TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

New Mexico Lobos vs. San Diego State Aztecs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
San Diego State Aztecsof New Mexico Lobos, San Diego State Aztecs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$157,121

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,121 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 229 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7d92…8676backed New Mexico Lobos45c11,152$5,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000.7921149.3%104 W · 107 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ec1…057cbacked San Diego State Aztecs57c8,653$4,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,696.148957.3%51 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed San Diego State Aztecs56c7,680$4,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,374.71,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62fb…b277backed San Diego State Aztecs70c5,559$3,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,675.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed New Mexico Lobos2c5,277$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.8717742.9%76 W · 101 L+0.8wins0.00per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked New Mexico Lobos43c4,587$1,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,955.412,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked New Mexico Lobos28c4,100$1,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,168.0749345.4%224 W · 269 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked New Mexico Lobos7c3,285$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.821,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed New Mexico Lobos36c2,982$1,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,087.053,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe16…0621backed New Mexico Lobos32c2,808$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9750…263dbacked San Diego State Aztecs72c2,743$1,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.06825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-60.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed New Mexico Lobos46c2,538$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,179.8314325.9%37 W · 106 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x859e…e962backed San Diego State Aztecs68c2,443$1,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed San Diego State Aztecs56c2,182$1,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.1322954.1%124 W · 105 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f70…9f21backed New Mexico Lobos34c2,101$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.572642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed San Diego State Aztecs50c1,992$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.246440.6%26 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed New Mexico Lobos20c1,912$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.817145.1%32 W · 39 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbedd…7605backed New Mexico Lobos24c1,737$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.953318.2%6 W · 27 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick21cpaid+4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked San Diego State Aztecs62c1,592$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.436852.9%36 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b00…03a9backed New Mexico Lobos33c1,512$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.144025%10 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-41.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x222b…3becbacked New Mexico Lobos36c1,505$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.55475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked San Diego State Aztecs61c1,504$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.2912,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed New Mexico Lobos44c1,498$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.347337%27 W · 46 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed New Mexico Lobos33c1,445$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.1731646.8%148 W · 168 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa455…3ef0backed New Mexico Lobos8c1,300$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10440%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x692e…ee58backed New Mexico Lobos42c1,214$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.963828.9%11 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc03f…17b5backed New Mexico Lobos27c1,203$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed New Mexico Lobos38c1,038$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.545,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked New Mexico Lobos41c999.99$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4102425%6 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-20%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21af…7aa9backed New Mexico Lobos29c958.62$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked New Mexico Lobos45c931.28$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.737142.6%158 W · 213 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2d9…ee8cbacked San Diego State Aztecs68c929.86$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed New Mexico Lobos33c902.06$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.6812045.8%55 W · 65 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d2e…c90bbacked New Mexico Lobos37c836.12$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed San Diego State Aztecs69c795.78$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.8917062.9%107 W · 63 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x143a…5c30backed New Mexico Lobos32c776$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked New Mexico Lobos34c773.28$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.5125829.5%76 W · 182 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe9c…dbaebacked New Mexico Lobos40c752.22$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.411844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d6f…7135backed San Diego State Aztecs66c749.98$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.994047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79db…38b7backed New Mexico Lobos36c741.97$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ad8…aeb9backed San Diego State Aztecs64c719$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x55bb…bc01backed New Mexico Lobos43c713.82$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.942147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2c0…69d0backed San Diego State Aztecs61c710.63$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.246538.5%25 W · 40 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed New Mexico Lobos50c694.38$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.723,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2935…3335backed San Diego State Aztecs63c679$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9c7…007dbacked San Diego State Aztecs74c659.88$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.39560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked San Diego State Aztecs64c644.83$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.4943450%217 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfaa…3858backed San Diego State Aztecs59c620.43$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.94143.9%18 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed San Diego State Aztecs62c604.82$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.114450%72 W · 72 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98b8…6d87backed San Diego State Aztecs71c604$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked New Mexico Lobos43c600$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25855532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7c4…9310backed San Diego State Aztecs73c595$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59aa…3376backed San Diego State Aztecs65c575.92$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.392360.9%14 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6702…0fefbacked San Diego State Aztecs58c562.29$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.11947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed San Diego State Aztecs55c545.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.3619554.9%107 W · 88 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked New Mexico Lobos29c530.1$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.21,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed New Mexico Lobos43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21537246.2%172 W · 200 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8507…37fabacked New Mexico Lobos43c498.59$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.3930%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f04…1d79backed New Mexico Lobos33c498.02$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.34825%12 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked San Diego State Aztecs70c492.53$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.1874152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c25…58b5backed New Mexico Lobos32c491$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked New Mexico Lobos51c488.98$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.1370349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked New Mexico Lobos41c488.77$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1981020%2 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-56.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa97c…5ec3backed San Diego State Aztecs71c479$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e59…1520backed New Mexico Lobos35c477.97$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.262944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x670b…f993backed San Diego State Aztecs73c476$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecf9…9372backed San Diego State Aztecs80c471.56$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.64650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-33.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d1c…1a43backed San Diego State Aztecs63c454$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed San Diego State Aztecs69c434.58$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.798757.5%50 W · 37 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed New Mexico Lobos52c426.7$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.223053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked San Diego State Aztecs61c400.68$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.414,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dca…a7acbacked San Diego State Aztecs62c388.15$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.6125254.8%138 W · 114 L-15.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked New Mexico Lobos55c380.32$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.124146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ca…04b5backed New Mexico Lobos14c375.73$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.061050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+88.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed San Diego State Aztecs67c373.9$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.692,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc2e…d885backed San Diego State Aztecs68c353.29$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked New Mexico Lobos44c344.97$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.792,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked New Mexico Lobos34c337.56$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.9877142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c28…09e5backed San Diego State Aztecs64c337$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x57fe…13c1backed San Diego State Aztecs68c324.17$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.42475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8a9…abb9backed San Diego State Aztecs60c320$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1281100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ab5…ff12backed New Mexico Lobos32c310.12$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.248130.9%25 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01ae…5042backed New Mexico Lobos36c305.52$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked New Mexico Lobos45c297.4$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.831,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d6…be17backed New Mexico Lobos31c294.77$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.031369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x801d…126dbacked New Mexico Lobos37c289.62$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3d6…e952backed San Diego State Aztecs54c270.09$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.357350.7%37 W · 36 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+18.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8da1…339ebacked San Diego State Aztecs57c267.86$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.183342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed San Diego State Aztecs59c255.82$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.8872248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x458b…c823backed San Diego State Aztecs73c254$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9091…2dd1backed New Mexico Lobos29c249$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01a7…2756backed San Diego State Aztecs68c245.12$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b35…51b3backed San Diego State Aztecs61c243.85$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3acf…92bebacked New Mexico Lobos32c239$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae2a…5df7backed New Mexico Lobos37c234.07$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd95c…355abacked New Mexico Lobos6c233.04$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.98250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3469…11bcbacked San Diego State Aztecs68c231.23$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c10…a305backed New Mexico Lobos36c227.23$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.071060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+50.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed San Diego State Aztecs55c216.29$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.331,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…4638backed New Mexico Lobos38c212.23$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.585152.9%27 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.