NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Magic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd32bca26a2e0691b235c19a79a7ab1893289be98e987a811cfadc9d927df9ccd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,560,040
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,704,247
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,560,040 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 245,400$120,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124,949.82 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Magic | 51c | 199,196$102,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102,089.86 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Magic | 29c | 116,590$33,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,684.98 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…d504backed Cavaliers | 50c | 100,000$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,000 | 210 | 57.1%120 W · 90 L | +20.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…cca9backed Magic | 51c | 100,000$50,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,599.94 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Magic | 52c | 75,955$39,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,496.81 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 70,417$33,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,616.67 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…67efbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 60,021$29,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,610.69 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 47,774$22,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,996.7 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Magic | 51c | 45,000$22,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,949.95 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cavaliers | 67c | 44,919$29,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,956.7 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Cavaliers | 50c | 44,089$21,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,209.67 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Cavaliers | 49c | 40,036$19,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,218.31 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Magic | 52c | 40,000$20,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,799.99 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Magic | 41c | 37,643$15,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,422.03 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Magic | 6c | 30,642$1,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,927.47 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Magic | 50c | 30,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…c2a3backed Cavaliers | 50c | 25,000$12,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,500 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Magic | 52c | 24,039$12,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,500.3 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a3…b0fdbacked Magic | 3c | 21,049$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.98 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Magic | 51c | 20,663$10,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,445.01 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…f78ebacked Magic | 40c | 20,079$7,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,968.32 | 133 | 39.1%52 W · 81 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…35aebacked Magic | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Magic | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Magic | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Magic | 51c | 19,608$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Cavaliers | 62c | 19,554$12,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,480.16 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Magic | 0c | 19,447$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 18,530$8,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,635.8 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Magic | 0c | 18,435$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Magic | 34c | 18,000$6,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,119.97 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Magic | 51c | 16,674$8,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,447.37 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Magic | 52c | 15,846$8,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,239.8 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Cavaliers | 48c | 15,077$7,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,906.87 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 15,000$7,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,815 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Magic | 50c | 14,706$7,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,352.94 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cavaliers | 49c | 14,515$7,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,378.06 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cavaliers | 73c | 14,341$10,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,846.4 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Magic | 50c | 14,310$7,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,154.91 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…11a0backed Magic | 53c | 14,208$7,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,530 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Magic | 53c | 14,166$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb48f…d015backed Magic | 50c | 13,794$6,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,897 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79e5…9417backed Cavaliers | 60c | 13,502$8,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,395.64 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Cavaliers | 47c | 12,797$6,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,782.23 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Cavaliers | 53c | 12,760$6,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,942.42 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Cavaliers | 64c | 11,768$7,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,177.47 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9739…f58ebacked Magic | 51c | 11,543$5,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,887 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2580…1d56backed Cavaliers | 47c | 11,448$5,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,052.71 | 117 | 37.6%44 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Magic | 51c | 11,043$5,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,604.79 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Magic | 51c | 10,317$5,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,286.04 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e9…3a5fbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 10,209$5,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,206.54 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Cavaliers | 48c | 10,140$4,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,267.2 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…eeafbacked Magic | 51c | 10,100$5,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,151 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Magic | 50c | 10,075$5,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,037.5 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d2…cc46backed Magic | 50c | 10,038$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +29%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Magic | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked Cavaliers | 63c | 10,000$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,700 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Magic | 51c | 9,985$5,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,092.3 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Magic | 50c | 9,980$4,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,990 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Magic | 54c | 9,877$5,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,330.06 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Magic | 51c | 9,715$4,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,987.7 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Cavaliers | 50c | 9,604$4,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,805.67 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed Cavaliers | 46c | 8,994$4,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,856.52 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Magic | 39c | 8,861$3,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,494.6 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 8,195$3,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,261.47 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Cavaliers | 57c | 8,195$4,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,502.08 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Cavaliers | 49c | 7,959$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,059.18 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…b8f7backed Cavaliers | 49c | 7,941$3,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,049.82 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +5.7wins | +0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Magic | 2c | 7,877$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.09 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Cavaliers | 68c | 7,823$5,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,503.06 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Magic | 34c | 7,784$2,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,658.94 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x816b…d69dbacked Cavaliers | 75c | 7,672$5,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885.16 | 247 | 52.6%130 W · 117 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Cavaliers | 49c | 7,324$3,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,737.48 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c28…7ba5backed Magic | 51c | 7,100$3,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,621 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…da3cbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 7,099$3,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,691.38 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 6,985$3,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,487.47 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Cavaliers | 49c | 6,938$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,538.44 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | +12.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…7133backed Magic | 52c | 6,821$3,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,546.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7791…af80backed Magic | 51c | 6,774$3,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,435.02 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Cavaliers | 50c | 6,767$3,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,383.5 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…63f6backed Magic | 51c | 6,645$3,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,388.89 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 6,500$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,379.98 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Magic | 53c | 6,440$3,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,413.2 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Cavaliers | 45c | 6,153$2,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,372.76 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Magic | 51c | 6,134$3,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100.84 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…c3a9backed Cavaliers | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Cavaliers | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a14…fddabacked Magic | 52c | 5,898$3,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,067 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 19c | 5,119$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.89 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…90c0backed Magic | 52c | 5,030$2,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,615.73 | 284 | 39.8%113 W · 171 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec8…f1bdbacked Magic | 50c | 5,025$2,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,512.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Magic | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Magic | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Magic | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Cavaliers | 67c | 5,000$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Magic | 27c | 5,000$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38fe…e150backed Cavaliers | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.99 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a59…9a2fbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 4,983$2,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,541.37 | 168 | 63.1%106 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Cavaliers | 78c | 4,950$3,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.84 | 240 | 48.3%116 W · 124 L | -13.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1364…91c3backed Cavaliers | 51c | 4,898$2,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Magicthis page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-0.5)Cavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Magic: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 226.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 227.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 228.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 229.5Under won
- De'Andre Hunter: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Jaylon Tyson: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Sam Merrill: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Magic (-2.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.