Premier League · resolved market
Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52044664354a4f77a41bc04239f9f3d05212b85442f9074793e88d7bbfec5727
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $179,173
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $211,899
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,173 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 234 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 51,793$32,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,524.32 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 28c | 20,997$5,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,210.24 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked Yes | 51c | 20,884$10,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,233.25 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 50c | 20,006$9,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,067.1 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked No | 50c | 16,986$8,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,532.67 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 50c | 8,550$4,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,275 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x360d…5e0fbacked Yes | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 67c | 6,000$4,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,020 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03b7…430cbacked Yes | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…fa48backed Yes | 48c | 3,324$1,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,711.94 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.99 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf5…b4f8backed Yes | 51c | 2,800$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +115.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc95…c60fbacked No | 50c | 2,439$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.49 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed No | 50c | 2,220$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.72 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae59…83a2backed Yes | 50c | 2,053$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.46 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8da5…25edbacked Yes | 49c | 1,987$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.32 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked No | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.93 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed No | 50c | 1,658$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 49c | 1,512$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.21 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd53a…3d5abacked Yes | 51c | 1,486$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.27 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 49c | 1,472$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.58 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cd…e2abbacked Yes | 51c | 1,435$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.92 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 52c | 1,403$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.64 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 49c | 1,200$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 53c | 1,056$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.42 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d8…8d55backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf221…2575backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 42c | 955.86$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.86 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Yes | 4c | 933$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.68 | 68 | 19.1%13 W · 55 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +153.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked No | 50c | 900$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb36…7afbbacked Yes | 46c | 876.5$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…ed83backed Yes | 51c | 852.73$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.84 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -10.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2f…2785backed Yes | 48c | 732.54$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.54 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 49c | 700.39$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.19 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 49c | 638.64$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.93 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 52c | 607.67$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.23 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed No | 52c | 601.3$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3c…e863backed Yes | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked No | 49c | 580.57$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.16 | 104 | 33.7%35 W · 69 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked No | 50c | 515.4$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.7 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 40c | 500.34$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.51 | 357 | 43.1%154 W · 203 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7927…34d2backed Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97b5…42f9backed Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b6…6232backed Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…b3b7backed Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 21c | 473.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.3 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb251…6f5bbacked Yes | 50c | 450$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.36 | 207 | 50.2%104 W · 103 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Yes | 32c | 444.22$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.75 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 60c | 431.32$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.98 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb84d…8b3abacked Yes | 50c | 403.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.82 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked Yes | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -5.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…ee32backed Yes | 48c | 380.42$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.42 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa852…d55dbacked No | 52c | 375.64$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.21 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48d7…1bd1backed Yes | 36c | 347.11$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.11 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed No | 50c | 335$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.5 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 50c | 315$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f6…72f8backed Yes | 17c | 312.75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 36cpaid | +286.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac53…821fbacked Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a2…d5e9backed Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Yes | 51c | 260.78$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d14…261dbacked Yes | 50c | 260$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes | 23c | 259.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.11 | 181 | 24.9%45 W · 136 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd118…e9c9backed Yes | 36c | 238.78$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.78 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…aaccbacked Yes | 50c | 220$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 58c | 212.43$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.54 | 290 | 41.7%121 W · 169 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 48c | 209.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4bd…06d4backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16d8…ba9ebacked Yes | 50c | 200.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.32 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff63…5aa1backed No | 58c | 200.28$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.12 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…cd16backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb5…d941backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…a9c2backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa6…0b3bbacked No | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x322e…a2cebacked Yes | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x486b…2eaabacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -9.7wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1f…6823backed Yes | 46c | 194.26$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.26 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed No | 50c | 189.28$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.64 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x61b6…a62fbacked Yes | 28c | 188.03$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.94 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes | 54c | 184.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.91 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…0d22backed No | 52c | 183.65$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…f8e1backed Yes | 49c | 160.86$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.04 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…e775backed Yes | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 40cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 50c | 151.96$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.04 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes | 73c | 151.52$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Yes | 13c | 151.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.82 | 241 | 58.1%140 W · 101 L | +34.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1b…380ebacked Yes | 44c | 147.19$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.99 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +26%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc069…5f39backed Yes | 50c | 145.22$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.61 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Yes | 46c | 144.26$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.2 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…8bcbbacked Yes | 50c | 139$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.89 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0968…ee21backed No | 50c | 137$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 50c | 132$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 50c | 122.82$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.41 | 240 | 62.5%150 W · 90 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf0…95fbbacked Yes | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b3…0476backed Yes | 50c | 121.98$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.99 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.