TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcc81…5df2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
299
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst CS2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT9557.9%55 W · 40 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 95 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$4,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,799.99
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$331Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$270.75
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$900.33
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,530Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,530
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,619Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,619.32
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,076Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+85.9%+$924.3
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,020Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+98%+$1,979.83
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$516Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$373.72
Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$4,307Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$2,992.99
Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,451Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+73.4%+$1,798.75
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,044Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+37%+$755.99
Dota 2: Aurora vs Heroic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,279Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,278.73
Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,362Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$2,094.79
Game Handicap: Tundra (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,760Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$2,760
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$6,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$6,000
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+61.3%+$1,900
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$6,960Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+72.4%+$5,040
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$3,100
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,828Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$4,828.31
Dota 2: Aurora vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+96.1%+$4,900.28
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$980Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$979.97
Dota 2: OG vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,961Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+133.5%+$2,618.91
Dota 2: OG vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$899.99
Dota 2: OG vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+170.3%+$630
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora - Game 4 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+92.3%+$4,799.99
Showing 25 of 95 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT9552.6%50 W · 45 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 95 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Wings vs. Devilsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,020Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$980.27
Bruins vs. Penguinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$960
Islanders vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10,120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,119.99
KHL: Shanghai Dragons vs. Barys Astanabacked Shanghai Dragons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$31.32
KHL: Admiral Vladivostok vs. Neftekhimik Nizhnekamskbacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,191Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+59.2%+$1,298.36
KHL: Amur Khabarovsk vs. Salavat Yulaev Ufabacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,927Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,926.95
Blues vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$2,200
KHL: CSKA Moscow vs. Traktorbacked Traktor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$470
KHL: Metallurg Magnitogorsk vs. Avtomobilist Yekaterinburgbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$690Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$690
Penguins vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,710Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$3,290
KHL: Dinamo Minsk vs. Metallurg Magnitogorskbacked Dinamo Minsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,566Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,566.33
KHL: Spartak Moscow vs. Avangard Omskbacked Avangard Omsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,920Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+56.2%+$1,079.97
KHL: Severstal Cherepovets vs. Lokomotiv Yaroslavlbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,774Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+69.8%+$1,238.69
KHL: Barys Astana vs. Severstal Cherepovetsbacked Severstal Cherepovets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+68.9%+$240.6
KHL: Salavat Yulaev Ufa vs. Spartak Moscowbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$580
KHL: Torpedo vs. Ak Bars Kazanbacked Ak Bars Kazan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,026Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$1,026
KHL: Barys Astana vs. Shanghai Dragonsbacked Shanghai Dragons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$506Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+117.4%+$594
KHL: Lada Togliatti vs. Ak Bars Kazanbacked Ak Bars Kazan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+35.1%+$19.31
KHL: Sibir Novosibirsk vs. Amur Khabarovskbacked Sibir Novosibirsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$557Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$557.41
KHL: Lada Togliatti vs. CSKA Moscowbacked CSKA Moscow · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$57.62
KHL: Avangard Omsk vs. Ak Bars Kazanbacked Avangard Omsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$498
KHL: Severstal Cherepovets vs. Neftekhimik Nizhnekamskbacked Severstal Cherepovets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+60.1%+$55.67
KHL: Spartak Moscow vs. Dinamo Minskbacked Dinamo Minsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$100.75
KHL: Avangard Omsk vs. Traktorbacked Traktor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$354Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$354.42
KHL: HC Dynamo Moscow vs. Severstal Cherepovetsbacked Severstal Cherepovets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$114
Showing 25 of 95 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT5060%30 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$84
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Suns (-2.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$114
Spread: Pistons (-12.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+92.3%+$144
Spread: Pistons (-14.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+132.6%+$57
Spread: Pistons (-13.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+108.3%+$104
Spread: Celtics (-3.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+96.1%+$98
Spread: Celtics (-1.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+132.6%+$114
Spread: Celtics (-4.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+85.2%+$92
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$108
Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+92.3%+$96
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Celtics vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+150%+$120
Spread: Magic (-2.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$90.22
Raptors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$413Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+69.5%+$287
Nuggets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$213
Spread: Bucks (-6.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$162
Kings vs. Cavaliers: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$408
Rockets vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$427Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$427
Raptors vs. Kings: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$357Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+96.1%+$343
Pistons vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$86
Cavaliers vs. Hornets: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Cavaliers vs. Hornets: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$378
Cavaliers vs. Hornets: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$392Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+104.1%+$408
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST2152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Jessica Pegula vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+66.7%+$399.99
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Mirra Andreeva vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,014Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+92.3%+$936
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritzbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$168
Set Handicap: Anisimova (-1.5) vs Wang (+1.5)backed Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Bublik vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+69.5%+$82
Australian Open Women's: Coco Gauff vs Karolina Muchovabacked Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$534Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+49.8%+$266
Set Handicap: Rybakina (-1.5) vs Valentova (+1.5)backed Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+69.5%+$246
Wawrinka vs. Fritz: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Under 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$285
Set Handicap: Mertens (-1.5) vs Bartunkova (+1.5)backed Mertens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+72.4%+$168
Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Ruse (+1.5)backed Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+42.9%+$60
Australian Open Men's: Francisco Cerundolo vs Andrey Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Australian Open Men's: Daniil Medvedev vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$38
Set Handicap: Mensik (-2.5) vs Jodar (+2.5)backed Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$62.32
Set Handicap: Bublik (-1.5) vs Fucsovics (+1.5)backed Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+44.9%+$31
Australian Open Men's: Tomas Etcheverry vs Arthur Ferybacked Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+66.7%+$16
Set Handicap: Machac (-2.5) vs Dimitrov (+2.5)backed Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$23.7
Set Handicap: Wu (-2.5) vs Nardi (+2.5)backed Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Shelton vs. Humbert: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Under 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+156.4%+$18.3
Australian Open Women's: Lulu Sun vs Linda Fruhvirtovabacked Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$292
Australian Open Women's: Karolina Pliskova vs Sloane Stephensbacked Stephens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$19.8
Quinn vs. Griekspoor: Match O/U 40.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+88.7%+$14.1
All 21 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,351Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$2,351
Men's Knockout - Slovakia vs. Finlandbacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$78
Will Slovakia win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$38.1
Men's Semifinals - USA vs. Slovakiabacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$26.01
Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finlandbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$466Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+58.7%+$273.8
Will Sweden win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Men's Quarterfinals - USA vs. Swedenbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+37%+$32.99
Men's Quarterfinals - Slovakia vs. Germanybacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+42.9%+$300
Men's Group A - Switzerland vs. Czechiabacked Czechia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$504
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-62.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-59.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+50%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$102
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+75.4%+$75.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$159
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+37%+$81
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 324: Allen vs. Silva (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+44.9%+$155
UFC 324: Perez vs. Johnson (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$61
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick66cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fulham FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$71
Chelsea FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+66.7%+$80
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+44.9%+$93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Virtus Bologna vs. Fenerbahcebacked Virtus Bologna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.