CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf19b19f70f0119cd6211c04375e963a45c477eaa40d2d25e857b9c4c26445ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Gamingof FURIA, Aurora Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $247,562
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $247,562 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 272 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked FURIA | 56c | 27,667$15,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,438.43 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Aurora Gaming | 74c | 14,385$10,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,766.28 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Aurora Gaming | 44c | 10,314$4,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,822.38 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed FURIA | 58c | 8,696$5,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,063.83 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed FURIA | 54c | 6,402$3,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,444.18 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x246b…fb5bbacked Aurora Gaming | 52c | 5,747$2,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,758.85 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FURIA | 26c | 5,566$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.51 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Aurora Gaming | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249.99 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…ccafbacked Aurora Gaming | 44c | 4,546$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,545.69 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed FURIA | 60c | 4,500$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed FURIA | 58c | 4,439$2,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,573.48 | 161 | 52.8%85 W · 76 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 4,056$1,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,434.18 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked FURIA | 35c | 3,782$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.91 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked FURIA | 41c | 3,243$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.27 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked FURIA | 30c | 3,023$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.88 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…d1ffbacked FURIA | 20c | 2,991$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.87 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Aurora Gaming | 44c | 2,748$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,538.87 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Aurora Gaming | 68c | 2,542$1,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.17 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9bff…7074backed FURIA | 23c | 2,474$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe454…8b7dbacked FURIA | 48c | 2,470$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.65 | 153 | 60.1%92 W · 61 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Aurora Gaming | 65c | 2,353$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.94 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed FURIA | 30c | 2,302$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.83 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x338c…1b33backed FURIA | 60c | 2,302$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Aurora Gaming | 40c | 2,261$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.3 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Aurora Gaming | 75c | 2,249$1,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.39 | 219 | 39.7%87 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe262…4097backed Aurora Gaming | 48c | 2,192$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.17 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf94f…9adabacked Aurora Gaming | 63c | 2,076$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.56 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 1,835$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.6 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed FURIA | 59c | 1,732$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.25 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed Aurora Gaming | 52c | 1,538$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.46 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed FURIA | 14c | 1,454$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed FURIA | 58c | 1,383$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.9 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2d…dd1ebacked Aurora Gaming | 79c | 1,323$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.19 | 399 | 70.7%282 W · 117 L | +38.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6df…1cf4backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 1,299$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.25 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Aurora Gaming | 44c | 1,260$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.87 | 151 | 64.2%97 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Aurora Gaming | 39c | 1,243$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.91 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 1,218$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.71 | 227 | 61.7%140 W · 87 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0db…d4f0backed FURIA | 59c | 1,156$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.25 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -4.1wins | -0.37per pick | 56cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Aurora Gaming | 42c | 1,096$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Aurora Gaming | 62c | 1,088$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.9 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…5236backed FURIA | 34c | 1,082$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 1,062$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.45 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed Aurora Gaming | 45c | 1,019$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.53 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a8…48c0backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 978.7$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.22 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Aurora Gaming | 51c | 977.69$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.93 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…f444backed Aurora Gaming | 43c | 973.04$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.04 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed FURIA | 61c | 968$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.48 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Aurora Gaming | 69c | 964.8$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.92 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed FURIA | 24c | 963.18$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.16 | 209 | 42.1%88 W · 121 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Aurora Gaming | 39c | 959.98$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.59 | 352 | 42.9%151 W · 201 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…e454backed Aurora Gaming | 43c | 929.24$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.24 | 249 | 44.6%111 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Aurora Gaming | 52c | 897.03$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.68 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…9893backed FURIA | 32c | 862.03$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.85 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…44a3backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 842.59$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.46 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5846…0388backed FURIA | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2266…138abacked Aurora Gaming | 51c | 770$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.3 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed FURIA | 43c | 764.65$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.66 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked FURIA | 58c | 710.98$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.37 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Aurora Gaming | 52c | 700$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.41 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed FURIA | 22c | 700$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Aurora Gaming | 52c | 695.18$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.03 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…aa06backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 671.89$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.05 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed FURIA | 30c | 666$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked FURIA | 5c | 661.52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.56 | 696 | 24%167 W · 529 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked FURIA | 58c | 630.99$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.97 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed Aurora Gaming | 43c | 620.93$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.93 | 365 | 54.8%200 W · 165 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf725…cb91backed Aurora Gaming | 42c | 619.05$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.05 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Aurora Gaming | 75c | 608.34$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.91 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked FURIA | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked FURIA | 57c | 600$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed Aurora Gaming | 62c | 600$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.13 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ac…a09bbacked FURIA | 58c | 589.65$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39e2…040dbacked Aurora Gaming | 71c | 572.54$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.53 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Aurora Gaming | 71c | 551.27$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.23 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed FURIA | 23c | 547$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.81 | 298 | 31.5%94 W · 204 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed FURIA | 47c | 536.08$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…cabcbacked FURIA | 60c | 530.48$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.29 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 510$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 320 | 42.5%136 W · 184 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed FURIA | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 186 | 57%106 W · 80 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked FURIA | 30c | 507.77$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.83 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab05…52e9backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 502.25$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.35 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed FURIA | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 284 | 53.5%152 W · 132 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Aurora Gaming | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbca…9863backed FURIA | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed FURIA | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…f53cbacked Aurora Gaming | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x676f…43c1backed FURIA | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -5.1wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0694…4a4ebacked Aurora Gaming | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.49 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked Aurora Gaming | 56c | 491.07$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.07 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Aurora Gaming | 61c | 480.19$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.96 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…0efcbacked Aurora Gaming | 39c | 480$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.8 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5a…acc3backed FURIA | 60c | 480$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed FURIA | 18c | 461.47$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.68 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked FURIA | 47c | 422.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.21 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked FURIA | 60c | 415.31$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.91 | 256 | 51.2%131 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3a…780cbacked Aurora Gaming | 41c | 406.36$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.75 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfffe…4e6cbacked Aurora Gaming | 40c | 400$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 277 | 49.5%137 W · 140 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x724c…1521backed Aurora Gaming | 75c | 399.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.96 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group AAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.