TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6b91…492e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
136
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NHL, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 57 out of 100; worst Lol at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT4862.5%30 W · 18 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+24.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+236.7%+$43.81
Hurricanes vs. Islandersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+132%+$14.48
Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)backed Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Panthers vs. Kraken: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Panthers vs. Krakenbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Kraken vs. Canucksbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Maple Leafs vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$15.29
Hurricanes vs. Lightningbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$17.33
Kings vs. Devils: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Oilers vs. Blues: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$9.44
Blackhawks vs. Utahbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$19.5
Flyers vs. Wildbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Rangers vs. Jetsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Rangers vs. Jets: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.43
Ducks vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+96.5%+$19.29
Capitals vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Capitals vs. Flyersbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Oilers vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Predators vs. Kraken: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Ducks vs. Jets: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Islanders vs. Bluesbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Utah vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$13.39
Golden Knights vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+69.8%+$13.96
Sharks vs. Sabres: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Senators vs. Canucks: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT3354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.88
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$6.64
Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - European Pro League Group Bbacked Spirit Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10.79
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs DOGSENT (BO3) - European Pro League Group Bbacked Nemiga Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$4.04
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+70.6%+$16.94
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.08
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+111.3%+$33.39
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$21.45
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$15.47
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+73.1%+$41.64
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.91
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Team Shpilit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Shpilit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+90.8%+$64.44
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Dota 2: Heroic vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$17.35
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: ECHO vs Walczaki (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Bbacked Walczaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs 9INE (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Abacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+88.5%+$41.16
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$7.14
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.81
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs EYEBALLERS - Map 1 Winnerbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.21
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.53
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.02
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+109.6%+$13.65
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs CSDIILIT (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-Inbacked HyperSpirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.9
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$12.96
All 11 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Gillian Robertson vs. Amanda Lemos (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Gillian Robertson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$38.91
UFC Fight Night: Andre Fili vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Jose Miguel Delgado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$28.77
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Sam Hughes vs. Piera Rodriguez (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Piera Rodriguez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$31.86
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
UFC 326: Michael Johnson vs. Drew Dober (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Drew Dober · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+81.8%+$20.45
UFC 326: Cody Brundage vs. Donte Johnson (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Cody Brundage · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
UFC 326: Sumudaerji vs. Jesus Aguilar (Flyweight, Early Prelims)backed Sumudaerji · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+51.5%+$14.42
All 8 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.27per pick39cpaid-80.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Movistar KOI vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.25
LoL: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.63
LoL: LNG Esports vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.52
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.19
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.56
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.27
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.12
All 8 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+54.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+67.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-40%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: San Diego State Aztecs (-3.5)backed New Mexico Lobos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+79.9%+$23.78
New Mexico Lobos vs. San Diego State Aztecsbacked New Mexico Lobos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
UT Arlington Mavericks vs. Utah Valley Wolverinesbacked UT Arlington Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.89
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Yokkaichi: Fajing Sun vs Masamichi Imamurabacked Masamichi Imamura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Miami Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Victoria Mbokobacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.71
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.