Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb18320df2e4a3b1adb81353f44eb509c9ecf23b8c750c7da58bf6c05391425d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Liquid, PARIVISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $161,870
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,870 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 220 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed PARIVISION | 44c | 11,337$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Liquid | 52c | 11,289$5,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,415.37 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed PARIVISION | 0c | 11,002$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed PARIVISION | 47c | 9,326$4,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,419 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked Team Liquid | 51c | 6,248$3,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,030.26 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…3f70backed Team Liquid | 48c | 6,043$2,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,135.31 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked PARIVISION | 50c | 4,012$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.59 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Team Liquid | 57c | 3,881$2,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,684.52 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Liquid | 47c | 3,608$1,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,895.19 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed PARIVISION | 37c | 3,036$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.18 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d33…7287backed PARIVISION | 52c | 3,020$1,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,582.92 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Team Liquid | 60c | 2,781$1,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.77 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Team Liquid | 56c | 2,706$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.44 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c29…afadbacked Team Liquid | 69c | 2,400$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.8 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Team Liquid | 64c | 2,400$1,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked PARIVISION | 50c | 2,188$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.64 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe327…0c8abacked PARIVISION | 50c | 2,078$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41cc…adc7backed PARIVISION | 69c | 2,039$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,402.85 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x332f…1ee8backed Team Liquid | 55c | 2,034$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.51 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Team Liquid | 46c | 1,810$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.98 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Team Liquid | 41c | 1,808$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.95 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb4…00eabacked Team Liquid | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.13 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Team Liquid | 54c | 1,684$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.16 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Liquid | 38c | 1,534$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.5 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ac…a735backed Team Liquid | 50c | 1,386$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.46 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…ae95backed PARIVISION | 6c | 1,278$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.91 | 168 | 21.4%36 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…c7b2backed PARIVISION | 48c | 1,232$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.8 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked PARIVISION | 42c | 1,178$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c6…54cbbacked PARIVISION | 1c | 1,030$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed Team Liquid | 43c | 1,028$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.01 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…4249backed PARIVISION | 73c | 1,010$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736 | 196 | 64.8%127 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed PARIVISION | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Liquid | 46c | 958.62$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.41 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Team Liquid | 51c | 827.59$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.52 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01d4…33d8backed PARIVISION | 67c | 800.41$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Team Liquid | 55c | 773.37$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.35 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Team Liquid | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Team Liquid | 45c | 746.39$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.35 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…0c3dbacked Team Liquid | 56c | 743.06$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.09 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked PARIVISION | 43c | 644.45$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.48 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Team Liquid | 69c | 618.87$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.04 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed PARIVISION | 44c | 616.96$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.8 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed Team Liquid | 31c | 600$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.33 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed PARIVISION | 49c | 599.98$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.99 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb22d…3a13backed Team Liquid | 46c | 524$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6463…1f5cbacked PARIVISION | 43c | 520.78$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.94 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed PARIVISION | 63c | 501.53$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.62 | 507 | 57.4%291 W · 216 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed PARIVISION | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Liquid | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3952…c2b4backed Team Liquid | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x676f…43c1backed PARIVISION | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.7 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95d6…9aeabacked PARIVISION | 15c | 499.76$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.21 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Team Liquid | 18c | 497.4$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.18 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Team Liquid | 33c | 494.53$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.38 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed PARIVISION | 49c | 440$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.7 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +11.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63a2…5bc1backed Team Liquid | 23c | 434.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.4 | 126 | 38.9%49 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked PARIVISION | 50c | 427.56$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.78 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked PARIVISION | 68c | 403.97$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.62 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Team Liquid | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Team Liquid | 56c | 396.44$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.09 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b93…a08abacked Team Liquid | 55c | 395.8$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Team Liquid | 49c | 391.93$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.87 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…971abacked PARIVISION | 59c | 388.42$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.61 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce61…8ef6backed PARIVISION | 36c | 380.6$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.92 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x649d…ec03backed Team Liquid | 50c | 380$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6d…db4fbacked PARIVISION | 57c | 375.81$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.91 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed Team Liquid | 57c | 369.67$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.67 | 150 | 64.7%97 W · 53 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5261…3ddbbacked PARIVISION | 66c | 340.73$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Team Liquid | 60c | 333.2$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.2 | 149 | 65.8%98 W · 51 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8484…e327backed Team Liquid | 59c | 332$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed PARIVISION | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed PARIVISION | 60c | 311.22$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.23 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ca…87d1backed Team Liquid | 65c | 306.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.67 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -15.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed PARIVISION | 49c | 304.08$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…b60fbacked Team Liquid | 59c | 303$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked Team Liquid | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.28 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed PARIVISION | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f46…cddbbacked Team Liquid | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 240 | 52.1%125 W · 115 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Team Liquid | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Team Liquid | 51c | 299.99$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed PARIVISION | 66c | 296.47$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.04 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…67cbbacked Team Liquid | 25c | 290$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.8 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +6.5wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Team Liquid | 51c | 280.99$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.69 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a26…0498backed PARIVISION | 56c | 278.98$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.24 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 59cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed PARIVISION | 48c | 276.24$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.41 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ee…ff7bbacked Team Liquid | 59c | 262$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed PARIVISION | 42c | 261.9$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f67…153cbacked PARIVISION | 41c | 254$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed PARIVISION | 42c | 249.98$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c26…affabacked PARIVISION | 72c | 248.28$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74be…2d4abacked PARIVISION | 41c | 233$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…cd7bbacked Team Liquid | 18c | 219$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.25 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -71%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked PARIVISION | 41c | 218.22$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.03 | 164 | 40.2%66 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed PARIVISION | 62c | 216.77$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.13 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe476…8409backed PARIVISION | 41c | 209$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78be…3dc9backed PARIVISION | 41c | 201$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked Team Liquid | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked PARIVISION | 48c | 199.98$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked PARIVISION | 67c | 199.47$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.22 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Team Liquid | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)Team Liquid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.