CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13a3852a26ddff2f413a369b86f564b4d8974b98fced2f2d4bf61ba40ebd9759
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Gamingof FURIA, Aurora Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,580
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,985
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,580 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked FURIA | 34c | 91,101$30,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,966.27 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Aurora Gaming | 66c | 90,050$59,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,616.87 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked FURIA | 1c | 8,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked FURIA | 35c | 3,121$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.06 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Aurora Gaming | 65c | 2,340$1,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.99 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed FURIA | 31c | 1,828$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.56 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea9…42a1backed Aurora Gaming | 69c | 1,346$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked FURIA | 27c | 1,013$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.16 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Aurora Gaming | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Aurora Gaming | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 684 | 53.8%368 W · 316 L | -22.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8d…5664backed FURIA | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Aurora Gaming | 65c | 777.28$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.42 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Aurora Gaming | 66c | 775.48$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.56 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed FURIA | 35c | 698.99$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.38 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Aurora Gaming | 72c | 623.92$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.06 | 2,429 | 44.6%1,083 W · 1,346 L | -63.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd758…7af8backed FURIA | 27c | 555.56$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed FURIA | 26c | 477.7$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.2 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4f…9b0cbacked Aurora Gaming | 65c | 461.89$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.89 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Aurora Gaming | 74c | 405$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.3 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed FURIA | 26c | 405$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.3 | 1,080 | 50.9%550 W · 530 L | +38.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7218…8b34backed Aurora Gaming | 69c | 400$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Aurora Gaming | 66c | 334$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.56 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4554…9694backed Aurora Gaming | 66c | 298.76$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.58 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed FURIA | 35c | 225.71$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 120 | 27.5%33 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked Aurora Gaming | 64c | 199.98$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.99 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4969…6d77backed Aurora Gaming | 67c | 193.14$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.14 | 227 | 34.4%78 W · 149 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Aurora Gaming | 67c | 177.31$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.51 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -5.3wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…359bbacked Aurora Gaming | 66c | 169.8$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.39 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked FURIA | 32c | 154.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 391 | 57.5%225 W · 166 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…2dd7backed FURIA | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -7.4wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed FURIA | 13c | 141.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1217…96c6backed FURIA | 35c | 141.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5410…dcc7backed FURIA | 37c | 137.41$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.84 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc110…f3eabacked FURIA | 64c | 133.1$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa157…8641backed FURIA | 34c | 108.82$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11ab…f911backed Aurora Gaming | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb04d…22e6backed FURIA | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad1…7653backed Aurora Gaming | 69c | 86$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc7…ec2abacked FURIA | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…b921backed Aurora Gaming | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd815…1cdebacked Aurora Gaming | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd86…b634backed Aurora Gaming | 67c | 73.24$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x172f…b136backed Aurora Gaming | 65c | 64.62$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed FURIA | 34c | 64.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 428 | 45.6%195 W · 233 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ebb…5db1backed FURIA | 35c | 63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…90a8backed FURIA | 36c | 61.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584c…0da9backed Aurora Gaming | 67c | 56$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Aurora Gaming | 67c | 54.55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…9f19backed FURIA | 34c | 53.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…3152backed FURIA | 34c | 49.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…ec56backed Aurora Gaming | 66c | 45.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.31 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Aurora Gaming | 66c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b6…fdefbacked FURIA | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x341b…b92cbacked Aurora Gaming | 65c | 42.48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Aurora Gaming | 65c | 35.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52cd…85fbbacked FURIA | 36c | 35.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 365 | 41.9%153 W · 212 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59eb…ae8cbacked Aurora Gaming | 36c | 28.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca0b…3c12backed Aurora Gaming | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed52…2dbdbacked FURIA | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…0d14backed Aurora Gaming | 67c | 16.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group AAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.