TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BetBoom Teamof BetBoom Team, Team Liquid
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$685,064

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $685,064 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 432 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfbf3…b218backed BetBoom Team40c67,900$27,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,800.0116147.2%76 W · 85 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Liquid58c44,476$25,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,81555157%314 W · 237 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Team Liquid58c21,646$12,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,509.9812560%75 W · 50 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x66fb…9f72backed BetBoom Team42c19,048$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,047.6254556.5%308 W · 237 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x533e…47f4backed Team Liquid62c12,971$8,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,099.9911359.3%67 W · 46 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Liquid59c9,526$5,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,632.052,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Team Liquid57c8,169$4,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,655.642650%213 W · 213 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Team Liquid58c7,765$4,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,522.459153.8%49 W · 42 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked BetBoom Team39c7,569$2,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,591.31,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked BetBoom Team31c7,367$2,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,104.1213020%26 W · 104 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked BetBoom Team33c7,142$2,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,764.011,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed BetBoom Team44c6,370$2,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,596.4133041.8%138 W · 192 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Team Liquid62c6,217$3,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,829.7577941.1%320 W · 459 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Team Liquid60c5,859$3,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,529.9196557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1196…fe97backed BetBoom Team38c5,531$2,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,429.199636.5%35 W · 61 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb63…a71dbacked Team Liquid59c5,078$2,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,995.8520159.7%120 W · 81 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb517…434bbacked Team Liquid79c5,053$4,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,015.6222842.1%96 W · 132 L-25.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2ce0…6599backed Team Liquid2c4,500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7530%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x168b…0acfbacked Team Liquid69c4,494$3,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,102.518362.8%115 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60d0…e05fbacked BetBoom Team41c4,297$1,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,535.1441242.2%174 W · 238 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Team Liquid66c4,234$2,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,809.054143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f5…3d04backed BetBoom Team57c4,082$2,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,749.7951049%250 W · 260 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59c8…de83backed BetBoom Team41c4,066$1,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,398.859447.9%45 W · 49 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Team Liquid65c3,931$2,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,556.953451.7%276 W · 258 L+2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked BetBoom Team43c3,616$1,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,061.2825549%125 W · 130 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed BetBoom Team46c3,457$1,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,872.312,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Team Liquid60c3,350$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00020156.7%114 W · 87 L+0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Team Liquid64c3,318$2,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,123.5179959.4%475 W · 324 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed BetBoom Team40c3,282$1,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,957.9889440.3%360 W · 534 L+1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed BetBoom Team35c3,090$1,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,008.6817651.1%90 W · 86 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8310…8967backed BetBoom Team41c3,000$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,769.749657.3%55 W · 41 L+8.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb726…0664backed Team Liquid69c2,899$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf94f…9adabacked Team Liquid69c2,883$1,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,988.673762.2%23 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed BetBoom Team33c2,871$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,931.142231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x085e…9aeabacked Team Liquid36c2,753$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009650%48 W · 48 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf257…ba86backed Team Liquid59c2,712$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6002157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55af…0715backed BetBoom Team77c2,605$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.713164.5%20 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xca1f…ed28backed BetBoom Team44c2,515$1,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,413.9660552.6%318 W · 287 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x699f…c3a9backed Team Liquid59c2,507$1,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,489.752161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7dfd…8d75backed Team Liquid34c2,500$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.9924251.7%125 W · 117 L+21.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+15.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3b63…4acdbacked BetBoom Team40c2,500$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.9716248.8%79 W · 83 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f9…cf34backed Team Liquid75c2,465$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,860.1618661.8%115 W · 71 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bcb…b05abacked BetBoom Team58c2,358$1,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981.1838049.2%187 W · 193 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+168.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c29…21aabacked BetBoom Team43c2,102$904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,198.368060%48 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae10…d0d9backed Team Liquid66c2,017$1,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,33417353.2%92 W · 81 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x538e…c195backed Team Liquid59c2,013$1,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,187.7812966.7%86 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8375…ba1dbacked BetBoom Team30c2,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4003154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Team Liquid49c1,921$939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938.717447.3%35 W · 39 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed BetBoom Team41c1,856$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091.6855751.7%288 W · 269 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed BetBoom Team42c1,837$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.221,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…56efbacked BetBoom Team43c1,800$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02656542.8%242 W · 323 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2416…6e91backed BetBoom Team39c1,783$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,094.0338653.9%208 W · 178 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed BetBoom Team64c1,782$1,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.4235758%207 W · 150 L+26.