TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x676f…43c1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
36
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Valorant, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 53 out of 100; worst CS2 at 36.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1625%4 W · 12 L-5.1wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-54.1%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
CS2 — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs eLITenergy (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffsbacked Johnny Speeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$359Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$359.09
Counter-Strike: NRG vs EYEBALLERS - Map 1 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$309.03
Counter-Strike: K27 vs magic - Map 1 Winnerbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$261.7
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.24
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Acend (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$433Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$432.82
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs BIG Academy (BO3) - United21 Playoffsbacked Infinite · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$195.65
Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 1 Winnerbacked ex-Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$275
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$245
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Favbet - Map 1 Winnerbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.8
Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs BIG Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #19 Group Cbacked BIG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$311.7
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$258.5
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$159.6
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$182.7
Counter-Strike: Isurus vs FOLHA AMARELA - Map 1 Winnerbacked FOLHA AMARELA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+85.2%+$207
Counter-Strike: los kogutos vs ENCE Academy (BO3) - BC Game Masters Group Stagebacked los kogutos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$281.6
All 16 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-35.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$333.79
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs MODUS - Game 1 Winnerbacked MODUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$170.76
Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win - Game 1 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.08
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked VP.Prodigy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$247
Dota 2: REKONIX vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+37%+$110.7
Dota 2: MOUZ vs BetBoom Team (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group Abacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.6
Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Tundra Esports (+1.5)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$351.9
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$234
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$200.9
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Spirit Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$99
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.4
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.5
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.7
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$232.65
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$211.2
All 15 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+26.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Skillcamp Esport vs Vitality.Bee (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Skillcamp Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$305.41
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.