TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x692e…ee58

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
342
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT17428.2%49 W · 125 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 174 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$383.87
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$750
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+94.2%+$94.23
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.28
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$157
Spread: Lakers (-4.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.5
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$252.02
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$47.5
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.17
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.15
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.51
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.52
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+187.8%+$36.09
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$304.69
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.88
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$79.87
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.92
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.25
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.95
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$270.68
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.06
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.26
Showing 25 of 174 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT3828.9%11 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.61
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.1
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.02
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Will St. John's win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.27
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.93
High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.15
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.5
Spread: Miami Hurricanes (-2.5)backed Missouri Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.57
Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-11.5)backed Gonzaga Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.56
Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-12.5)backed Gonzaga Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.57
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Kennesaw State Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.84
High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgersbacked High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+320.9%+$322.42
Spread: TCU Horned Frogs (-8.5)backed TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.13
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Colorado State Ramsbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$106.33
Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-2.5)backed SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$296.48
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. UC Irvine Anteatersbacked UC Irvine Anteaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.69
Spread: North Carolina State Wolfpack (-1.5)backed Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+84.3%+$222.94
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhornsbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.35
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked UMBC Retrievers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.55
Liberty Flames vs. George Mason Patriotsbacked George Mason Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.25
California Baptist Lancers vs. Utah Valley Wolverinesbacked California Baptist Lancers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$347Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+160.4%+$556.86
San Diego State Aztecs vs. Utah State Aggiesbacked San Diego State Aztecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$550.13
New Mexico Lobos vs. San Diego State Aztecsbacked New Mexico Lobos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$509.96
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT3342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 0.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Sean Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$513Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+121.9%+$625.55
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Joshua Van · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+176.4%+$348.41
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Waldo Cortes-Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC Fight Night: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Aljamain Sterling · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$11.24
UFC Fight Night: Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Alexander Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.96
UFC Fight Night: Davey Grant vs. Adrian Luna Martinetti (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Davey Grant · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+43.3%+$19.85
UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Montel Jackson (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Montel Jackson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.49
UFC Fight Night: Eric McConico vs. Rodolfo Vieira (null, Prelims)backed Rodolfo Vieira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.22
UFC Fight Night: Ryan Spann vs. Marcus Buchecha (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Ryan Spann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$46.18
UFC Fight Night: Mayra Bueno Silva vs. Michelle Montague (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Mayra Bueno Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.02
UFC Fight Night: Jafel Filho vs. Cody Durden (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Cody Durden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+72.7%+$141.7
UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Chris Duncan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.33
UFC Fight Night: Virna Jandiroba vs. Tabatha Ricci (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Tabatha Ricci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.62
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Joe Pyfer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$254.55
UFC Fight Night: Yousri Belgaroui vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Mansur Abdul-Malik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
UFC Fight Night: Ignacio Bahamondes vs. Tofiq Musayev (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Tofiq Musayev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.5
UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Tyrell Fortune (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Tyrell Fortune · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Lerone Murphy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.11
UFC Fight Night: Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Luke Riley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
UFC Fight Night: Danny Silva vs. Kurtis Campbell (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Danny Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$93.9
UFC Fight Night: Gillian Robertson vs. Amanda Lemos (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Amanda Lemos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$251.69
UFC Fight Night: Andre Fili vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Andre Fili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2825%7 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-31.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$251
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$2,370Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,369.6
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$524Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$524
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$161
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$148
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$457Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$456.71
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+80.6%+$402.75
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$283.49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$262.41
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,525Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+127.2%+$1,939.32
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$381Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$381.22
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,165Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$613.71
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$423Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+94.2%+$398.91
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.45
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+262.2%+$1,573
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$546Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+547.6%+$2,992.1
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,353Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,352.82
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT2245.5%10 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+3.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BMW Open: Alexander Zverev vs Flavio Cobollibacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.21
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$139.87
Miami Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Zverev vs. Sinner: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+87.5%+$87.51
Jiri Lehecka vs. Arthur Fils: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+76.3%+$76.33
Gauff vs. Muchova: Match O/U 23.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Miami Open: Tommy Paul vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+300%+$75
Miami Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptistebacked Hailey Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Miami Open: Martin Landaluce vs Jiri Leheckabacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Phoenix: Marcos Giron vs Ethan Quinnbacked Marcos Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$263.86
BNP Paribas Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$599Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$598.74
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$331.4
BNP Paribas Open: Elena Rybakina vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.88
BNP Paribas Open: Jessica Pegula vs Elena Rybakinabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
BNP Paribas Open: Elina Svitolina vs Iga Swiatekbacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+144%+$360.1
BNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Jack Draperbacked Jack Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$405Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+161.9%+$655.52
BNP Paribas Open: Jessica Pegula vs Belinda Bencicbacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.89
BNP Paribas Open: Joao Fonseca vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
BNP Paribas Open: Learner Tien vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$312.31
Austin: Paula Badosa vs Gabriela Rusebacked Gabriela Ruse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
BNP Paribas Open: Arthur Fils vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$210.62
BNP Paribas Open: Alexander Bublik vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Rinky Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+138.5%+$282.45
All 22 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT2035%7 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.28
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$241.84
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$241.6
Texas Rangers vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.12
San Francisco Giants vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$118.19
New York Yankees vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.87
Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.14
Detroit Tigers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.49
New York Yankees vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+58.8%+$38.63
Cleveland Guardians vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Cleveland Guardians vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+157.1%+$164.37
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+187.3%+$187.27
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+92.5%+$185
Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.66
Cleveland Guardians vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$127.27
Final Stage: USA vs. Venezuelabacked Venezuela · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+104.2%+$100.51
Final Stage: Italy vs. Venezuelabacked Italy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Final Stage: Dominican Rep. vs. USAbacked Dominican Rep. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Final Stage: Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 20 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-43.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+78.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.58per pick8cpaid+602.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$533.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+71.9%+$359.81
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brazil win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.