Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-23?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2549a9c455027e65e76490e04ecd5eb1dac5cd97e4b531be37e01dc904086ec4

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 23, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $783,752
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $846,381

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $783,752 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 670 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5350…2fdabacked Yes	65c	167,000$109,212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109,212.4	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	-5.2wins	-0.16per pick	52cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No	36c	110,963$40,447 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70,516.01	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No	23c	60,000$13,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46,199.98	319	47.6%152 W · 167 L	+10.6wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes	20c	40,431$8,219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,219.18	139	44.6%62 W · 77 L	-9.0wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Yes	74c	37,596$27,765 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27,764.96	277	50.9%141 W · 136 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes	66c	37,181$24,576 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,576.36	1,212	41.7%505 W · 707 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6394…9bb3backed No	35c	31,786$11,050 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,735.38	52	71.2%37 W · 15 L	+9.2wins	+0.18per pick	54cpaid	+33.7%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked No	36c	31,234$11,249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,984.77	150	49.3%74 W · 76 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe74a…40eebacked No	35c	27,092$9,482 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,610.11	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+1.7wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+19%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed No	33c	25,608$8,568 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,040.08	89	40.4%36 W · 53 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No	33c	20,519$6,671 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,847.33	319	44.5%142 W · 177 L	+11.7wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7389…67f8backed Yes	0c	20,250$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed No	35c	20,000$7,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,999.91	61	42.6%26 W · 35 L	-7.2wins	-0.12per pick	54cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked No	35c	16,886$5,875 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,011.54	40	40%16 W · 24 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	+31.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked No	33c	15,000$4,950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,050	61	37.7%23 W · 38 L	-3.3wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaddc…ed0dbacked No	34c	13,714$4,710 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,004.23	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.5wins	+0.38per pick	37cpaid	+90.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes	61c	13,254$8,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,049.66	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No	33c	12,406$4,109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,297.39	1,283	48%616 W · 667 L	-5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No	33c	11,094$3,661 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,432.8	248	46.8%116 W · 132 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No	33c	9,315$3,038 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,276.31	189	50.3%95 W · 94 L	+9.2wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb251…6f5bbacked Yes	70c	7,800$5,437 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,437.34	207	50.2%104 W · 103 L	-8.5wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes	66c	7,500$4,950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,950	96	46.9%45 W · 51 L	-7.0wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes	67c	7,400$4,982 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,982	98	45.9%45 W · 53 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Yes	57c	7,000$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,999.99	47	46.8%22 W · 25 L	+2.5wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a1a…a0d7backed Yes	61c	6,717$4,071 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,070.69	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48be…73a8backed Yes	65c	6,155$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	33	33.3%11 W · 22 L	-4.2wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes	61c	6,000$3,680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,680	206	46.1%95 W · 111 L	-12.6wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed No	35c	5,790$2,027 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,763.57	47	51.1%24 W · 23 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed No	38c	5,263$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,263.16	189	48.7%92 W · 97 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Yes	58c	5,002$2,894 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,894.16	64	35.9%23 W · 41 L	-5.7wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes	64c	5,000$3,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,199.98	68	57.4%39 W · 29 L	+3.8wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4a3…0848backed Yes	66c	4,950$3,267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,267	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No	34c	4,732$1,618 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,113.98	177	45.8%81 W · 96 L	+11.7wins	+0.07per pick	39cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed Yes	68c	4,504$3,073 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,073.28	107	68.2%73 W · 34 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	68cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d48…66abbacked Yes	67c	3,969$2,655 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,655	38	50%19 W · 19 L	-5.2wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-22%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No	34c	3,936$1,338 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,597.86	907	51.3%465 W · 442 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Yes	65c	3,077$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-5.1wins	-0.21per pick	54cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No	36c	3,000$1,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,920	370	54.9%203 W · 167 L	+15.9wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a5b…16babacked Yes	67c	3,000$2,010 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,009.99	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.16per pick	51cpaid	+58.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes	58c	3,000$1,740 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,739.99	197	29.4%58 W · 139 L	-9.6wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-23%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77fb…3e17backed Yes	67c	2,992$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-4.4wins	-0.18per pick	62cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x39a3…bd26backed Yes	74c	2,854$2,118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,117.57	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	64cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed No	36c	2,778$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,777.78	92	50%46 W · 46 L	+4.9wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2db3…667abacked Yes	66c	2,746$1,799 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,799	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	-2.6wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8cb1…50ffbacked Yes	58c	2,701$1,579 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,578.58	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.58per pick	58cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fc7…969bbacked No	34c	2,670$899 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,770.58	82	26.8%22 W · 60 L	-6.4wins	-0.08per pick	35cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x90ed…b5bcbacked Yes	60c	2,665$1,595 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,594.58	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-28%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No	36c	2,600$938 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,661.98	531	34.5%183 W · 348 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe566…9cc5backed Yes	67c	2,567$1,711 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,710.74	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	36cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa42b…41cfbacked Yes	65c	2,301$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe786…b716backed Yes	68c	2,288$1,556 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,556	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	61cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4944…e4c7backed Yes	67c	2,239$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	70	60%42 W · 28 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Yes	68c	2,206$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	114	43.9%50 W · 64 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes	67c	2,190$1,467 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,467.49	78	41%32 W · 46 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Yes	74c	2,116$1,559 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,558.67	564	53.9%304 W · 260 L	+27.