Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70c3d8561b649b4c81fc9faafb9274b8bd50dce68fe58b75c6f5aaeb16bc2a70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tundra Esportsof Aurora, Tundra Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $146,101
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,101 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Aurora | 46c | 10,820$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Aurora | 34c | 8,221$2,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,788.42 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…0715backed Tundra Esports | 73c | 6,823$5,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,815.85 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Aurora | 46c | 6,441$2,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,975.63 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Tundra Esports | 54c | 6,372$3,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,931.34 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Tundra Esports | 71c | 6,076$4,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,761.94 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed Aurora | 41c | 5,400$2,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,217.98 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 5,157$2,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.03 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…8967backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290.11 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed Aurora | 34c | 2,648$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.33 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…3f70backed Aurora | 25c | 2,492$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.53 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed Tundra Esports | 74c | 2,206$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.25 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Tundra Esports | 70c | 2,186$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.48 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Aurora | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Tundra Esports | 54c | 2,000$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b12…43c8backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 1,755$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.68 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed Aurora | 35c | 1,641$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.04 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Aurora | 23c | 1,563$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.6 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Aurora | 30c | 1,370$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.21 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x17ca…87d1backed Tundra Esports | 74c | 1,348$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.38 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -15.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad8d…a233backed Aurora | 44c | 1,300$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa895…debfbacked Tundra Esports | 56c | 1,300$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Aurora | 47c | 1,286$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Tundra Esports | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.99 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Aurora | 31c | 1,168$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.63 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Aurora | 37c | 1,110$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.43 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x786a…9cd5backed Aurora | 29c | 1,102$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x772c…3539backed Aurora | 36c | 1,063$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.96 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a2…2800backed Aurora | 1c | 1,028$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked Aurora | 20c | 1,012$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.53 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Aurora | 12c | 920.22$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.42 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 914$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.23 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb74c…b149backed Aurora | 5c | 901.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.01 | 45 | 0%0 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Tundra Esports | 69c | 900.96$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.49 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a9…3d6fbacked Tundra Esports | 62c | 800.47$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.77 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Tundra Esports | 74c | 760.6$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.16 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7576…3ff4backed Tundra Esports | 75c | 733.32$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.6 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 727.3$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.59 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fb…19c0backed Aurora | 23c | 700$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 699.98$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.99 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Aurora | 5c | 699.8$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f45…ab6abacked Aurora | 28c | 683.89$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.07 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…1655backed Tundra Esports | 51c | 660$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.4 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Aurora | 24c | 605.35$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.61 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…0c3dbacked Aurora | 17c | 600$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked Aurora | 19c | 588.9$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 164 | 40.2%66 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Aurora | 26c | 580.11$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c29…21aabacked Aurora | 23c | 551.88$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.93 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…abccbacked Tundra Esports | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…971abacked Tundra Esports | 64c | 469.38$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.38 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9c…101cbacked Tundra Esports | 65c | 419.26$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.13 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Aurora | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Aurora | 36c | 400$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.4 | 236 | 50.4%119 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Aurora | 29c | 384.91$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.6 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc03e…da65backed Tundra Esports | 78c | 340$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…4a8dbacked Tundra Esports | 64c | 311.28$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.28 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Tundra Esports | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 256 | 39.5%101 W · 155 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Aurora | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked Aurora | 10c | 300$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Aurora | 45c | 299.97$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.99 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8e…962bbacked Aurora | 24c | 289.57$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Aurora | 35c | 286.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…9b2bbacked Tundra Esports | 57c | 279.59$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01d4…33d8backed Tundra Esports | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Tundra Esports | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c4…fe40backed Aurora | 23c | 221.51$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.04 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc59…269cbacked Aurora | 47c | 211$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Aurora | 43c | 210.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.41 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.7 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…9278backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 199$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.57 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Tundra Esports | 57c | 158.63$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Aurora | 29c | 149.96$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Tundra Esports | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Tundra Esports | 57c | 131.58$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Aurora | 24c | 129.17$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Aurora | 17c | 128.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 127.33$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.53 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd36…873bbacked Aurora | 13c | 119.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 405 | 39.3%159 W · 246 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbda6…6ae0backed Aurora | 36c | 110$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.16 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c0…23d8backed Aurora | 34c | 108.82$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 239 | 57.3%137 W · 102 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdcb…b106backed Tundra Esports | 73c | 106.01$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.89 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -42%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a96…3087backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8b…8925backed Aurora | 43c | 103.27$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c57…bf46backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c7…133dbacked Aurora | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb431…b654backed Aurora | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b8…61dcbacked Tundra Esports | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 180 | 65.6%118 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Tundra Esports | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4f…c2f1backed Aurora | 33c | 95.82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1d…32fabacked Aurora | 43c | 95.73$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b93…a08abacked Tundra Esports | 53c | 94.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2a…e715backed Aurora | 43c | 90.93$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Aurora | 23c | 90$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0a…7ca8backed Aurora | 43c | 88.66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed Aurora | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 507 | 57.4%291 W · 216 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb34…507bbacked Aurora | 19c | 88.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -5.2wins | -0.31per pick | 54cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Aurora | 36c | 83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…2071backed Aurora | 14c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageAurora won
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 WinnerAurora won
- Game Handicap: Tundra (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)Aurora won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.