TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc9f6…b32c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
63
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 56 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST1566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Burnley FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+34.6%+$6.01
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Burnley FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Will Fulham FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+30.4%+$14
Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$35.8
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+25.5%+$6.1
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.2
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+31.4%+$23.9
Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+117.4%+$11.88
Chelsea FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+72.4%+$18.1
Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+66.7%+$12
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2025-12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Will Manchester United vs. West Ham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Manchester United vs. West Ham: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$27.2
All 15 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+60.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Çorum FK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$19.5
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-01-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+300.4%+$43.86
Will SC Braga vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+26.9%+$6.36
Will Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Trabzonspor end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Estoril Praia win on 2025-12-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+31.6%+$41.1
Will Gaziantep FK win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$10.95
Will Beşiktaş JK vs. Gaziantep FK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+304%+$60.2
Will Rams Başakşehir FK win on 2025-11-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+26.5%+$18.55
All 10 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-55.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-33.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick76cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-47.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick72cpaid-47.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick75cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick69cpaid-39.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$17.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$52.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.