Venezuela · resolved market
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa953bea944d7264285c0a2cc1f92809a7d9db78138b1c3de9cc23d8917f14d6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,568,345
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,469,387
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,568,345 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 631 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Yes | 2c | 551,792$8,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,462.59 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…56eabacked Yes | 4c | 100,000$3,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,850.92 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7f…cf7cbacked Yes | 3c | 97,159$2,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,862.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa372…1b3ebacked Yes | 1c | 82,504$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.63 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 4c | 79,432$3,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,107.59 | 33 | 0%0 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce66…cc64backed Yes | 1c | 69,344$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.97 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 2c | 65,749$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.91 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 2c | 65,193$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.05 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 1c | 60,326$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.61 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…357dbacked Yes | 4c | 58,481$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe906…9b0bbacked Yes | 5c | 55,630$2,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,607.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x238a…1574backed Yes | 3c | 54,580$1,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,742.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a4…c8a2backed Yes | 7c | 51,706$3,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,402.29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b4…64edbacked Yes | 2c | 51,602$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.17 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 3c | 44,542$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.72 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b97…fa6bbacked Yes | 4c | 43,973$1,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,866 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3c…4337backed Yes | 6c | 42,926$2,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,378.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1e…f988backed Yes | 2c | 39,611$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0931…2edebacked Yes | 2c | 38,228$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 3c | 36,433$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…f2cbbacked Yes | 5c | 34,214$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,819.82 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f2f…21babacked Yes | 4c | 34,105$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388.22 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcd…07abbacked Yes | 1c | 33,916$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ac…a01abacked Yes | 7c | 32,525$2,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 3c | 31,973$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.55 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…b8a8backed Yes | 4c | 31,103$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.07 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.27per pick | 19cpaid | +146%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x11e8…5b74backed Yes | 5c | 29,058$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,514.93 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 1c | 28,500$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.7 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d57…b2abbacked Yes | 4c | 28,215$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.96 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae0d…b73dbacked Yes | 7c | 27,731$1,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,967.59 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Yes | 6c | 27,602$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,609.51 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x704b…6996backed Yes | 1c | 25,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…43dcbacked Yes | 5c | 24,437$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.68 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x714a…ab2fbacked Yes | 4c | 22,459$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x028c…2419backed Yes | 7c | 20,544$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.64 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e84…ef69backed Yes | 1c | 20,362$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.72 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed Yes | 2c | 20,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435f…5ca0backed Yes | 1c | 19,789$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 1c | 18,831$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.97 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9b…f2e9backed Yes | 4c | 18,003$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb67b…e0e7backed Yes | 3c | 18,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Yes | 5c | 17,651$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.72 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…f834backed Yes | 2c | 17,603$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac9c…6a15backed Yes | 3c | 17,244$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 4c | 15,723$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc5…6092backed Yes | 3c | 15,368$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.43 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3426…bf5dbacked Yes | 8c | 15,108$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fc…694dbacked Yes | 3c | 15,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb05f…7c59backed Yes | 6c | 14,987$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe56…9be6backed Yes | 8c | 14,765$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4076…f867backed Yes | 7c | 14,305$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…c363backed Yes | 5c | 14,078$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…e0e8backed Yes | 2c | 13,946$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…9484backed Yes | 7c | 13,383$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.52 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x376d…9b48backed Yes | 2c | 12,909$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.88 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf80f…549bbacked Yes | 5c | 12,875$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a13…7b56backed Yes | 8c | 12,408$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf823…f9e9backed Yes | 8c | 12,287$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…3aa8backed Yes | 1c | 12,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Yes | 7c | 11,500$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50d9…86fbbacked Yes | 4c | 11,262$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cda…ca0fbacked Yes | 4c | 11,216$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed Yes | 0c | 11,064$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.88 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2148…639ebacked Yes | 2c | 10,862$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd44…72c6backed Yes | 1c | 10,782$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x037b…47f4backed Yes | 1c | 10,764$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.96 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x406e…b243backed Yes | 10c | 10,203$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfce…d084backed Yes | 5c | 10,139$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 4c | 10,000$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.87 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 14cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa6…4465backed Yes | 1c | 9,952$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.02 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x950a…b380backed Yes | 2c | 9,900$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.82 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -86.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 9,609$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.49 | 164 | 4.9%8 W · 156 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5666…c630backed Yes | 4c | 9,082$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.34 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5470…e7acbacked Yes | 3c | 8,988$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0baf…ccadbacked Yes | 6c | 8,972$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ab…dcd2backed Yes | 5c | 8,955$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91c…3830backed Yes | 4c | 8,914$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.01 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7968…d714backed Yes | 6c | 8,805$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93c4…dca6backed Yes | 6c | 8,774$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.46 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe809…039bbacked Yes | 5c | 8,531$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.35 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…c3aebacked Yes | 4c | 8,501$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df8…4961backed Yes | 5c | 8,471$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b49…f2dfbacked Yes | 6c | 8,453$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.61 | 70 | 2.9%2 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcd…f604backed Yes | 4c | 8,397$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9b…572ebacked Yes | 1c | 8,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f36…0a5dbacked Yes | 6c | 8,333$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3db1…46a4backed Yes | 1c | 7,893$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e28…dc83backed Yes | 6c | 7,814$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.99 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee83…f6d7backed Yes | 3c | 7,787$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.44 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df6…2c65backed Yes | 5c | 7,750$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6180…4929backed Yes | 3c | 7,643$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc139…2008backed Yes | 2c | 7,625$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ce…6df8backed Yes | 1c | 7,607$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6268…6031backed Yes | 4c | 7,590$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.06 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…cbdcbacked Yes | 1c | 7,354$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x897b…cb5cbacked Yes | 1c | 7,275$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a80…d13bbacked Yes | 6c | 7,239$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.09 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17a5…c36fbacked Yes | 7c | 7,221$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 20cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a3…801cbacked Yes | 6c | 7,200$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f5…1d41backed Yes | 2c | 7,182$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Maduro out by November 30, 2025?this page
- Maduro out by December 31, 2026?Yes won
- Maduro out by February 28, 2026?Yes won
- Maduro out by January 31, 2026?Yes won
- Maduro out by March 31, 2026?Yes won
- Maduro out in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.