Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 February 2-8?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xedd22df6f56a22995a4e62018a88fe8129667a3b9aad358c17fe756617b8bab4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $243,771
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $266,110
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $243,771 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e22…6f48backed No | 0c | 25,000$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc0…25f8backed No | 59c | 16,459$9,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,662.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe598…a0a8backed No | 16c | 14,501$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…22d8backed Yes | 68c | 13,101$8,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,215.15 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +7.0wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked Yes | 62c | 13,002$8,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,961.74 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 49c | 11,757$5,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,807.44 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b09…015cbacked Yes | 14c | 7,408$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,398.24 | 50 | 16%8 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 53c | 7,225$3,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,383.47 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed No | 57c | 5,801$3,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,326.48 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed No | 4c | 4,500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe14b…1ad3backed No | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…2dd5backed Yes | 11c | 3,975$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,527.43 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 14cpaid | +155%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked No | 58c | 3,502$2,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,031.36 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf673…68ecbacked No | 15c | 3,496$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf97f…23c3backed Yes | 80c | 2,721$2,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…e9a4backed Yes | 12c | 2,558$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,258.33 | 142 | 13.4%19 W · 123 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 53c | 2,255$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.74 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd14…1c17backed Yes | 53c | 2,122$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.68 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d4…64aebacked Yes | 23c | 1,971$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,517.74 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed No | 13c | 1,577$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0066…394fbacked No | 47c | 1,427$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.14 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bdc…e8b0backed Yes | 49c | 1,320$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.41 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7e7cbacked No | 28c | 1,268$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.25 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…2df4backed Yes | 71c | 976.47$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.47 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 9c | 860$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 241 | 7.1%17 W · 224 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b5…85efbacked Yes | 62c | 807.3$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62a…aecfbacked Yes | 17c | 800.03$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.02 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +4.7wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +443.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 33c | 766.33$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.45 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3d16…8ac4backed Yes | 65c | 699.65$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.28 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a5…83dbbacked Yes | 25c | 604.11$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.11 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +6.4wins | +0.18per pick | 24cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked Yes | 21c | 600$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.31per pick | 30cpaid | +562.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x34d6…df14backed No | 18c | 600$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 54c | 525.19$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.58 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…3248backed Yes | 21c | 500$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +111.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Yes | 22c | 497.63$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.15 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x989c…69f4backed No | 46c | 474.27$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.91 | 73 | 30.1%22 W · 51 L | -18.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x6f10…ef9abacked No | 52c | 460$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b09…1e52backed No | 10c | 457.66$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.59 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Yes | 54c | 446.59$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.21 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b06…1088backed No | 39c | 435.06$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.67 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -66%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc717…35f0backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.78 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f8…3e02backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.78 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.45per pick | 27cpaid | +203.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x05f1…1744backed Yes | 35c | 421.77$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.23 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…c7bdbacked No | 16c | 400$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37ed…9f94backed No | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed No | 20c | 369.77$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.95 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x969c…b0babacked Yes | 41c | 350$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +144.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…ec7cbacked Yes | 64c | 339.61$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.69 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f47…338ebacked Yes | 67c | 338$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.64 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06c8…d39cbacked Yes | 48c | 300.93$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.93 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed No | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b2…dbfdbacked Yes | 56c | 295.48$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.01 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 22c | 295$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.54 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07c1…3535backed No | 8c | 290.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked No | 52c | 273.25$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.22 | 262 | 74.4%195 W · 67 L | +45.7wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked No | 13c | 273.03$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.49 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ee…04c2backed Yes | 22c | 230.73$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.97 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.20per pick | 17cpaid | +119.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d34…b10dbacked Yes | 56c | 226.79$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x660f…ec30backed Yes | 64c | 218.8$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.77 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 136 | 24.3%33 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7809…e895backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…132bbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd27…b1dbbacked No | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 137 | 5.8%8 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 268 | 3.4%9 W · 259 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8304…8526backed No | 9c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 128 | 5.5%7 W · 121 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5d…41b9backed No | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 106 | 7.5%8 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7b…df16backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 9c | 197.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17a4…b29abacked No | 80c | 187.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x415a…7acbbacked No | 52c | 187.39$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.55 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…270cbacked Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +262.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x73ec…4735backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b19…12c5backed Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff2b…3ad3backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 20cpaid | +435.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed No | 55c | 134.02$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.69 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -62%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05ef…bc04backed Yes | 75c | 128.37$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.13 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…308bbacked Yes | 47c | 123.09$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.24 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e1…f503backed Yes | 25c | 122$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 32cpaid | +148.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca16…f878backed No | 14c | 114.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c24…d6c3backed No | 14c | 110.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2753…6bc7backed Yes | 79c | 110$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…1376backed No | 16c | 100.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0526…9fc3backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +288.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…13bfbacked Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 181 | 62.4%113 W · 68 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4d…118ebacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +22.9wins | +0.22per pick | 24cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…bb0abacked No | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 167 | 29.3%49 W · 118 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1214…cf28backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…8003backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda88…990bbacked No | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.34per pick | 42cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x636b…f3f8backed Yes | 62c | 80.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5302…208abacked No | 67c | 80$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9be…6501backed Yes | 79c | 75.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ce…2739backed No | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Yes | 18c | 72.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.64 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8e…c051backed Yes | 56c | 64.87$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.23 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00b2…cf16backed Yes | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +112.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef0f…2818backed Yes | 43c | 60.25$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f00…e8dbbacked No | 24c | 56.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 February 2-8?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 2-8?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 February 2-8?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 February 2-8?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 February 2-8?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 February 2-8?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 February 2-8?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 February 2-8?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 February 2-8?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 February 2-8?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 February 2-8?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 February 2-8?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 February 2-8?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.