Venezuela · resolved market
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x580adc1327de9bf7c179ef5aaffa3377bb5cb252b7d6390b027172d43fd6f993
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,966,929
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,706,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,966,929 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,423 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56da…9294backed No | 0c | 448,090$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a5…8ed9backed Yes | 7c | 436,760$32,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404,221.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.94per pick | 6cpaid | +1,645.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x214c…6378backed No | 1c | 404,300$4,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,288.45 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…1047backed Yes | 34c | 258,256$88,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169,287.02 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.30per pick | 16cpaid | +109.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2844…10f7backed No | 4c | 203,547$7,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,489.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d7…45f2backed No | 1c | 202,995$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.87 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…cb95backed No | 0c | 200,000$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab19…4876backed No | 59c | 194,357$115,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115,338.28 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.1wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6f…37b1backed No | 1c | 183,865$1,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,734.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2f…edb7backed No | 1c | 181,777$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 9c | 178,716$16,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162,408.89 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 11cpaid | +225.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x765d…0929backed No | 7c | 153,170$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43b4…ec9cbacked No | 0c | 150,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…b72cbacked Yes | 9c | 135,164$12,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122,376.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.63per pick | 12cpaid | +451.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 45c | 115,948$52,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,664.39 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe613…540ebacked No | 0c | 112,000$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f1…bdc6backed No | 0c | 110,466$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3b…3222backed No | 6c | 105,968$6,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,339.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed No | 1c | 100,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Yes | 48c | 100,000$48,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,500 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…999ebacked Yes | 45c | 99,127$44,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,772.36 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed No | 15c | 96,317$14,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,677.38 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 28cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x784f…5df9backed Yes | 16c | 94,206$15,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,739.95 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c8…bc64backed No | 1c | 91,631$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6baf…94c5backed Yes | 11c | 88,433$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,433.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +614.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…714bbacked Yes | 12c | 82,070$9,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,172.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +314.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa973…f0f6backed No | 66c | 81,970$53,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,708.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa72d…ebd4backed Yes | 7c | 80,765$5,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74,982.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,296.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…467bbacked No | 1c | 80,541$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6276…2dd9backed No | 79c | 75,640$59,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,952.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7f…e6e2backed No | 0c | 74,135$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Yes | 38c | 73,853$28,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,627.44 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf70…5e92backed Yes | 47c | 72,195$33,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,462.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4566…5319backed No | 0c | 70,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44de…9c08backed Yes | 19c | 67,773$13,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,756.73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.51per pick | 24cpaid | +188.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked No | 1c | 64,054$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.64 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed No | 37c | 62,265$23,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,217.02 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x357e…2a0cbacked Yes | 47c | 59,006$28,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,986.43 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +5.5wins | +0.29per pick | 50cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…f412backed No | 47c | 56,224$26,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,657 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Yes | 14c | 53,361$7,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,852.77 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked No | 0c | 52,401$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed No | 6c | 51,536$3,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,001.3 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85f6…0310backed No | 0c | 51,465$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…a1b0backed No | 1c | 50,617$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…6127backed Yes | 16c | 49,915$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,914.72 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -22%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked No | 7c | 49,160$3,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,640.72 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed No | 1c | 48,200$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…31e1backed Yes | 50c | 46,140$23,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,054.61 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +136.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa55…c531backed Yes | 27c | 45,809$12,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,558.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…e2bdbacked Yes | 41c | 44,784$18,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,342.9 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4206…bb16backed Yes | 17c | 42,534$7,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,349.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +196%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed Yes | 64c | 39,186$25,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,166.26 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 6c | 37,886$2,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,712.02 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x95e5…38c0backed Yes | 51c | 37,773$19,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,432.01 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeba6…2974backed No | 1c | 35,273$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe1…33e4backed Yes | 10c | 35,205$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,554.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +382.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5188…c804backed No | 0c | 34,948$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.9 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf32…1762backed Yes | 8c | 33,993$2,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,216.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 4cpaid | +512.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed Yes | 15c | 33,754$5,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,630.97 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.37per pick | 33cpaid | +118.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…3d85backed Yes | 9c | 33,099$2,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,133.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +458.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked No | 19c | 32,220$6,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,243.85 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -50%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 9c | 31,078$2,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,198.58 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +118.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Yes | 37c | 30,596$11,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,152.73 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51b5…584dbacked No | 0c | 30,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33e0…7d46backed No | 75c | 30,000$22,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,599.98 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Yes | 38c | 30,000$11,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,599.96 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa02e…8331backed No | 0c | 29,800$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…f365backed Yes | 9c | 29,774$2,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,075.57 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 28cpaid | +107.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed No | 24c | 27,973$6,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,709.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 20c | 26,364$5,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,168.52 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66c…f291backed No | 1c | 25,994$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb55f…5705backed No | 0c | 25,500$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5b…2903backed No | 1c | 25,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc70…4aedbacked Yes | 8c | 24,709$1,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,740.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +527.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6cb…bbf0backed No | 78c | 24,000$18,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,740.55 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.2wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7f…cf7cbacked Yes | 18c | 24,000$4,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,629.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d2…a162backed Yes | 22c | 22,983$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,983.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 60c | 22,900$13,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,817.98 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x949a…721cbacked Yes | 10c | 22,612$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,302.75 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 9cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xede5…7802backed Yes | 14c | 22,578$3,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,306.33 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 23cpaid | +92.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Yes | 20c | 22,031$4,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,715.09 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked No | 0c | 21,577$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a9…f139backed Yes | 22c | 20,807$4,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,273.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +359%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5468…13e4backed No | 0c | 20,090$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…bf50backed No | 0c | 20,080$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x294d…b362backed No | 73c | 20,074$14,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,645.87 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…a92abacked Yes | 20c | 20,001$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,001 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0995…620dbacked No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x594e…1c11backed No | 3c | 20,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x862b…e9b9backed No | 60c | 19,699$11,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,742.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…56eabacked Yes | 10c | 19,000$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,099.91 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb86…72e9backed Yes | 10c | 18,938$1,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,085.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.56per pick | 19cpaid | +323.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 15c | 18,388$2,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,558.18 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3af…3c5cbacked No | 0c | 18,225$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad0…833abacked No | 0c | 18,219$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…74c8backed Yes | 46c | 17,994$8,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,686.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1850…a9debacked Yes | 17c | 17,622$2,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,700.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 24cpaid | +184.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa81e…03dcbacked No | 45c | 17,495$7,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,946.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed No | 24c | 17,409$4,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,189.14 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0a…4a63backed Yes | 9c | 17,269$1,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,714.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 5cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Maduro out by January 31, 2026?this page
- Maduro out by December 31, 2026?Yes won
- Maduro out by February 28, 2026?Yes won
- Maduro out by March 31, 2026?Yes won
- Maduro out by November 30, 2025?No won
- Maduro out in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.