Dota2 · resolved market
Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa78bae334701172652638dc25f7c3c966e77581200eab89d39fac5e8eb0d3446
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BetBoom Teamof Team Liquid, BetBoom Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,699
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,699 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd73e…bb87backed Team Liquid | 42c | 670.12$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked BetBoom Team | 57c | 465.12$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked BetBoom Team | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Liquid | 35c | 166.48$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.27 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked BetBoom Team | 65c | 144.75$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Liquid | 35c | 124.31$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.51 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec6…9404backed Team Liquid | 33c | 109$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.97 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked BetBoom Team | 39c | 105.96$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.63 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c20…41b3backed BetBoom Team | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 173 | 23.1%40 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e77…6762backed BetBoom Team | 65c | 99.98$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x479b…7235backed BetBoom Team | 66c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde6e…7fa3backed BetBoom Team | 73c | 68.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked BetBoom Team | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5410…dcc7backed Team Liquid | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b91…492ebacked BetBoom Team | 59c | 40.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4f…9b0cbacked BetBoom Team | 43c | 37.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.51 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f61…3eb5backed BetBoom Team | 64c | 34.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3663…a364backed Team Liquid | 36c | 29.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Team Liquid | 57c | 23.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7219…a4ccbacked Team Liquid | 79c | 20.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0e…8177backed BetBoom Team | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 83 | 65.1%54 W · 29 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)this page
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerBetBoom Team won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 56.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 58.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.