TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2f45…ab6a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
410
Categories scored
39
Categories below 50
22

Best Category: Tennis, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 57 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT6535.4%23 W · 42 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-40.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 65 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.34
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14,678Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.6%+$8,603.94
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.7
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+227.8%+$97.93
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.7
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$479Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$479.12
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.18
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+40.6%+$152.32
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$416Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$416.34
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$21.9
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.37
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.97
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.36
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.63
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+57.3%+$6.96
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$9.36
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$529Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$154.68
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+154.9%+$32.94
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.75
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+57.6%+$80.53
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$374Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$156.67
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+37%+$73.97
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+56.1%+$109.55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.76
Showing 25 of 65 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT6237.1%23 W · 39 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.32
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.01
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$13.25
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.58
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.7
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$15.53
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.29
Spread: Hornets (-6.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$30.09
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.92
Trail Blazers vs. Clippersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+203%+$27.96
Suns vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$555Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+74%+$410.2
Wizards vs. Lakersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.53
Timberwolves vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.38
Bulls vs. Spurs: O/U 244.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.72
Bulls vs. Spursbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.27
76ers vs. Heat: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+79.6%+$16.41
76ers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$869Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+122.4%+$1,063.3
76ers vs. Heat: O/U 243.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.54
76ers vs. Heat: O/U 241.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.16
Suns vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.39
Celtics vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+95%+$211.46
Warriors vs. Nuggetsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$509Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$508.95
Knicks vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$83.09
Magic vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$33.09
Kings vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$364Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$309.87
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT3810.5%4 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-51.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.3
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$495.73
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.13
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.22
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.88
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.63
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.09
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.59
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.55
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.21
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.05
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.76
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+704.7%+$382.28
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.44
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.88
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.31
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.04
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.35
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.03
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.78
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.8
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.74
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+60.1%+$82.83
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.68
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.05
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT2520%5 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-43.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on April 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.64
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.97
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.42
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 84°F or higher on April 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$15.38
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$57.02
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 74°F or higher on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$22.83
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.57
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$277.7
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on March 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.38
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C or below on March 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.51
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.15
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on March 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+241.6%+$91.9
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on March 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.88
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on March 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.8
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 68°F or higher on March 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.22
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on March 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.89
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on March 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.47
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on March 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.72
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$226.81
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.3
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 17°C on March 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.51
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 65°F or below on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.99
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.13
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+90.6%+$22.36
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.16
All 25 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT2425%6 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-65.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,292Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,292.17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,309Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,308.72
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$776Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$776.19
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,235Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,234.81
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.94
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.04
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.67
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.72
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+38%+$12.63
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.33
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.24
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.26
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$462Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$135.68
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.65
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$15.38
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.37
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$11.08
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.76
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.89
Will 15-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+68.7%+$97.27
Will 40-44 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.24
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.02
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30,005Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+36.3%+$10,892.81
All 24 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT2045%9 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Heroic - Map 1 Winnerbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.14
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$11.28
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs UNiTY esports (BO1) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stagebacked UNiTY esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+291.1%+$292.85
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+230.7%+$167.15
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+224.6%+$158.33
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs EYEBALLERS - Map 1 Winnerbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.91
Counter-Strike: NRG vs EYEBALLERS - Map 1 Winnerbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+83.9%+$35.95
Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs paiN Academy - Map 1 Winnerbacked UNO MILLE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+96%+$54.8
Blast Open Rotterdam 2026: Will a player break something during a game? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$32.06
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$233.09
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$323.83
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.42
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$375.97
