Venezuela · resolved market
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x405d8bce742fa300a306df3bede02ef29a5d45f8e788a8a4c056e17badf5a56a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $834,496
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $842,662
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $834,496 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 790 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 39c | 47,108$18,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,579.77 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed No | 1c | 45,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 70c | 31,425$22,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,297.14 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Yes | 77c | 29,323$22,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,724.55 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09d6…0fdabacked No | 33c | 23,223$7,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,621.71 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Yes | 76c | 20,100$15,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,843.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 50c | 18,515$9,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,196.91 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 14cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked No | 3c | 16,666$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.42 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -50%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 45c | 16,335$7,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,334.63 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3112…09a8backed Yes | 57c | 15,894$9,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,847.9 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 48c | 15,553$7,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,040.12 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb93e…b8fdbacked Yes | 55c | 15,163$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,762.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +276.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked No | 42c | 13,506$5,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,705.29 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce66…cc64backed No | 25c | 13,377$3,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,316.72 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf330…f779backed No | 23c | 12,823$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 43c | 12,751$5,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,233.4 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +118.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d0…4b5bbacked Yes | 57c | 11,172$6,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,774.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5129…add5backed Yes | 55c | 11,100$6,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,967.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed No | 2c | 10,361$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.4 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 28cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85c9…8beabacked Yes | 70c | 9,000$6,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,719.99 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 64cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Yes | 80c | 8,940$7,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,797.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Yes | 54c | 8,500$4,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,910 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa55…c531backed Yes | 62c | 7,827$4,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Yes | 52c | 7,695$4,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,662.19 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…e38bbacked No | 17c | 7,500$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac3…16f6backed Yes | 54c | 7,491$4,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,438.96 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +113.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbca…3b1ebacked No | 58c | 7,000$4,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,092.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5666…c630backed Yes | 56c | 6,800$3,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,967.19 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5739…5f1abacked No | 43c | 6,715$2,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,887.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a12…aa56backed No | 47c | 6,396$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 60c | 6,217$3,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,492.74 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 26c | 6,213$1,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,585.02 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked No | 44c | 6,211$2,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,759.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc03…d5c0backed No | 49c | 6,048$2,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,985.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 5c | 6,020$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.69 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed Yes | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed No | 0c | 5,980$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 3cpaid | -50%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 46c | 5,905$2,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,728.97 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf072…cee7backed No | 43c | 5,886$2,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,528.86 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +209.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd3…ef31backed No | 53c | 5,835$3,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,113.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9419…a40fbacked No | 44c | 5,805$2,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,571.38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -56%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73bb…9473backed Yes | 56c | 5,376$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,376.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked No | 38c | 5,138$1,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,952.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8597…daeebacked No | 50c | 5,049$2,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,504.73 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed No | 33c | 5,028$1,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 4.5%2 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,149.64 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 55c | 4,849$2,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,172.04 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…86cfbacked No | 44c | 4,551$2,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,004.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed Yes | 53c | 4,500$2,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,104.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa428…664ebacked Yes | 51c | 4,375$2,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,143.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d60…03d8backed No | 22c | 4,360$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.86 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3e…873bbacked No | 49c | 4,276$2,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,095.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 60c | 4,176$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.39 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd9…cda3backed Yes | 50c | 4,149$2,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,063.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…357dbacked Yes | 62c | 4,060$2,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,542.79 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…e291backed No | 45c | 3,731$1,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,685.12 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa268…d60bbacked Yes | 55c | 3,659$2,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,646.76 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +95%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9157…6fd1backed No | 58c | 3,646$2,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,118.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 52c | 3,530$1,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,678.86 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 51c | 3,383$1,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,711.25 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd7…d4cebacked Yes | 58c | 3,350$1,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…e2bdbacked Yes | 49c | 3,314$1,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700.42 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x697d…4080backed No | 59c | 3,202$1,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,891.17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -45%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01d8…e32dbacked No | 58c | 3,201$1,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,864.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed No | 43c | 3,150$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x690e…7ba6backed Yes | 48c | 3,143$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,644.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…6522backed No | 49c | 3,078$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf81b…0cfbbacked Yes | 51c | 3,013$1,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe362…bd00backed Yes | 56c | 3,000$1,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.53 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed No | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…df5cbacked Yes | 55c | 2,730$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.34 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…f412backed No | 44c | 2,569$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…8634backed No | 43c | 2,569$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe598…a0a8backed No | 13c | 2,535$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.55 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23cf…bc81backed No | 61c | 2,533$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545.09 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…1fa7backed Yes | 72c | 2,500$1,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x230a…257abacked No | 49c | 2,499$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23ca…8ba6backed Yes | 51c | 2,490$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff17…5745backed Yes | 78c | 2,479$1,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.94 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…07a8backed No | 43c | 2,470$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes | 52c | 2,462$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.88 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +6.3wins | +0.48per pick | 21cpaid | +234.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x942c…9145backed Yes | 57c | 2,458$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 53c | 2,346$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.16 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588c…1bf4backed No | 32c | 2,307$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.36 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…c852backed Yes | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a93…4f54backed No | 43c | 2,258$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21cd…db23backed Yes | 57c | 2,242$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 47c | 2,231$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.43 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 52c | 2,200$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.98 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 20cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x63c2…914bbacked No | 43c | 2,171$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc48a…4dd2backed No | 49c | 2,137$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff85…053dbacked Yes | 57c | 2,126$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd29a…9b14backed Yes | 51c | 2,120$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9a…86b9backed No | 43c | 2,011$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc5…1915backed Yes | 57c | 2,008$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…aa2cbacked No | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2079…8327backed No | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Maduro out by December 31, 2026?this page
- Maduro out by February 28, 2026?Yes won
- Maduro out by January 31, 2026?Yes won
- Maduro out by March 31, 2026?Yes won
- Maduro out by November 30, 2025?No won
- Maduro out in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.