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7087…c61fbacked Yes	68c	2,000$1,360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,360	101	48.5%49 W · 52 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40f8…327dbacked Yes	66c	2,000$1,320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,319.97	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+2.1wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+20.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Yes	65c	2,000$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,299.92	47	48.9%23 W · 24 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes	68c	1,960$1,333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,332.8	124	48.4%60 W · 64 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked No	36c	1,944$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,244.44	346	28.6%99 W · 247 L	-7.7wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0caf…abfebacked Yes	63c	1,933$1,225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,225	32	50%16 W · 16 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x31b5…6128backed No	38c	1,801$687 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,113.56	8	87.5%7 W · 1 L	+2.2wins	+0.27per pick	60cpaid	+36.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Yes	62c	1,749$1,092 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,091.94	104	48.1%50 W · 54 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes	66c	1,732$1,149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,149.29	233	50.2%117 W · 116 L	-14.9wins	-0.06per pick	57cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9635…d0b0backed Yes	42c	1,682$709 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$709.06	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No	32c	1,625$520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,104.99	420	48.6%204 W · 216 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4b46…188ebacked Yes	65c	1,619$1,052 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,052.35	36	47.2%17 W · 19 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xce11…4a49backed Yes	65c	1,570$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,020.4	87	42.5%37 W · 50 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x281a…7c31backed No	33c	1,507$498 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,009.83	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.23per pick	27cpaid	+51.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9264…bca3backed Yes	67c	1,493$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	111	43.2%48 W · 63 L	-8.0wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4594…b1acbacked Yes	67c	1,493$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	82	59.8%49 W · 33 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e93…a140backed Yes	66c	1,491$991 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$991	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.16per pick	51cpaid	+54.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62b6…b6a7backed Yes	64c	1,464$932 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$931.69	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.64per pick	64cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes	65c	1,412$918 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$917.88	290	44.8%130 W · 160 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf55…a7e0backed Yes	60c	1,399$839 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$839.43	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8f2…22a3backed Yes	68c	1,381$939 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$939	36	55.6%20 W · 16 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+31.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb353…a9d8backed Yes	68c	1,373$934 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$933.59	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+34.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3334…a65dbacked Yes	62c	1,372$849 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$848.67	50	26%13 W · 37 L	-8.5wins	-0.17per pick	43cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x503d…cd16backed Yes	75c	1,362$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,020.2	76	32.9%25 W · 51 L	-7.6wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe017…d901backed Yes	68c	1,324$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.68per pick	68cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No	23c	1,323$299 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,023.73	413	44.8%185 W · 228 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea31…f286backed No	34c	1,300$439 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$861	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+2.7wins	+0.27per pick	43cpaid	+47.8%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6352…6726backed Yes	69c	1,290$889 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$889	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.69per pick	69cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e4f…569cbacked Yes	67c	1,276$855 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$854.79	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.67per pick	67cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20e5…082abacked Yes	67c	1,250$834 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$834.22	23	73.9%17 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	72cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes	68c	1,250$850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$849.99	78	44.9%35 W · 43 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7104…afefbacked Yes	65c	1,238$805 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$804.98	99	46.5%46 W · 53 L	-6.6wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed No	37c	1,235$457 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$778.17	138	29%40 W · 98 L	-13.5wins	-0.10per pick	39cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc449…2239backed Yes	66c	1,200$792 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$792	28	57.1%16 W · 12 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78bc…2585backed No	33c	1,150$379 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$770.48	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	-1.9wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No	36c	1,142$410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$732.28	409	53.3%218 W · 191 L	+11.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc07c…c4b7backed Yes	67c	1,140$765 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$764.87	38	28.9%11 W · 27 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6e2…c751backed Yes	65c	1,124$734 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$733.83	52	63.5%33 W · 19 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	66cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked No	14c	1,100$157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$943	233	25.8%60 W · 173 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74fb…96cfbacked Yes	68c	1,071$728 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$728	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60b2…c82fbacked Yes	65c	1,035$676 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$676.02	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Yes	58c	1,031$596 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$596	153	47.7%73 W · 80 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8d8…8d55backed Yes	66c	1,000$655 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$655.47	25	64%16 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	61cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Yes	64c	1,000$640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$640	73	35.6%26 W · 47 L	-4.6wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x02c1…2e70backed Yes	65c	1,000$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650	30	50%15 W · 15 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-23?this page
Will Arsenal FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?Yes won
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-23?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-23?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event