Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x090d565c9387c261d991fe9e6adcc7c8e8f6773166355f72217f6fc5cf278a9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arsenal FCof Arsenal FC, Aston Villa FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $138,269
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $139,030
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,269 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Arsenal FC | 72c | 22,074$15,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,115.15 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Arsenal FC | 43c | 14,999$6,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,549.66 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Arsenal FC | 45c | 14,530$6,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,007.88 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x132e…c724backed Aston Villa FC | 58c | 12,994$7,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,536.77 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Arsenal FC | 42c | 11,404$4,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,571.85 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Aston Villa FC | 58c | 10,007$5,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,845.39 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Aston Villa FC | 58c | 7,317$4,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,275 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Arsenal FC | 38c | 7,303$2,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,492.4 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Aston Villa FC | 57c | 5,500$3,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,135 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Aston Villa FC | 60c | 4,027$2,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,407.12 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Aston Villa FC | 58c | 3,706$2,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,167 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…2a44backed Aston Villa FC | 57c | 3,500$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed Aston Villa FC | 57c | 3,379$1,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,926.21 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3273…5a11backed Aston Villa FC | 16c | 3,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Arsenal FC | 41c | 2,971$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,752.66 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Aston Villa FC | 57c | 2,200$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.99 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea8…ddc0backed Aston Villa FC | 57c | 2,200$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.21 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Aston Villa FC | 57c | 2,100$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.99 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Aston Villa FC | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.99 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Arsenal FC | 42c | 1,914$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.08 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Aston Villa FC | 58c | 1,897$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Aston Villa FC | 55c | 1,750$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Aston Villa FC | 58c | 1,711$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.05 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Arsenal FC | 41c | 1,619$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.42 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked Aston Villa FC | 56c | 1,516$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Aston Villa FC | 57c | 1,516$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.28 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Arsenal FC | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed Aston Villa FC | 58c | 1,500$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Aston Villa FC | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…ed83backed Aston Villa FC | 59c | 1,474$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.18 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -10.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x763f…81e9backed Aston Villa FC | 73c | 1,375$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -4.4wins | -0.17per pick | 71cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…7fdcbacked Aston Villa FC | 58c | 1,309$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.36 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Arsenal FC | 43c | 1,296$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.55 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Aston Villa FC | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Arsenal FC | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2885…486cbacked Arsenal FC | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Aston Villa FC | 57c | 999.97$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.98 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Arsenal FC | 42c | 887.97$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.02 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6909…36b5backed Aston Villa FC | 57c | 843.86$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Arsenal FC | 40c | 800$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 369 | 56.9%210 W · 159 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Aston Villa FC | 56c | 769.99$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.19 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aaa…5cfebacked Aston Villa FC | 58c | 755.01$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.9 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…8ea7backed Aston Villa FC | 57c | 710$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.7 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Aston Villa FC | 55c | 697.42$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.58 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Aston Villa FC | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Aston Villa FC | 56c | 579.95$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.77 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Aston Villa FC | 60c | 553$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.8 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad00…ebe1backed Arsenal FC | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Arsenal FC | 39c | 507.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.58 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Arsenal FC | 43c | 504.23$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.91 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked Aston Villa FC | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Aston Villa FC | 61c | 490.94$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Arsenal FC | 41c | 482.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.56 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +12.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +41%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Arsenal FC | 41c | 470.18$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.06 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Arsenal FC | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 172 | 34.9%60 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb86d…3c53backed Aston Villa FC | 57c | 432$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.24 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7d…eedcbacked Arsenal FC | 43c | 396.19$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.83 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ea…b369backed Arsenal FC | 44c | 392.52$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.81 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Aston Villa FC | 57c | 384.48$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.15 | 193 | 57.5%111 W · 82 L | +16.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Arsenal FC | 44c | 383.21$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.22 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Aston Villa FC | 58c | 379.31$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -7.0wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…cd16backed Aston Villa FC | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3893…6e0cbacked Arsenal FC | 43c | 347.07$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.83 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Aston Villa FC | 58c | 299.98$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.99 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Aston Villa FC | 58c | 299.79$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7334…81dabacked Arsenal FC | 43c | 277$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…d976backed Aston Villa FC | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Arsenal FC | 46c | 252.42$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.94 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Aston Villa FC | 5c | 251.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 117 | 12%14 W · 103 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Arsenal FC | 42c | 250$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 186 | 46.8%87 W · 99 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa122…9847backed Aston Villa FC | 66c | 225.59$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -7.9wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5309…1975backed Aston Villa FC | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Arsenal FC | 40c | 180$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 375 | 54.9%206 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Arsenal FC | 40c | 180$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 379 | 58%220 W · 159 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5489…c289backed Aston Villa FC | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…c2d6backed Aston Villa FC | 59c | 168.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd002…2ee8backed Aston Villa FC | 59c | 161.02$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Arsenal FC | 76c | 160.7$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 104 | 33.7%35 W · 69 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e5…5a2cbacked Aston Villa FC | 57c | 160$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefe8…fe1abacked Aston Villa FC | 58c | 150$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Arsenal FC | 43c | 146.51$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.51 | 360 | 36.1%130 W · 230 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed Aston Villa FC | 57c | 139.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a50…6c6bbacked Aston Villa FC | 59c | 135.59$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -11.4wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Arsenal FC | 40c | 130$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x370a…55ebbacked Aston Villa FC | 58c | 121.16$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Arsenal FC | 42c | 120$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Arsenal FC | 40c | 120$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 305 | 54.8%167 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Arsenal FC | 40c | 120$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 254 | 56.3%143 W · 111 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Arsenal FC | 40c | 120$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 260 | 58.5%152 W · 108 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Arsenal FC | 40c | 120$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 367 | 58.3%214 W · 153 L | +23.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Arsenal FC | 41c | 120$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Arsenal FC | 40c | 120$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 383 | 58.2%223 W · 160 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10a3…ae13backed Arsenal FC | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…45d2backed Arsenal FC | 50c | 115.43$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.01 | 159 | 55.3%88 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Arsenal FC | 40c | 112$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.66 | 315 | 57.8%182 W · 133 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Aston Villa FC | 57c | 110.29$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.05 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Aston Villa FC | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 105 | 35.2%37 W · 68 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x561e…3e87backed Aston Villa FC | 58c | 100.29$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.26 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Aston Villa FC | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 328 | 22.3%73 W · 255 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…86cfbacked Arsenal FC | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)this page
- Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.