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.73 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237b…3e81backed Under | 50c | 152$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…5b70backed Under | 51c | 146.53$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.53 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 62c | 142.85$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.73 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed84…09d3backed Under | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e97…7680backed Under | 56c | 125$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 56c | 120$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.15 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 29c | 117.85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.15 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd448…f700backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Over | 50c | 102$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c3…7336backed Over | 45c | 95.56$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf30e…b2f1backed Under | 65c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee4f…c0f0backed Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 47c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 80c | 78$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Under | 70c | 71.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Over | 52c | 71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 403 | 44.4%179 W · 224 L | -23.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…9717backed Over | 49c | 61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 49c | 60.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.54 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 228.5this page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-0.5)Cavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. MagicCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Magic: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 226.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 227.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 229.5Under won
- De'Andre Hunter: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Jaylon Tyson: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Sam Merrill: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Magic (-2.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.