Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x559ce9bf1151690edbb9ad0499ecde46cf011ffa54a4be289ef4848a32bfbfd0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,425
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,241
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,425 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 38c | 14,521$5,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,494.12 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83fb…97cfbacked Yes | 26c | 8,951$2,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,592.82 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 23cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Yes | 23c | 4,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,079.93 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606d…1aafbacked Yes | 26c | 3,673$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,718.55 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed No | 58c | 2,999$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,739.5 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 2,998$2,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,256.44 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57e1…0354backed No | 2c | 2,022$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed No | 78c | 1,769$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.54 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…cd16backed Yes | 64c | 1,368$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.75 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3273…5a11backed Yes | 22c | 1,364$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.64 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 22c | 1,144$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.31 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Yes | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.57 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 7c | 575.55$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 162 | 38.3%62 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed No | 59c | 560.19$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.51 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.19 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Yes | 44c | 461.02$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.17 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…e70cbacked No | 33c | 440.55$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.75 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed No | 50c | 430.26$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.89 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Yes | 29c | 400$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284 | 103 | 41.7%43 W · 60 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 22c | 400$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…0176backed Yes | 21c | 400$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc40f…1950backed Yes | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes | 23c | 391$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 78c | 362.21$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.2 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Yes | 42c | 332.14$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.64 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57f2…d036backed Yes | 22c | 300$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Yes | 21c | 296.71$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.4 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…0d22backed No | 79c | 285.25$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.35 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Yes | 62c | 281.04$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed No | 50c | 279.44$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.94 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked No | 64c | 268.75$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 192 | 59.4%114 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 8c | 267.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.08 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d3…a77bbacked No | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d32…fe50backed Yes | 28c | 231.26$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.1 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd42b…dac8backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 66c | 194.93$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…6657backed No | 79c | 181$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.99 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 60c | 164$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.93 | 182 | 51.6%94 W · 88 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 26c | 153$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 71c | 152.1$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.99 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 78c | 147.17$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.79 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.86 | 150 | 25.3%38 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.86 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd483…6365backed No | 77c | 131.77$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.03 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -4.2wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf96a…3cc0backed Yes | 22c | 129.62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +125.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 44c | 128.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.86 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3b…f1c5backed Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.64 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec3…0cf1backed Yes | 25c | 108$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b67…c178backed Yes | 28c | 106.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.53 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +85%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 11c | 104.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca5…08f1backed Yes | 47c | 104.26$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.26 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed No | 75c | 101.34$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.92 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec73…6af3backed Yes | 22c | 100.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.11 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 35c | 85.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.17 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 227 | 64.8%147 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Yes | 22c | 74.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe85f…7f69backed Yes | 49c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -7.6wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes | 21c | 70$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.3 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Yes | 22c | 69.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.1 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 29c | 69.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.14 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5807…77a2backed No | 78c | 68.64$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60cb…79a4backed Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.22 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 22c | 65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.7 | 356 | 61.2%218 W · 138 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecd8…c2e3backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…0ea4backed Yes | 32c | 53.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.05 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Yes | 22c | 52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…7edebacked No | 78c | 50.04$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 70cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…7fd0backed No | 79c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed No | 79c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed No | 79c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…9b74backed No | 79c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -6.9wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…afcbbacked No | 78c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 23c | 49.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.37 | 228 | 34.2%78 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes | 36c | 45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7529…5cd7backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed No | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 142 | 52.8%75 W · 67 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1293…9587backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1d…f32cbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f3…4c06backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed No | 79c | 36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked No | 78c | 34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed No | 73c | 33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b9…8c47backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…e450backed No | 78c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked No | 78c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd2…60c2backed No | 79c | 15.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf95d…ca8dbacked Yes | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30e3…b595backed No | 77c | 14.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9dbabacked No | 71c | 14.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b4…ecd0backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-23?No won
- Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.