Ligue 1 · resolved market
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Paris FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1edcdbe4c9fff3584f8de36a2b62c5652f2f1fba711d711175d4048068612b08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,031
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,389
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,031 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8f2…22a3backed No | 56c | 5,353$2,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,997.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 44c | 1,864$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.89 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 56c | 1,795$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Yes | 43c | 1,626$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.1 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3c…e863backed Yes | 28c | 1,058$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.48 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 45c | 978.77$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.85 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 43c | 926.77$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.26 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Yes | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +149.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad19…a7adbacked Yes | 48c | 485.16$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.41 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…d643backed No | 55c | 363.63$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -8.5wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 42c | 290.59$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.94 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89bc…c6a5backed No | 54c | 183.33$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed No | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Yes | 49c | 157.14$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.14 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…b32cbacked No | 69c | 144.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…298cbacked Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…8528backed No | 60c | 99.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…a0c0backed No | 55c | 95.09$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 63c | 88.4$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 183 | 60.7%111 W · 72 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed Yes | 46c | 66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 44c | 61$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.16 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 47c | 55.32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 47c | 47.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Yes | 46c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…4426backed No | 54c | 45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…95a6backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked No | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked No | 53c | 37.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Yes | 46c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 44c | 30.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Yes | 46c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 44c | 27.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed No | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Yes | 46c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…1000backed No | 54c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc07…e9f2backed No | 54c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed No | 52c | 20.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…0d65backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…88cfbacked No | 54c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Paris FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Paris FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Paris FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Paris FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Paris FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)Paris FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.