UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Danny Silva vs. Kurtis Campbell (Featherweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1c09ae16e6c61900b67381698e623c1ee67da228f260121594bfc38814d0503
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Danny Silvaof Danny Silva, Kurtis Campbell
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $563,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $563,809 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 277 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Danny Silva | 28c | 149,989$41,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108,212.2 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…ff78backed Kurtis Campbell | 72c | 96,374$69,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,803.27 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Kurtis Campbell | 72c | 31,225$22,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,469.75 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf40…87debacked Kurtis Campbell | 75c | 26,748$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Kurtis Campbell | 72c | 23,500$16,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,920 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Danny Silva | 27c | 23,482$6,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,073.57 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c29…afadbacked Kurtis Campbell | 66c | 20,855$13,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,859.37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…fd52backed Danny Silva | 47c | 17,982$8,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,464.84 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kurtis Campbell | 72c | 14,874$10,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,704.95 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Danny Silva | 28c | 14,054$3,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,085.47 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…d420backed Danny Silva | 28c | 10,000$2,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,152.07 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Kurtis Campbell | 71c | 9,855$6,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,997.31 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Kurtis Campbell | 71c | 8,429$5,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,942.58 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…85e4backed Kurtis Campbell | 2c | 7,400$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…c230backed Kurtis Campbell | 1c | 7,200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.24per pick | 5cpaid | +515.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Danny Silva | 26c | 6,612$1,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,899.33 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe56…593abacked Kurtis Campbell | 1c | 6,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…e32bbacked Kurtis Campbell | 1c | 6,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Danny Silva | 27c | 5,996$1,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,376.89 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Kurtis Campbell | 72c | 5,668$4,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,081.26 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Danny Silva | 27c | 5,555$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,055.15 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf05c…66b9backed Kurtis Campbell | 1c | 5,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed Kurtis Campbell | 3c | 4,650$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 5cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Kurtis Campbell | 3c | 4,650$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Danny Silva | 24c | 4,100$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,117.48 | 159 | 39.6%63 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Kurtis Campbell | 72c | 4,043$2,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,911.15 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8735…41bbbacked Kurtis Campbell | 1c | 4,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf94f…9adabacked Kurtis Campbell | 76c | 3,608$2,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,732 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Danny Silva | 29c | 3,258$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300.49 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Danny Silva | 28c | 3,214$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,314.29 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…b46ebacked Kurtis Campbell | 71c | 3,118$2,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,213.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked Kurtis Campbell | 2c | 3,050$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Kurtis Campbell | 72c | 2,896$2,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,085.12 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…8e5abacked Danny Silva | 28c | 2,630$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,901.91 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Danny Silva | 27c | 2,597$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,895.81 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Danny Silva | 28c | 2,555$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839.6 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Kurtis Campbell | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 5cpaid | +238.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Kurtis Campbell | 72c | 1,800$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.97 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Danny Silva | 28c | 1,787$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.35 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Danny Silva | 32c | 1,758$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.64 | 291 | 33.7%98 W · 193 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Kurtis Campbell | 5c | 1,750$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed Kurtis Campbell | 73c | 1,678$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e3…1080backed Kurtis Campbell | 67c | 1,600$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3f…5c6fbacked Danny Silva | 28c | 1,560$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.98 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Kurtis Campbell | 67c | 1,541$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.84 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Kurtis Campbell | 1c | 1,500$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 1cpaid | +327.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Kurtis Campbell | 72c | 1,491$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.7 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Danny Silva | 27c | 1,414$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.21 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddc…03c3backed Kurtis Campbell | 72c | 1,349$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.26 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -10.9wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Danny Silva | 28c | 1,347$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966 | 265 | 52.1%138 W · 127 L | +23.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…6599backed Kurtis Campbell | 2c | 1,300$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 2cpaid | +215.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Danny Silva | 31c | 1,281$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.4 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b6…159dbacked Danny Silva | 28c | 1,224$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.28 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Kurtis Campbell | 69c | 1,120$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Danny Silva | 33c | 1,060$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.02 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Danny Silva | 34c | 1,005$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.65 | 360 | 48.3%174 W · 186 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Kurtis Campbell | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Danny Silva | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf05…f8e1backed Kurtis Campbell | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23ec…759fbacked Kurtis Campbell | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Danny Silva | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Kurtis Campbell | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Kurtis Campbell | 1c | 1,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea1…f17ebacked Kurtis Campbell | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Danny Silva | 35c | 993$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.45 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Danny Silva | 31c | 982$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.12 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…7d71backed Kurtis Campbell | 66c | 960$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.6 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…ba3dbacked Kurtis Campbell | 66c | 960$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.6 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Kurtis Campbell | 67c | 911.61$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.78 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Danny Silva | 29c | 862.07$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.07 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Danny Silva | 18c | 854.7$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.71 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -15.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Danny Silva | 29c | 821.61$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.82 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Kurtis Campbell | 72c | 777$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.44 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b69…3c3cbacked Kurtis Campbell | 66c | 755.63$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Danny Silva | 33c | 750.26$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.67 | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Danny Silva | 33c | 716$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.54 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Danny Silva | 28c | 700$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8accbacked Danny Silva | 28c | 635$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Danny Silva | 32c | 625.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f22…6482backed Kurtis Campbell | 67c | 598.32$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Kurtis Campbell | 71c | 585.78$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.07 | 224 | 38.4%86 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1507…e175backed Danny Silva | 35c | 570.68$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.68 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…884ebacked Danny Silva | 24c | 568.59$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.13 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Kurtis Campbell | 73c | 562$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.96 | 367 | 55.3%203 W · 164 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Kurtis Campbell | 73c | 547.95$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 76 | 71.1%54 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa70b…7a8abacked Danny Silva | 28c | 535.71$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x360b…982fbacked Kurtis Campbell | 68c | 508.91$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.06 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Danny Silva | 28c | 500$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 378 | 54.8%207 W · 171 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Danny Silva | 32c | 499.97$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.98 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed Danny Silva | 27c | 462.96$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.96 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Danny Silva | 29c | 441.21$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.26 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…c7cfbacked Kurtis Campbell | 72c | 426.39$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -4.0wins | -0.23per pick | 71cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0507…165fbacked Danny Silva | 34c | 402.94$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Kurtis Campbell | 72c | 400$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Danny Silva | 32c | 400$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Danny Silva | 27c | 392.59$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.59 | 209 | 33.5%70 W · 139 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Kurtis Campbell | 72c | 382$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.04 | 243 | 56.8%138 W · 105 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Danny Silva | 33c | 378.79$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.79 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7371…cadebacked Danny Silva | 28c | 357.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.6 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Danny Silva | 71c | 344.83$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Danny Silva vs. Kurtis Campbell (Featherweight, Main Card)this page
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
- Will Kurtis Campbell win by KO or TKO?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.