Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 2-8?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30c6252a4587a5aecdbaedfe7cc3c491f342acecba69a854fb9a283f5c06ee39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $285,411
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $305,226
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $285,411 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1461…22d8backed Yes | 35c | 18,706$6,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,148.02 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +7.0wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf673…68ecbacked No | 42c | 15,123$6,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,298.46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eab…a408backed Yes | 4c | 9,817$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,472.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.96per pick | 4cpaid | +2,746.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca5…8727backed Yes | 4c | 9,701$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,281.86 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +280.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…754cbacked Yes | 5c | 9,288$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,870.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.95per pick | 5cpaid | +2,122.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 36c | 8,753$3,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,569 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked No | 75c | 7,643$5,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,741.11 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked Yes | 3c | 6,543$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,343.08 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.31per pick | 30cpaid | +562.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x16c9…65febacked Yes | 5c | 6,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,700 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…99dabacked Yes | 5c | 5,000$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,750 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd14…1c17backed Yes | 76c | 4,539$3,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.29 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7e7cbacked No | 69c | 4,341$3,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,009.01 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…1960backed Yes | 58c | 4,212$2,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,764.49 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x969b…db70backed No | 1c | 4,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5763…1c22backed No | 24c | 3,468$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.6 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0f5ebacked Yes | 24c | 3,398$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,577.56 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 10cpaid | +274.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x007f…58dabacked No | 47c | 3,309$1,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,565 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 63c | 3,000$1,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,898.99 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…51e0backed Yes | 1c | 2,500$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,479.96 | 140 | 19.3%27 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3335…5c3fbacked No | 62c | 2,419$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…bafebacked Yes | 9c | 2,209$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,014.92 | 234 | 11.1%26 W · 208 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Yes | 40c | 2,011$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.17 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 76c | 2,000$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf632…02aabacked No | 36c | 1,980$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.43 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 1,487$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.64 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…f4c6backed Yes | 55c | 1,444$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11ab…c8a7backed Yes | 8c | 1,324$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.78 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc98b…6430backed No | 45c | 1,260$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.71 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd389…8378backed No | 50c | 1,228$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.03 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 21cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8512…b968backed Yes | 72c | 1,193$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc12a…dc73backed No | 48c | 1,170$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.27 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca2…134fbacked Yes | 28c | 1,107$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.28 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 17c | 1,049$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.67 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b2…dbfdbacked Yes | 80c | 1,016$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.17 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf61f…3ce1backed Yes | 10c | 1,009$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.24 | 137 | 9.5%13 W · 124 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…308bbacked Yes | 10c | 989.66$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.61 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4355…c5d4backed No | 60c | 839.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Yes | 2c | 833.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +150%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc717…35f0backed Yes | 13c | 812.89$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.16 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7334…81dabacked Yes | 79c | 792.81$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.13 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f0…6718backed No | 46c | 772$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.01 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 13c | 769.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.4 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +7.8wins | +0.22per pick | 23cpaid | +177.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 754.53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.68 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…201bbacked No | 38c | 700$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.4 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…2df4backed Yes | 75c | 666.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 18c | 642.84$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.26 | 241 | 7.1%17 W · 224 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989c…69f4backed No | 67c | 561.04$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.33 | 73 | 30.1%22 W · 51 L | -18.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x07cf…a9fabacked Yes | 51c | 549.95$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2dd…151cbacked No | 27c | 499.65$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x712c…1e0fbacked Yes | 73c | 499.64$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8555…59fdbacked Yes | 75c | 498.12$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948d…d6a8backed Yes | 66c | 492.11$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 7c | 478.59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.06 | 299 | 9.4%28 W · 271 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 4c | 460.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.93 | 268 | 3.4%9 W · 259 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd27…b1dbbacked Yes | 5c | 430.71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.43 | 137 | 5.8%8 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe547…5fb5backed Yes | 70c | 427.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.41 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a5…83dbbacked Yes | 13c | 399.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.96 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +6.4wins | +0.18per pick | 24cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 24c | 392.77$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.98 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ee…04c2backed Yes | 12c | 360.03$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.71 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.20per pick | 17cpaid | +119.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…1bdfbacked Yes | 71c | 350$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5d…41b9backed Yes | 6c | 345.37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.58 | 106 | 7.5%8 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1977…14cebacked No | 66c | 345.32$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Yes | 46c | 342.23$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.54 | 262 | 74.4%195 W · 67 L | +45.7wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…93e8backed No | 19c | 300$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…45e6backed Yes | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 33cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21c5…3533backed Yes | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.01 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…1c48backed Yes | 54c | 300$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 21c | 300$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8304…8526backed Yes | 4c | 294.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284 | 128 | 5.5%7 W · 121 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…07bcbacked Yes | 10c | 285.61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.46 | 63 | 20.6%13 W · 50 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed89…e266backed Yes | 16c | 281.48$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.48 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2666…a790backed Yes | 4c | 275.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 2cpaid | +1,049.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8a…4c20backed Yes | 76c | 270$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.94 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e38…417cbacked No | 25c | 263.63$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x610d…188bbacked No | 55c | 263.18$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.54 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed Yes | 76c | 262.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 4c | 260.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.77 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d06…2adbbacked Yes | 12c | 258.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c76…a1b5backed Yes | 6c | 252.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +318.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc86…2b25backed Yes | 78c | 236.21$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a3…ccedbacked Yes | 60c | 213.98$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.56 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0688…7a12backed No | 68c | 210$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.8 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…9926backed Yes | 40c | 201.01$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.01 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2321…6a04backed Yes | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59db…1d13backed No | 57c | 199.99$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.4 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf946…5e63backed No | 41c | 198.09$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x766a…0bfebacked Yes | 10c | 196.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.55per pick | 12cpaid | +452.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9684…16ecbacked Yes | 54c | 186.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…8f30backed Yes | 58c | 179.65$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.17 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe744…d1dabacked No | 35c | 178.78$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bd…af16backed No | 37c | 161.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +71%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada4…c344backed No | 71c | 140.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cd…e98dbacked Yes | 73c | 137.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fee…5a90backed No | 76c | 132.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18f4…c58fbacked Yes | 76c | 130.61$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.61 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f3…cda9backed Yes | 43c | 128.88$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +134.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a3…209ebacked Yes | 77c | 123.5$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc63d…6fdcbacked Yes | 51c | 120.47$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b09…1e52backed No | 10c | 119.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…8003backed Yes | 27c | 106$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.9 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 2-8?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 February 2-8?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 February 2-8?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 February 2-8?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 February 2-8?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 February 2-8?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 February 2-8?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 February 2-8?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 February 2-8?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 February 2-8?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 February 2-8?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 February 2-8?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 February 2-8?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.