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$238.76
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FaZe (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$322.4
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,804Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$1,607.85
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.73
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+92.4%+$314.6
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.72
All 20 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick37cpaid+87.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gwangju: Sho Shimabukuro vs Yuta Shimizubacked Sho Shimabukuro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$238.99
Shymkent: Daniil Ostapenkov vs Buvaysar Gadamauribacked Buvaysar Gadamauri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.42
Savannah: Liam Draxl vs Pedro Boscardin Diasbacked Liam Draxl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+123.3%+$202.81
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Marta Kostyuk vs Ann Libacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+118.7%+$112.27
Busan: Sho Shimabukuro vs Beibit Zhukayevbacked Sho Shimabukuro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+76.9%+$82.54
Sarasota: Hugo Dellien vs Kilian Feldbauschbacked Hugo Dellien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$143.59
Credit One Charleston Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Donna Vekicbacked Ajla Tomljanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$433Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$433.33
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Zhizhen Zhangbacked Jack Pinnington Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$333.93
Credit One Charleston Open: Darja Vidmanova vs Anna Bondarbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$432Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$147.6
Credit One Charleston Open: Viktoriya Tomova vs Jennifer Bradybacked Viktoriya Tomova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+39.6%+$104.27
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Adolfo Vallejo vs Zachary Svajdabacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.76
Copa Colsanitas: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Julieta Parejabacked Elizabeth Mandlik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.86
Credit One Charleston Open: Eva Lys vs Katie Volynetsbacked Eva Lys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$426Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$426.18
Grand Prix Hassan II: Karim Bennani vs Quentin Halysbacked Karim Bennani · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+1,115.8%+$1,038.07
Grand Prix Hassan II: Aleksandar Vukic vs Taha Baadibacked Taha Baadi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+375.7%+$241.98
Bucharest Open, Qualification: Stefan Haita vs Joel Schwaerzlerbacked Joel Schwaerzler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+588.1%+$137.5
Bucharest Open, Qualification: Billy Harris vs Alex Molcanbacked Billy Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.76
US Men's Clay Court Championships, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Alexis Galarneaubacked Liam Draxl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$603Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+42.5%+$256.64
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.05
All 19 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.64
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.05
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+46.4%+$156.09
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.11
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$592Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$591.91
Dota 2: Heroic vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$363Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$262.84
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+150%+$275.83
Dota 2: OG vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$881Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+106.7%+$939.63
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Heroic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,387Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,386.56
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.85
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winnerbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.84
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$497Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+57.9%+$287.77
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$329Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+65.4%+$215.28
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$234.62
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+111.1%+$284.53
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+95.5%+$103.74
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.07
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.79
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$53.35
All 19 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-35.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Leviatan Esports vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$25.39
LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+185.3%+$97.74
LoL: Galions vs Solary - Game 3 Winnerbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$34.02
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.94
LoL: Fnatic vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.37
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+62.2%+$17.94
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ground Zero Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.37
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.4
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+146.9%+$75.79
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$834Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$833.8
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.29
LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs FN Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI Fénix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$685Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$684.76
LoL: Solary vs HMBLE - Game 1 Winnerbacked HMBLE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.98
LoL: Verdant vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked WLGaming Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$661Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$661.46
LoL: Berlin International Gaming vs Misa Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Berlin International Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$402Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$402.4
LoL: Berlin International Gaming vs Misa Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Berlin International Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.97
All 16 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,435Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,435.39
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+64.1%+$21.6
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$8.61
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.55
Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.85
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+89.2%+$115.05
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.4
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+100%+$22.21
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+371.9%+$136.18
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.69
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.99
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.31
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.15
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.36
All 15 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick14cpaid+243.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.96
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.2
Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.03
Will Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$93.37
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.75
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.35
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.12
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.5
Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+2,400%+$1,424.98
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-43.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+42.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will New Slovenia – Christian Democrats (NSi) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+57.8%+$52.05
Will Resni.ca (Res) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$83.12
Will The Left (Levica) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$8.65
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+42.8%+$14.97
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$595Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$594.69
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,158Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,158.2
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+90.8%+$25.36
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on April 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+285.6%+$52.73
All 8 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-66.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+84.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick10cpaid+1,900%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-65.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-73%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+111.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-48%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-63.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.78
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Houston Astrosbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+44.6%+$25.25
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.72
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.13
All 4 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-56%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+198%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Team Envy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+190.9%+$72.65
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs VARREL - Map 2 Winnerbacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+205%+$46.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.16
Kanye blocked from entering the UK by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$61.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vaishali R win the 2026 FIDE Women's Candidates Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$28.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Qingdao Eagles vs. Liaoning Flying Leopardsbacked Qingdao Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+60.6%+$11.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump announces new drug boat strike by March 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$235.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pakistan Super League: Peshawar Zalmi vs Rawalpindi Pindizbacked Rawalpindi Pindiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 9-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.