NHL · resolved market
KHL: Metallurg Magnitogorsk vs. Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x435ad9639c2f752b0d27bdd3afc54d95bf11dfd149f1d469dd88d41a89386286
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avtomobilist Yekaterinburgof Metallurg Magnitogorsk, Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,012
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,012 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 68c | 4,528$3,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,085.89 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b96…b053backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 79c | 3,000$2,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 69c | 1,830$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.87 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 21c | 1,455$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.42 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 30c | 1,384$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.46 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 34c | 948.49$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.49 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 33c | 689.07$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.97 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72bc…b24ebacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 33c | 575$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.84 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 33c | 476.62$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.1 | 179 | 40.2%72 W · 107 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 33c | 470$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.9 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 33c | 434.5$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.11 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +9.5wins | +0.24per pick | 40cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 68c | 367$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.56 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 30c | 317.66$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 30c | 299.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.99 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28e1…d4d9backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 68c | 224.52$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.67 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 32c | 200.02$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.32 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 32c | 200$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 31c | 176$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.08 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 33c | 166.67$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.67 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d3…bd58backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 151 | 57.6%87 W · 64 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 32c | 121.2$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.42 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…3afdbacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 32c | 121.2$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.42 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 30c | 120$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ab…c40ebacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 32c | 108.28$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.63 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe514…2c62backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +150%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 34c | 98.35$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.91 | 337 | 45.7%154 W · 183 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 32c | 95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 21c | 86.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 153 | 68%104 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb96…34b9backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 32c | 78.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa839…6f8cbacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 32c | 74.61$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 416 | 50.7%211 W · 205 L | +15.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf77c…61cabacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 69c | 72.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -45%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…9278backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 32c | 71.95$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 31c | 64.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.67 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…91ecbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 69c | 55.8$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 24c | 54.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc916…5403backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 32c | 51.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.12 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 497 | 47.9%238 W · 259 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5796…039ebacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…4bc4backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 33c | 43.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa049…4314backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 32c | 39.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 32c | 31.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.26 | 470 | 24%113 W · 357 L | -44.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x191a…2ea6backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…1d5bbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…1afdbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 68c | 17.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 177 | 65.5%116 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.