TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Boxing · resolved market

Boxing: Lopez vs. Stevenson

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Stevensonof Lopez, Stevenson
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,966
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,749

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,966 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Boxing
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xafba…e61bbacked Stevenson72c13,429$9,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,771.491233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-41.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b74…4855backed Lopez27c7,379$2,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,027.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e39…4543backed Stevenson72c6,185$4,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,745.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Stevenson69c5,000$3,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,549.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Lopez21c3,638$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.8714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.21per pick35cpaid-73.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Lopez28c3,557$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.061118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-58%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Stevenson72c2,975$2,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.63250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-30.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x603e…43febacked Stevenson76c2,630$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b81…3a45backed Lopez28c1,965$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b11…96d8backed Lopez33c1,534$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc64e…fd52backed Lopez30c1,500$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11f2…802abacked Lopez28c1,496$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c79…8b69backed Stevenson79c1,258$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.92450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Lopez31c988$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.81118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick35cpaid-66.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc363…9fd8backed Lopez11c951.33$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x413d…ce81backed Lopez38c950.31$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x725a…c392backed Stevenson75c934.65$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.662100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+128.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Lopez20c924.59$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.92922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-67.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed Lopez28c911$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Lopez32c896.31$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45fe…59c9backed Lopez28c860.89$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac75…a9e9backed Lopez28c860$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Stevenson61c858.55$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.831145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-24.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed82…2ecbbacked Lopez29c827.12$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23920%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6570…32ccbacked Lopez28c800$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed Stevenson64c792.56$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.44475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa995…3d50backed Stevenson69c757.2$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x603d…2e4bbacked Lopez27c732.49$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1993…7404backed Lopez27c727.52$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Stevenson73c700$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1892100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+103.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7842…4d91backed Lopez24c684.81$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.64520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-68.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3073…c6adbacked Lopez30c603.08$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18330%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked Lopez16c602.07$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.081520%3 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc444…fe6dbacked Lopez28c510.25$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6ad…6a46backed Lopez29c459.33$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c56…c18dbacked Lopez39c451.64$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb591…aba5backed Lopez35c450.97$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5345…a83abacked Lopez29c449.14$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeba4…69fbbacked Stevenson71c416.15$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.77333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-53%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb43…9d70backed Stevenson75c400.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.96742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65e3…7361backed Lopez27c400$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8982…59fbbacked Lopez28c393.79$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bdc…8eedbacked Lopez27c390$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc17b…4b1ebacked Lopez31c366.77$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x127a…ca56backed Lopez27c358.96$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae44…3a83backed Lopez30c337.66$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+68.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Stevenson75c328.29$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Stevenson65c327.98$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0506…8c6abacked Stevenson68c311.44$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.192479.2%19 W · 5 L+6.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+76.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x4889…e2d8backed Stevenson74c307.53$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.971758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Lopez31c305.4$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.6730%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bcc…4324backed Lopez26c299.97$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2584…9160backed Lopez38c265.19$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.6450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca6…6c64backed Lopez30c241.89$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.850%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d60…07e9backed Lopez31c233.1$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeadd…09bbbacked Lopez21c230$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe611…3c04backed Lopez39c225.64$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bd4…8473backed Lopez26c220.1$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b92…ee36backed Lopez32c214.69$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcf6…c499backed Lopez28c214.29$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa26b…a7c0backed Lopez29c204.83$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Lopez25c199.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504942.9%21 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-27.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1216…7288backed Lopez27c170.37$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4650%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66f5…f417backed Lopez29c169.52$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f7e…4c71backed Stevenson75c166.67$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd59…0a77backed Lopez35c157.14$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Lopez25c149.85$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.151010%1 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick19cpaid-71.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90d6…22ddbacked Lopez27c148.15$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Lopez30c146.39$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.05458.9%4 W · 41 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72ce…c9b5backed Stevenson75c145.33$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39cb…46e8backed Stevenson70c142.69$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60de…6722backed Stevenson74c135.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd034…f7dfbacked Lopez43c116.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeda7…c9f2backed Lopez31c113.87$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaac…e5bebacked Lopez29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9a6…05e1backed Lopez30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6147…cbb8backed Lopez35c99.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Stevenson75c99.88$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.88633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe691…f4bcbacked Lopez29c98.67$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e7f…a7efbacked Stevenson74c98$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc03a…885fbacked Stevenson75c97.33$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63d6…bafbbacked Stevenson63c95.76$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd44…621dbacked Stevenson75c93.04$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17e7…77b1backed Lopez28c92.86$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb54…2c07backed Lopez12c92.06$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+34.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Stevenson72c90.5$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.97714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick37cpaid-80.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d32…32e1backed Stevenson65c89.98$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+52.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17fc…b238backed Lopez28c87.32$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fb4…28c0backed Lopez28c87$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab47…2667backed Lopez36c83.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c7…19e7backed Stevenson75c79.21$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Stevenson74c78.57$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.251464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x94ea…c9d0backed Lopez28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13c2…2ab6backed Lopez28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63ad…4292backed Lopez29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1da…86abbacked Lopez29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a3b…2138backed Stevenson75c68.73$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.432100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked Stevenson58c62$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc665…9ba3backed Lopez26c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-53.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0703…7584backed Lopez27c55.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.