TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfe0a…4a63

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
138
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT4327.9%12 W · 31 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-17.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.69
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$556Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$555.66
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,127.42
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,146Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+203%+$2,326.78
Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$786Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$2,489.76
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,638Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$2,562
Spread: Rockets (-10.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$5,444Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$5,444.01
Celtics vs. Nuggetsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$7,037Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$7,037.46
Thunder vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$4,720Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+49.3%+$2,324.69
Hornets vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15,979Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15,978.83
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$29,202Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$29,202.23
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$7,186Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$7,186.4
Kings vs. Spursbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$2,727Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$2,727.46
Magic vs. Sunsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10,987Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10,987.48
Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$5,509Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+138.1%+$7,607.21
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$5,523Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$5,523.1
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,779Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$1,778.85
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$5,850Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+127.8%+$7,474.56
Grizzlies vs. Warriorsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$2,713Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$2,713.09
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$3,933Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$3,933.04
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$2,957Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$2,956.54
Lakers vs. Knicksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,194Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$2,194.1
Thunder vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,482Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$2,481.55
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-34.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$9,249Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,248.54
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$5,441Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$5,441.12
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$7,008Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$7,007.73
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$3,960Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$3,960
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,359Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+233.3%+$3,170.99
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$6,926Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$6,925.74
Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$359Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$359.2
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$3,960Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$3,959.99
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$2,917Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+378.8%+$11,048.34
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$2,503Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$2,503.27
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,013Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$3,013.01
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,871Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,870.83
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$877Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$877.38
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,455Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,455.38
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+53.8%+$1,292.31
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$700
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+170.3%+$1,362.16
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$123.08
All 19 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1631.3%5 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick22cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Qatar Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Filsbacked Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$3,852Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$3,851.62
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Elina Svitolina vs Jessica Pegulabacked Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11,002Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$11,002.49
Rotterdam Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,681Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+61.3%+$1,642.94
Rotterdam Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Ugo Humbertbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,535Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$2,535.03
Rotterdam Open: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Cameron Norriebacked Agut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$463Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$463.41
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$4,992Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+193.5%+$9,657.92
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,156Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,156
Djokovic vs. Sinner: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$443Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+138.1%+$612.07
Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$374Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+809.1%+$3,026
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Djokovic (+2.5)backed Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,165Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+138.1%+$1,608.46
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$449Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$448.83
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$215.47
Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,100
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$269.27
Australian Open Men's: Luciano Darderi vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$266.24
Battle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10,828Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$10,827.64
All 16 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-5.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$8,630Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+108.3%+$9,349.55
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10,955Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+100%+$10,954.52
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,679Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$1,679.27
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+127.3%+$3,818.18
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$750
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$6,585Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+212.5%+$13,993.34
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$706Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$705.61
Spread: Eagles (-7.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$747Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$746.53
Spread: Eagles (-8.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$627Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$627.39
Spread: Eagles (-9.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,731Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$2,731.02
Titans vs. Jaguarsbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,646Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,646.22
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$450
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick6cpaid+883%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+9,682.6%+$13,361.99
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+930.7%+$2,909.74
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.34
Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.98
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.2
Lionel Messi: 3+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.37
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.47
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.58
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$664Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$663.87
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid+13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$540
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.53
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$999Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$998.69
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$7,695Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$7,695
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)backed FC Internazionale Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$596Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$596.29
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$4,233Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+96.1%+$4,066.84
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,294Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$1,293.82
Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$409Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$409.21
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,650Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+122.2%+$2,016.67
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$2,414Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+615.6%+$14,863.49
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick10cpaid+134.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+178.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$9,100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+100%+$9,100
Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)backed VfB Stuttgart · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,295Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+257.1%+$3,330.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick5cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,554Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+1,011.1%+$15,714.56
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$624Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$624
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11,196Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+104.1%+$11,653.47
Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$445Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$445.04
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.9
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$229.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$3,380Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$3,380
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Texas Longhornsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.