TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcc8d…5664

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
137
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Valorant, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 58 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT8242.7%35 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 82 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.1
Counter-Strike: G2 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$296
Counter-Strike: K27 vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.87
Counter-Strike: K27 vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winnerbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$277.34
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.34
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs B8 (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffsbacked BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$526Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$526.39
Map Handicap: MNTE (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$39.04
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs ACROBATS (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$168
Counter-Strike: Monte vs M80 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.2
Counter-Strike: Monte vs M80 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+188.5%+$186.15
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs 3DMAX (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffsbacked BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$383.99
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnerbacked BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$235.91
Counter-Strike: Change The Game vs Last Bullet (BO3) - Yuqilin Pinnacle of Battle Group Abacked Last Bullet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.7
Counter-Strike: Chinggis Warriors vs The Huns Esports (BO3) - GangKui Cup Playoffsbacked Chinggis Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+187.3%+$308.78
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Alliance (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$339.5
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Monte (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$261.09
Map Handicap: PSSN.UA (-1.5) vs Sashi Esport (+1.5)backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$319.11
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FaZe (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$402.25
Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.02
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.84
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$260
Counter-Strike: Gaimin Gladiators vs DashSkins (BO3) - FERJEE In House Playoffsbacked DashSkins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.9
Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+176.4%+$360.9
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$413Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$287
Showing 25 of 82 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT2035%7 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - BLAST Slam China Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,061Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,060.97
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$455Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$454.95
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.09
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$223.98
Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Xtreme Gaming (+1.5)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$222
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION (BO1) - ESL One Birmingham Group Abacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$225
Dota 2: paiN Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO5) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+400.9%+$289.57
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.63
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$267.4
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$189.02
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$205
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$236
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$156
Dota 2: Heroic vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$108
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+88.7%+$88.68
All 20 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.65
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$174
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$153
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$155
Will Gen.G win First Stand 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+203%+$308.19
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$416Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$384
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$186
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
LoL: LYON vs LOUD (BO5) - First Stand Group Bbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group Bbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.72
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$186
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$244
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$129
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+88.7%+$133.02
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$153
All 16 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.31per pick32cpaid+89.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Valorant — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex - Map 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$667.74
Valorant: Paper Rex vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$144
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$287.8
Valorant: Paper Rex vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.4
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs All Gamers - Map 2 Winnerbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+300%+$224.99
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$205.91
Valorant: All Gamers vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Valorant: BBL Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 8 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Nuggetsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Celtics vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Wizards vs. Celticsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$182.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Gillian Robertson vs. Amanda Lemos (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Amanda Lemos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.