TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe8f2…22a3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
94
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Serie A, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 54 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST3655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+31.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,225
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,163Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$2,162.98
Will Burnley FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,110Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+170.3%+$1,889.99
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$4,746Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$4,746.37
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,237Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+78.8%+$1,762.87
Will West Ham United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$6,664Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$6,663.58
Will Leicester City FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$780Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$780
Will Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,463Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+311%+$4,551
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,680Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$2,680
Will Fulham FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+284.6%+$2,220
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,152Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+56.3%+$648
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$2,220
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,910Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+54.6%+$1,590
Will Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+223.8%+$4,476.61
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$3,815Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+70.4%+$2,685
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$435Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$435
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,139Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+77%+$877.6
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,425Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+40.3%+$573.92
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,481Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,481
Will Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+156.4%+$2,346.15
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+223%+$1,114.87
Will Liverpool FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+338%+$1,689.92
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,759Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,759
Will Manchester United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,752Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+132.1%+$2,313.66
Will West Ham United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+284.6%+$1,138.46
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST2152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ivory Coast win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$872Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$872.33
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+25%+$500
Will Morocco vs. Tanzania end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$861Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$860.54
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+33.3%+$500
Will Mali vs. Tunisia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,319Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+51.5%+$679.7
Will Tunisia win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$460
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,561Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+44.8%+$698.79
Will Algeria win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$812Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+61.3%+$497.97
Will Sudan vs. Burkina Faso end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will Benin vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Will Uganda vs. Nigeria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$444Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$444
Will Nigeria win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,234Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+25%+$308.5
Will Tunisia win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,854Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$1,853.88
Will Tanzania vs. Tunisia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+105.1%+$1,576.3
Will Comoros vs. Mali end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$477Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+36%+$171.85
Will Zimbabwe vs. South Africa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$280
Will Angola vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+71.5%+$233.1
Will Egypt win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$222
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Cameroon end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,668Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+63%+$1,051.32
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,479Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$1,479.44
Will Algeria win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,037Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+35%+$363
All 21 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST1566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$529Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$529
Will ACF Fiorentina vs. US Cremonese end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,380Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+44.9%+$620
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,570Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$2,570
Will Genoa CFC vs. Pisa SC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$645Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+132.6%+$855
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,431Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+39.8%+$569.43
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+60.3%+$1,880
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,159Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+64.1%+$742.51
Will Atalanta BC vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$611Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$610.97
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,701Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+62.3%+$1,059.4
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+75.9%+$302
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,039Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+43.4%+$451
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$746Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+40.8%+$304.5
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+49.3%+$246.26
All 15 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+41.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,956Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+51.7%+$2,043.61
Will Vitória SC vs. CD Nacional end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$273
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+106.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chattanooga Mocs vs. UNCG Spartansbacked UNCG Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+106.8%+$309.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,890Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+42.9%+$810
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Navy vs. Cincinnatibacked Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$4,340Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+27.7%+$1,200.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.