Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x391d3cd60fbe522451aa940aa3057177a7a6f099a82c7f9a01e2e916e5cb92a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Liquid, PARIVISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $164,832
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,832 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 226 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed PARIVISION | 43c | 18,757$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Liquid | 60c | 8,515$5,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,379.51 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Liquid | 56c | 7,453$4,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,279.27 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed PARIVISION | 13c | 3,960$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.42 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…ae95backed PARIVISION | 1c | 3,300$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 168 | 21.4%36 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked PARIVISION | 33c | 2,806$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.38 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked PARIVISION | 39c | 2,674$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed Team Liquid | 73c | 2,588$1,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.73 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed PARIVISION | 10c | 2,577$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.14 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Team Liquid | 57c | 2,487$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.5 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked PARIVISION | 26c | 1,925$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.35 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed PARIVISION | 56c | 1,881$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.04 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c29…21aabacked Team Liquid | 60c | 1,799$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.32 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Team Liquid | 59c | 1,700$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed PARIVISION | 17c | 1,656$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.81 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Team Liquid | 57c | 1,651$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.91 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed PARIVISION | 50c | 1,608$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.86 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Liquid | 74c | 1,500$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.29 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7576…3ff4backed Team Liquid | 66c | 1,460$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.68 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed PARIVISION | 33c | 1,406$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.47 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…9562backed PARIVISION | 76c | 1,313$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.5 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed Team Liquid | 43c | 1,300$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +11.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked PARIVISION | 17c | 1,293$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.09 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked PARIVISION | 33c | 1,291$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.78 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Team Liquid | 54c | 1,287$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.69 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed PARIVISION | 43c | 1,170$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.75 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed PARIVISION | 51c | 1,109$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.18 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x332f…1ee8backed Team Liquid | 57c | 1,100$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed PARIVISION | 39c | 1,052$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.1 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked PARIVISION | 44c | 1,048$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.56 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x141f…7711backed Team Liquid | 57c | 952.09$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.4 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…3f70backed PARIVISION | 46c | 874.29$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed Team Liquid | 31c | 831.06$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.85 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Team Liquid | 65c | 714.28$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd371…d25fbacked Team Liquid | 59c | 706$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.46 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…33acbacked PARIVISION | 41c | 706$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.46 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…3164backed PARIVISION | 43c | 700$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Team Liquid | 56c | 700$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Team Liquid | 59c | 679.52$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.6 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked PARIVISION | 12c | 649.48$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.57 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Team Liquid | 62c | 646.71$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.83 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed Team Liquid | 56c | 630.05$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.52 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95d6…9aeabacked PARIVISION | 9c | 600$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.63 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed PARIVISION | 41c | 584.76$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.87 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb74c…b149backed PARIVISION | 10c | 580.97$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 45 | 0%0 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed PARIVISION | 37c | 547.54$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.92 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed PARIVISION | 42c | 522.93$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…547cbacked PARIVISION | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed PARIVISION | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…971abacked PARIVISION | 41c | 490.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed PARIVISION | 39c | 488.68$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.78 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed Team Liquid | 64c | 476.1$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.28 | 507 | 57.4%291 W · 216 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Liquid | 58c | 459.91$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.16 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed PARIVISION | 42c | 431.05$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked PARIVISION | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…0c3dbacked PARIVISION | 70c | 428.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Team Liquid | 65c | 422.24$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.24 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fb…19c0backed PARIVISION | 42c | 409.99$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.19 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc569…6392backed PARIVISION | 42c | 408$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed PARIVISION | 41c | 405.38$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.21 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb22d…3a13backed Team Liquid | 60c | 398.71$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.71 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked PARIVISION | 24c | 397.13$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.39 | 164 | 40.2%66 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe375…dadfbacked Team Liquid | 60c | 372.03$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.31 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5a…a8c1backed Team Liquid | 57c | 343$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…2dfbbacked Team Liquid | 57c | 333$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a14…8ccbbacked Team Liquid | 57c | 329$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823b…59e9backed PARIVISION | 5c | 326.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce61…8ef6backed PARIVISION | 21c | 325$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.75 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…e5eabacked PARIVISION | 9c | 322.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.31 | 407 | 45.5%185 W · 222 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e99…3348backed Team Liquid | 57c | 319$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc2…9271backed PARIVISION | 64c | 313.15$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe50…b05cbacked Team Liquid | 56c | 313.09$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.76 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3819…6292backed Team Liquid | 58c | 313$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed PARIVISION | 4c | 312.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe269…6d69backed Team Liquid | 57c | 307$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Team Liquid | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfc…ce53backed Team Liquid | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Team Liquid | 69c | 286.43$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.43 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c11…3871backed PARIVISION | 43c | 283$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed PARIVISION | 43c | 267.24$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.14 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Team Liquid | 74c | 265.76$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.27 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba1c…0b56backed Team Liquid | 57c | 264$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed Team Liquid | 77c | 263.37$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.66 | 254 | 57.9%147 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed PARIVISION | 41c | 251.39$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.07 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked PARIVISION | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22ac…055ebacked Team Liquid | 58c | 248$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 44cpaid | +147.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2f…e57cbacked Team Liquid | 57c | 242$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78be…3dc9backed PARIVISION | 43c | 239$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked PARIVISION | 65c | 238.32$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.6 | 468 | 72.2%338 W · 130 L | +36.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed PARIVISION | 44c | 238.02$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.08 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9a…4bdabacked PARIVISION | 42c | 238$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b93…a08abacked Team Liquid | 63c | 237.98$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea9…42a1backed Team Liquid | 42c | 236.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.05 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f45…ab6abacked PARIVISION | 60c | 234.96$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.85 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdb…8368backed PARIVISION | 43c | 231$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3444…1f79backed PARIVISION | 43c | 226$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04fc…b4c5backed PARIVISION | 43c | 226$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Team Liquid | 77c | 214.84$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.83 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd59c…a66abacked PARIVISION | 43c | 213$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked PARIVISION | 67c | 210$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.3 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)Team Liquid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.