TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7334…81da

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
109
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Middle East, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 56 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT3135.5%11 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+259.9%+$51.62
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$710Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$710
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$296.31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$941Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$940.8
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,255Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,254.56
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$308.78
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$710Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+87.7%+$622.6
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,459Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$1,146.18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$330.41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.66
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$2,702Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+347%+$9,375.48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$411Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+313.4%+$1,289.2
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$232.61
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,507Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+59.1%+$1,481.49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,917Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,916.63
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$6,123Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,123.33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$4,813Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,812.5
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$886Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$886.05
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.44
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.6
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,712Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,711.8
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$370.02
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,451Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,451.05
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$2,159Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,158.55
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+23.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.86
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,919Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,918.9
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$947Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+309.6%+$2,930.97
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,972Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,971.89
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.75
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,631Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,630.82
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,398Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+123.2%+$2,954.03
Will Russia capture Rodynske by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$67.93
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$443Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+312.2%+$1,383.14
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$89.52
Will Russia capture Rodynske by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,111.96
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+595.1%+$382.66
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$738Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+89.7%+$661.99
Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,333Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,333.14
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$57.6
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$480
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,626Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$2,625.6
Will Russia announce a Christmas truce?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$677Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$677.24
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,726Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,726.3
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$949Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+190.5%+$1,808.55
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+37.7%+$72.55
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+75.4%+$300.57
All 22 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST156.7%1 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick18cpaid-89.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dubai Tennis Championships: Daniil Medvedev vs Jenson Brooksbybacked Jenson Brooksby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$515Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$515.04
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$95.27
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$347.64
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$146.67
Will Alex De Minaur win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$119.76
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-2.5) vs Minaur (+2.5)backed Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$406Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$406
Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$17.96
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Learner Tienbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+51.5%+$136
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will Alexander Bublik win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$84.13
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,372Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$1,372.06
Australian Open Men's: Daniil Medvedev vs Learner Tienbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$1,279.65
Will Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$103.72
Will Andrey Rublev win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$71.26
Australian Open Men's: Francisco Cerundolo vs Andrey Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$429Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$429.45
All 15 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Dvalishvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,514Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$1,514.5
UFC 323: Pantoja vs. Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Pantoja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,505Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$2,505
UFC 323: Moreno vs. Taira (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Moreno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$1,500
UFC 323: Cejudo vs. Talbott (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Talbott · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$547Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+29.5%+$161.44
UFC 323: Dawson vs. Torres (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Torres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+222.6%+$1,112.9
UFC 323: McKinney vs. Duncan (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Duncan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+85.2%+$681.48
UFC 323: Silva vs. Barber (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$700
UFC 323: Ziam vs. Sadykhov (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Sadykhov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$65
UFC 323: Vettori vs. Ferreira (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Ferreira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$930Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+61.3%+$570
All 9 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-56.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick30cpaid+94.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+132.6%+$157.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Megaquake by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$208.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.47
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.