TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc64e…fd52

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
169
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 52 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT5837.9%22 W · 36 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,517Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+315.6%+$4,787.84
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,016Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$1,693.79
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.63
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.38
Pistons vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,299Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$609.78
Jazz vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,185Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+80.8%+$1,766.15
Rockets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$6,980Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,979.7
Thunder vs. Celticsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$667Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$667.25
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,245Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,244.86
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$7,546Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$2,730.4
Pelicans vs. Knicksbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$388.22
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$9,737Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$2,760.65
Rockets vs. Bullsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,636Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,636.39
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12,023Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+70.3%+$8,452.52
Bucks vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$6,931Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,930.78
76ers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$633Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$632.5
Heat vs. Rocketsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,857Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,857.21
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$6,303Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+130.2%+$8,205.86
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,555Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$651.89
Bucks vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$877Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$876.71
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$249.24
Hornets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$594Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$593.83
Jazz vs. Magicbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$3,637Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$3,636.77
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$598Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$598.49
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$3,553Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$3,552.8
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT4829.2%14 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Chris Padilla vs. Nasrat Haqparast (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Nasrat Haqparast · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.68
UFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Nikita Krylov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$4,066Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,066.3
UFC 329: Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Elisha Ellison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.17
UFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Manuel Torres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.39
MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perrybacked Perry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$39.3
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Melquizael Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,084Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,083.85
UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Malcolm Wellmaker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.73
UFC Fight Night: Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Tuco Tokkos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.88
UFC Fight Night: Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Polyana Viana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.18
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Joaquin Buckley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.38
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Sean Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+581.8%+$706.56
UFC 328: Jeremy Stephens vs. King Green (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Jeremy Stephens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Joshua Van · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$825Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+262.9%+$2,168.06
UFC 328: Ozzy Diaz vs. Ateba Gautier (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Ozzy Diaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$539Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$538.5
UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Joel Álvarez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.13
UFC 328: Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Mateusz Rebecki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.29
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jirí Procházka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$5,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,199.51
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Josh Hokit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$692Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+177.7%+$1,230.49
UFC 327: Johnny Walker vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Dominick Reyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,374Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+36.9%+$506.38
UFC Fight Night: Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Rafael Estevam · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.67
UFC Fight Night: Manolo Zecchini vs. Tommy McMillen (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Manolo Zecchini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.29
UFC Fight Night: Jose Delano vs. Robert Ruchala (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Robert Ruchala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.62
UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Guilherme Pat (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Thomas Petersen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,235Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+72.8%+$1,628.25
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Joe Pyfer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+115.5%+$98.58
UFC Fight Night: Yousri Belgaroui vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Mansur Abdul-Malik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.19
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT3237.5%12 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-28.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$2,859Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,858.96
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,651Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+48.8%+$805.74
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$2,113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,112.79
Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Vanderbilt Commodores (W)backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+106.5%+$163.29
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.16
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11,162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,161.95
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17,188Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$17,187.87
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. New Mexico Lobosbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.25
Wichita State Shockers vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricanebacked Wichita State Shockers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$3,622Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,621.66
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$8,825Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+229.7%+$20,266.87
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.43
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$418Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$418.32
Illinois State Redbirds vs. Wake Forest Demon Deaconsbacked Illinois State Redbirds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,020Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+57.7%+$588.79
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16,568Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+57.7%+$9,553
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,482Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,482.32
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$4,119Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+123.2%+$5,074.3
Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcatsbacked Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,808Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$525.26
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,837Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+64%+$1,816.79
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Kennesaw State Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.45
Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Siena Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$2,772Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,772.03
West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Cincinnati Bearcatsbacked Cincinnati Bearcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$18.84
North Florida Ospreys vs. West Georgia Wolvesbacked West Georgia Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$965Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$964.87
Washington State Cougars vs. Oregon State Beaversbacked Oregon State Beavers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,785Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+77.8%+$2,167.21
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Washington Huskiesbacked Washington Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$47.59
Clemson Tigers vs. Stanford Cardinalbacked Clemson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,920Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+74%+$1,421.54
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-63.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$6,913Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+49.7%+$3,434.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$567Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$567
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$6,174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$6,173.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Lopez vs. Stevensonbacked Lopez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$455Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$455
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.