Venezuela · resolved market
Maduro out in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xafc235557ace53ff0b0d2e93392314a7c3f3daab26a79050e985c11282f66df7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,641,401
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,626,808
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,641,401 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 4,211 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x36c2…6127backed Yes | 5c | 908,652$42,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,334 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -22%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa31f…c016backed Yes | 9c | 798,500$71,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,852.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…714bbacked Yes | 5c | 752,655$39,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,241.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +314.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…b8a8backed Yes | 6c | 750,724$45,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,548.54 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.27per pick | 19cpaid | +146%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 0c | 529,305$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.82 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d7…45f2backed Yes | 3c | 473,695$12,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,431.82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699d…58d2backed Yes | 14c | 322,400$46,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,505.07 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf32…1762backed Yes | 1c | 300,480$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,839.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 4cpaid | +512.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…b72cbacked Yes | 3c | 297,899$7,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,999.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.63per pick | 12cpaid | +451.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b4…64edbacked Yes | 4c | 260,131$10,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,718.83 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d2…2280backed Yes | 26c | 255,738$67,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,344.92 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Yes | 15c | 223,625$32,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,602 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 1c | 202,799$2,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,101.63 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9225…9a5bbacked Yes | 0c | 200,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…357dbacked Yes | 21c | 197,616$41,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,953.04 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1913…b494backed Yes | 4c | 195,275$7,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,455.04 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4206…bb16backed Yes | 4c | 187,412$6,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,895.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +196%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 18c | 175,890$31,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,933.95 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…6ea1backed Yes | 18c | 167,438$29,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,410.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…3d85backed Yes | 5c | 165,946$7,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,742.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +458.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44de…9c08backed Yes | 10c | 163,224$16,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,039.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.51per pick | 24cpaid | +188.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79ca…d807backed Yes | 3c | 158,495$5,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,477.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ad…be8cbacked Yes | 23c | 147,458$33,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,403.34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -54%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…f365backed Yes | 5c | 143,289$7,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,118.79 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 28cpaid | +107.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x600b…42dcbacked Yes | 2c | 142,225$3,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,110.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +205.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Yes | 14c | 133,390$18,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,383.86 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8005…8de3backed Yes | 18c | 131,453$23,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,607.33 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0efd…1567backed Yes | 8c | 126,636$9,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,718.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 20cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c16…0489backed Yes | 6c | 123,618$7,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,750.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d2…a162backed Yes | 9c | 121,427$11,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,157 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc70…4aedbacked Yes | 3c | 120,408$3,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,951.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +527.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa372…1b3ebacked Yes | 5c | 119,598$5,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,765.39 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…9728backed Yes | 17c | 119,000$20,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,174.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2e…36fdbacked Yes | 1c | 118,488$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +175.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e02…817ebacked No | 74c | 117,368$87,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,101.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e3e…4a75backed Yes | 16c | 117,247$18,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,500.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 0c | 116,481$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.57 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +118.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4b…5e45backed Yes | 4c | 115,481$4,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,581.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfddf…f33dbacked Yes | 5c | 113,318$6,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +136.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…c3b4backed Yes | 4c | 109,118$3,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,983.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8340…a024backed Yes | 4c | 107,611$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,840.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 23cpaid | +283.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa268…d60bbacked Yes | 19c | 106,965$19,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,802.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +95%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 4c | 101,429$3,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,598.38 | 33 | 0%0 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c8…f51abacked Yes | 23c | 100,793$22,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,782.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8398…749abacked Yes | 0c | 100,100$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 6cpaid | +354.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…fdd5backed Yes | 3c | 94,933$3,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,011.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 5c | 91,648$5,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,004.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 11cpaid | +225.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 5c | 90,022$4,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,454 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa854…ad0fbacked Yes | 21c | 89,888$18,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,718.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17a5…c36fbacked Yes | 15c | 87,803$13,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,045.19 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 20cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x925b…640ebacked Yes | 14c | 87,534$11,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,984.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…56eabacked Yes | 15c | 86,520$12,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,613.72 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1295…5cfdbacked Yes | 19c | 86,456$16,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,820.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03af…87cbbacked Yes | 20c | 85,057$17,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,381.63 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd95…8c17backed Yes | 21c | 82,958$17,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,431.31 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -63%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d02…816dbacked Yes | 4c | 82,867$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1850…a9debacked Yes | 16c | 81,994$13,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,051.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 24cpaid | +184.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b0…ba0bbacked Yes | 19c | 79,257$15,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,294.16 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ea…ad03backed Yes | 8c | 79,216$6,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,337.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe56…9be6backed Yes | 19c | 78,693$15,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,330.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x376d…9b48backed Yes | 13c | 74,592$9,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,844.84 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd576…d5e3backed Yes | 20c | 72,860$14,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,633.63 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x626d…ff68backed Yes | 18c | 68,284$12,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,174.84 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 16c | 66,500$10,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,597.96 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 14cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf70f…44ddbacked Yes | 1c | 66,203$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 4cpaid | +520.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e8…5b74backed Yes | 17c | 65,843$11,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,115.3 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 3c | 65,192$1,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,631.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7f…cf7cbacked Yes | 12c | 64,661$7,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,735.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b44…264ebacked Yes | 20c | 63,798$12,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,674.74 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed No | 76c | 62,573$47,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,146.4 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +124.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec2…2482backed Yes | 2c | 61,391$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 5cpaid | +262.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 16c | 60,088$9,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,526.89 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a44…30c4backed Yes | 18c | 58,646$10,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,694.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd90f…7b32backed Yes | 24c | 57,994$13,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,900.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0a…4a63backed Yes | 1c | 57,555$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 5cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25ee…c453backed Yes | 15c | 56,410$8,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,657.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed Yes | 2c | 56,073$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Yes | 17c | 55,919$9,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,261.3 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…43dcbacked Yes | 17c | 54,821$9,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,192.07 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 8c | 53,165$4,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,055.27 | 52 | 19.2%10 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 15c | 52,618$7,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,662.56 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a23…fa9bbacked Yes | 7c | 51,953$3,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,621.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 18cpaid | +166.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…1047backed Yes | 3c | 51,313$1,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,636.79 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.30per pick | 16cpaid | +109.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…e2bdbacked Yes | 6c | 50,811$3,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,147.96 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed No | 80c | 50,662$40,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,313.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb86…72e9backed Yes | 4c | 50,138$1,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,994 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.56per pick | 19cpaid | +323.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe068…4d6dbacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 7c | 49,409$3,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,513.27 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b49…f2dfbacked Yes | 17c | 48,740$8,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,200.07 | 70 | 2.9%2 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…4064backed No | 73c | 47,850$35,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,784.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +120.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 17c | 47,500$7,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,849.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e77…482ebacked Yes | 11c | 47,453$5,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,113.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…a92abacked Yes | 14c | 47,235$6,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,800.45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3c…4337backed Yes | 18c | 46,657$8,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,269.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95d4…c38cbacked No | 79c | 44,995$35,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,553.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb06…49d4backed Yes | 0c | 44,691$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5666…c630backed Yes | 14c | 42,713$6,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,027.01 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed No | 79c | 41,912$32,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,009.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1879…4344backed Yes | 5c | 40,829$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +614.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33d2…952ebacked No | 79c | 40,672$32,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,599.35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Maduro out in 2025?this page
- Maduro out by December 31, 2026?Yes won
- Maduro out by February 28, 2026?Yes won
- Maduro out by January 31, 2026?Yes won
- Maduro out by March 31, 2026?Yes won
- Maduro out by November 30, 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.