TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7c56…c18d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
96
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Middle East, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 52 out of 100; worst NHL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bad Bunny say "Fuck ICE" at the Big Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$34.29
Will Drake perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$21.27
Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+143.9%+$35.95
Spread: Patriots (-7.5)backed Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$69.42
Bills vs. Steelersbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+63.9%+$15.56
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+143.9%+$28.78
Eagles vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+177.8%+$35.56
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+56.3%+$7.03
Spread: Lions (-10.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$12.5
Spread: Bills (-6.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+78.6%+$34.42
Lions vs. Eaglesbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$29.33
Chiefs vs. Billsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$24.99
Broncos vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$55.45
Packers vs. Steelersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$25.34
Texans vs. Seahawksbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Lions (-5.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$46.95
Falcons vs. 49ersbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Commanders vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$47.92
Bills vs. Falcons: O/U 49.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$14.41
Bills vs. Falconsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Bills (-4.5)backed Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$32.73
Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Eagles (-7.5)backed Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$23.08
Patriots vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$438Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$437.6
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST2347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Georgia vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$34.98
Spread: Alabama (-5.5)backed Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$55.55
Spread: Ohio State (-10.5)backed Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Texas A&M vs. Texasbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Spread: Oregon (-9.5)backed Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+112.8%+$88.23
Akron vs. Bowlingbacked Akron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+122.2%+$24.13
Oregon vs. Iowabacked Iowa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$10.39
Oklahoma vs. Tennesseebacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+177.8%+$35.52
Vanderbilt vs. Texasbacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$88.68
UCF vs. Baylorbacked UCF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Texas A&M vs. LSUbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$20.73
Middle Tennessee vs. Delaware Blue Hensbacked Middle Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Western Kentucky vs. Louisiana Techbacked Western Kentucky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$40.76
Spread: Notre Dame (-10.5)backed USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$10.96
Texas A&M vs. Arkansasbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+36.2%+$22.1
Louisville vs. Miamibacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$146.63
O/U 58.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Arkansas State vs. South Alabamabacked South Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Georgia vs. Auburnbacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+160.3%+$107.43
Michigan vs. USCbacked USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+37%+$12.95
Indiana vs. Oregonbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
TCU vs. Kansas Statebacked Kansas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$16.91
Miami vs. Florida Statebacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$17.89
All 23 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST1457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Miami Heat?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$24.95
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$23.62
Magic vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+63.9%+$9.78
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+58.7%+$17.62
Bulls vs. Pacersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$53
Pacers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$13.18
Knicks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+112.5%+$16.87
Raptors vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Warriors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.38
Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Spurs vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Wizards vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+25%+$6.5
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$33.31
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$39
All 14 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 15, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-55%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Red Wingsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.83
Penguins vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Blackhawks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$14.05
All 3 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$28.74
Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$48
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grokipedia released by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
OpenAI browser by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$22.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-10-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$18.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 10, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 20, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will West Ham win on 2025-10-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Lopez vs. Stevensonbacked Lopez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$175.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.