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ea1…f17ebacked Team Liquid2c1,700$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2960%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36d9…c3cabacked Team Liquid59c1,697$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.4544149.4%218 W · 223 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb787…ad0abacked Team Liquid59c1,695$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.0314446.5%67 W · 77 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c7…620cbacked BetBoom Team43c1,646$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.058544.7%38 W · 47 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed BetBoom Team40c1,636$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.4151751.3%265 W · 252 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb17a…c30dbacked BetBoom Team42c1,600$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9303060%18 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed BetBoom Team36c1,553$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.252638.5%10 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d03…9a41backed Team Liquid61c1,508$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912.5823050.9%117 W · 113 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed BetBoom Team41c1,500$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88580443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Team Liquid54c1,479$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.047955.7%44 W · 35 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2570…9fe2backed Team Liquid79c1,475$1,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,161.32254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+57.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed BetBoom Team42c1,325$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.3452243.9%229 W · 293 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Team Liquid57c1,308$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.6810445.2%47 W · 57 L+0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Team Liquid1c1,300$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171040%0 W · 104 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31b5…6128backed BetBoom Team64c1,243$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.5418075%135 W · 45 L+18.8wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+16.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8430…3961backed BetBoom Team72c1,220$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.3830356.4%171 W · 132 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked BetBoom Team36c1,193$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.821,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cf3…eb8ebacked Team Liquid27c1,081$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.255829.3%17 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec54…c7b2backed BetBoom Team43c1,063$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.715650.6%79 W · 77 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Team Liquid72c1,050$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.9932951.7%170 W · 159 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c64…89babacked Team Liquid64c1,023$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.1118745.5%85 W · 102 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed BetBoom Team39c1,018$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.9966662.2%414 W · 252 L+60.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0d31…0286backed BetBoom Team46c1,005$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.74450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f99…c209backed BetBoom Team62c999.97$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.6212851.6%66 W · 62 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcbf7…0e79backed BetBoom Team42c981.33$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.171747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked BetBoom Team30c977.6$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.7699844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61a5…caa6backed BetBoom Team43c959.98$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.194841.7%20 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed BetBoom Team42c952.36$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.371844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77f2…eec6backed Team Liquid58c941.12$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55055457.8%320 W · 234 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x679d…6f07backed Team Liquid71c918.06$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.211631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-34.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x07fa…f5cdbacked BetBoom Team22c910.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.2746240.7%188 W · 274 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed BetBoom Team52c900$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43523650.4%119 W · 117 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92f5…13e5backed BetBoom Team41c891.27$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.7613138.9%51 W · 80 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b89…1069backed BetBoom Team41c890$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.115653.8%84 W · 72 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Team Liquid59c853.05$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-37.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked Team Liquid59c853$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.3413251.5%68 W · 64 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed BetBoom Team64c849.45$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.5665625.6%168 W · 488 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f9f…6a22backed Team Liquid60c833.33$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae4c…dcb9backed BetBoom Team41c814.49$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.4928549.1%140 W · 145 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed Team Liquid54c801.82$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.8958744%258 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2199…f619backed BetBoom Team58c799.98$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.322744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-20.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4f9…32b1backed BetBoom Team63c783.01$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.2931245.8%143 W · 169 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d85…c436backed Team Liquid28c774.33$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.3650832.9%167 W · 341 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x974f…cd80backed Team Liquid30c749.97$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.9955147.5%262 W · 289 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a38…fee0backed BetBoom Team41c747.97$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.360349.9%301 W · 302 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked BetBoom Team46c744.86$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.9492056.4%519 W · 401 L+78.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9055…756abacked Team Liquid61c743.72$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.4411960.5%72 W · 47 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.