Premier League · resolved market
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d4c6f42e8e1d2ec399f6744532848502867f34da6ed2d8f6995a28ca7217308
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $320,215
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $323,824
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $320,215 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 139 | 44.6%62 W · 77 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4703…ce7fbacked Yes | 0c | 20,693$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.67 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9635…d0b0backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd836…ea78backed Yes | 13c | 15,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Yes | 1c | 11,879$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.71 | 137 | 27%37 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7389…67f8backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x827f…7f59backed Yes | 7c | 9,999$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.66 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…41cfbacked Yes | 11c | 4,652$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 11c | 4,518$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.97 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 14c | 4,071$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.9 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9eb…ae0ebacked Yes | 13c | 3,909$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.23 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.25per pick | 40cpaid | +52%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x79e6…b1c2backed Yes | 14c | 3,567$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 10c | 3,404$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.38 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3273…5a11backed Yes | 13c | 2,692$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 13c | 2,352$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.64 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0a…4a63backed Yes | 6c | 2,214$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.08 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 4c | 2,189$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.89 | 71 | 16.9%12 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…5fbbbacked Yes | 1c | 2,100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed Yes | 15c | 1,718$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 13c | 1,500$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.58 | 141 | 28.4%40 W · 101 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 7c | 1,387$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd42b…dac8backed Yes | 8c | 1,222$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked Yes | 11c | 1,200$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 233 | 25.8%60 W · 173 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e82…c878backed Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 4c | 993.64$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.34 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Yes | 15c | 978.06$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.89 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56c5…b3adbacked Yes | 14c | 939.2$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 13c | 772.95$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.47 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x708d…2b38backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed Yes | 14c | 700.06$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.25 | 239 | 20.9%50 W · 189 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…bbb2backed Yes | 13c | 620.69$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.69 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -49%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4923…6866backed Yes | 9c | 575$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.75 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…cd16backed Yes | 8c | 512$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41da…0b58backed Yes | 14c | 435.71$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a59…a364backed Yes | 13c | 434.62$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 58 | 22.4%13 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Yes | 3c | 428.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1a…a0d7backed Yes | 13c | 391.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…f1bbbacked Yes | 10c | 386.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e69…bebebacked Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…a229backed Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…324dbacked Yes | 11c | 357.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Yes | 12c | 312.82$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.54 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x634f…8295backed Yes | 9c | 307.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6564…8846backed Yes | 15c | 300.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.05 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Yes | 15c | 266.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cb…79a4backed Yes | 14c | 264.29$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60aa…0df0backed Yes | 10c | 251.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Yes | 13c | 250$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c42…6e3bbacked Yes | 13c | 232.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.23 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d1…9daebacked Yes | 13c | 230$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b34…c545backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Yes | 10c | 220$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 248 | 44.4%110 W · 138 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33f1…7a59backed Yes | 13c | 214.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 13c | 207$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 135 | 43.7%59 W · 76 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x007a…c3abbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 13c | 160$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 228 | 34.2%78 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 14c | 150.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Yes | 15c | 150$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x890d…1f64backed Yes | 10c | 141.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bb…39f3backed Yes | 10c | 130$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Yes | 14c | 128$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x857b…8eeebacked Yes | 15c | 126$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa414…d03dbacked Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 12c | 113$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb26b…c05bbacked Yes | 14c | 107.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a0…7ff9backed Yes | 12c | 105.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…42e3backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddca…239abacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc487…dc86backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda2…53b3backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d9…501cbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x458d…77abbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 38cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb3…05e5backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 322 | 22.4%72 W · 250 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a23…932abacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38f8…95c0backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfea1…ed30backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes | 12c | 90.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b80…a0d2backed Yes | 15c | 82.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-23?this page
- Will Arsenal FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.