NBA · resolved market
Spread: Magic (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45fe478e93cee59c6bf6017e61b9457dc89ddb6f62e0e5bc4695c2eb97327eb9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Magic, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $156,431
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $158,881
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,431 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Cavaliers | 55c | 51,918$28,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,362.97 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Magic | 45c | 50,000$22,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,500 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…d504backed Cavaliers | 57c | 41,112$23,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,520.35 | 210 | 57.1%120 W · 90 L | +20.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Magic | 44c | 27,364$11,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,948.22 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Cavaliers | 54c | 13,271$7,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,104.44 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7973…34d4backed Magic | 46c | 12,641$5,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,815 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -6.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Cavaliers | 54c | 8,243$4,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,792 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e46…35efbacked Cavaliers | 58c | 6,384$3,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,681.57 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Cavaliers | 54c | 5,505$2,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,532.36 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Magic | 42c | 5,345$2,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,253.89 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Magic | 44c | 5,014$2,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,227.48 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Magic | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Magic | 46c | 4,375$2,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,013 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Magic | 42c | 3,382$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.18 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…2682backed Cavaliers | 56c | 2,679$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.44 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Magic | 44c | 2,576$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.61 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Magic | 47c | 2,563$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.68 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Magic | 42c | 2,133$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.86 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Magic | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 267 | 55.8%149 W · 118 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Magic | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Magic | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd36a…ecf5backed Cavaliers | 57c | 1,358$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.91 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Magic | 43c | 1,100$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.68 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Magic | 46c | 855.07$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.33 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Magic | 42c | 688$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.96 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Magic | 45c | 675.51$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 324 | 50.6%164 W · 160 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Magic | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Magic | 49c | 630.61$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a43…565fbacked Magic | 44c | 613.64$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Magic | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Cavaliers | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Cavaliers | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Magic | 41c | 320.61$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.05 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Cavaliers | 53c | 310.52$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.94 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Magic | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Magic | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers | 54c | 289.08$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.14 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Magic | 46c | 271.83$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.04 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed Magic | 45c | 264.89$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.2 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Magic | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Cavaliers | 56c | 231.82$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Cavaliers | 56c | 228.57$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.57 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Magic | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed Magic | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Magic | 46c | 165.96$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.4 | 397 | 36.3%144 W · 253 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Magic | 47c | 162.66$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.23 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Magic | 43c | 157.77$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.84 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974e…c090backed Magic | 46c | 152.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +4.6wins | +0.24per pick | 55cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x68e4…00bdbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 144.82$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.82 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9b…eb8dbacked Cavaliers | 57c | 125$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.75 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Magic | 56c | 123.09$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 184 | 56%103 W · 81 L | +16.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Cavaliers | 52c | 121.49$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.32 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Magic | 28c | 117$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.88 | 400 | 48.3%193 W · 207 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ed…e29fbacked Magic | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Cavaliers | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Magic | 46c | 106.75$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.23 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab15…d4a4backed Cavaliers | 53c | 94.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.91 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ceb…7011backed Magic | 46c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Magic | 45c | 89.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.1 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde5d…e2d7backed Cavaliers | 58c | 85.34$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed Cavaliers | 63c | 82$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.34 | 481 | 46.2%222 W · 259 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Cavaliers | 30c | 79.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.36 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c54…da2cbacked Magic | 50c | 69.19$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.31 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22f6…6a9bbacked Cavaliers | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe97…89e1backed Magic | 45c | 64.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 64.15$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7e…719fbacked Magic | 50c | 60.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5256…4973backed Magic | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Cavaliers | 54c | 56.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.82 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Cavaliers | 59c | 55.87$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.87 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c61…4742backed Magic | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Magic | 44c | 53.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13c5…20abbacked Magic | 46c | 52.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…0e40backed Magic | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.36per pick | 54cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0c33…c2f6backed Magic | 50c | 48.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Cavaliers | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 324 | 50%162 W · 162 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Magic | 51c | 43.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7481…279fbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Magic | 42c | 35.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4aea…a6dfbacked Magic | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd7a…d212backed Magic | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Magic | 44c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Magic | 44c | 28.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd913…2cf7backed Cavaliers | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x889b…bbaebacked Magic | 46c | 26.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2522…c593backed Cavaliers | 56c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -5.0wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…4d94backed Cavaliers | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7631…9cc3backed Magic | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Magic (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-0.5)Cavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. MagicCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Magic: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 226.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 227.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 228.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 229.5Under won
- De'Andre Hunter: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Jaylon Tyson: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Sam Merrill: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.