Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 February 2-8?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5aac617026fe958a47a2203d3ce46dd581593404e79f878f1ca6752d7dab4b6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $240,468
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $235,019
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $240,468 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f55…e9a4backed Yes | 22c | 18,258$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 142 | 13.4%19 W · 123 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed No | 74c | 6,448$4,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,684.55 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c76…a1b5backed Yes | 24c | 6,265$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +318.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca5…8727backed Yes | 4c | 5,313$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.51 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +280.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…f4c6backed Yes | 4c | 4,795$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3f…7112backed Yes | 11c | 4,541$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…22d8backed No | 75c | 4,318$3,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.07 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +7.0wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc12a…dc73backed No | 60c | 4,126$2,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,647.87 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa252…dbf4backed Yes | 44c | 4,098$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fa…1a14backed Yes | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -48%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e18…4c4bbacked Yes | 2c | 2,755$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.61 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…bafebacked Yes | 18c | 2,500$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.79 | 234 | 11.1%26 W · 208 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked No | 56c | 2,467$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.58 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 52c | 2,399$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.72 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f69…d657backed Yes | 23c | 2,236$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.32 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 9cpaid | +184.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c9…65febacked Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…99dabacked Yes | 5c | 2,000$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d4…64aebacked Yes | 44c | 1,958$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.54 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 12c | 1,900$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.96 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 1,827$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.18 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd980…5be0backed Yes | 6c | 1,553$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 10.7%12 W · 100 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a62…66b8backed Yes | 3c | 1,509$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc717…35f0backed Yes | 16c | 1,300$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…1960backed Yes | 31c | 1,227$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.41 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 1,215$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 5c | 1,105$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.33 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc0…dc99backed No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6d…4e71backed Yes | 3c | 925.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 2c | 895.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 299 | 9.4%28 W · 271 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe784…e664backed Yes | 42c | 800$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd27…b1dbbacked Yes | 3c | 769.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 137 | 5.8%8 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 3c | 745.23$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 268 | 3.4%9 W · 259 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8304…8526backed Yes | 3c | 720.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 128 | 5.5%7 W · 121 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe46…721cbacked Yes | 23c | 710$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 13cpaid | +216.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 29c | 677.19$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.76 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf6dc…246ebacked No | 55c | 666$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.7 | 137 | 70.1%96 W · 41 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5d…41b9backed Yes | 4c | 603.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 106 | 7.5%8 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fd…4959backed Yes | 16c | 600$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97bc…30cdbacked Yes | 28c | 554.34$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 67 | 23.9%16 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e1…f503backed Yes | 27c | 503.39$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.47 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 32cpaid | +148.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 14c | 496.55$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.74 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…792bbacked Yes | 5c | 492.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed No | 79c | 465.06$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.21 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff7…85d9backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56cf…6169backed Yes | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc9…24dcbacked Yes | 12c | 379.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked No | 78c | 308$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.29 | 262 | 74.4%195 W · 67 L | +45.7wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc80b…4d0bbacked Yes | 5c | 301.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…51e0backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 140 | 19.3%27 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xace5…4457backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4f…f1e0backed No | 71c | 295.77$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.77 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8df9…468cbacked Yes | 29c | 280.38$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…3248backed Yes | 18c | 270$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.73 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +111.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 10c | 244.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3761…bb47backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 15.2%10 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47b0…3b60backed Yes | 30c | 203.32$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34d6…df14backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a02…e4eabacked No | 50c | 198.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…20f7backed No | 78c | 192.31$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 100 | 67%67 W · 33 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x989c…69f4backed No | 69c | 190$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 73 | 30.1%22 W · 51 L | -18.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xd55d…7484backed Yes | 42c | 180$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…026dbacked No | 58c | 150$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe52d…3728backed No | 58c | 130$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6379…55e4backed No | 67c | 130$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0066…394fbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…d67cbacked Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c24…d6c3backed Yes | 12c | 99.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc636…074dbacked Yes | 17c | 94.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59f6…2f2ebacked No | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14d7…a718backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Yes | 22c | 74.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…6367backed No | 67c | 67.06$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd050…be7abacked Yes | 25c | 47.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd68b…7e7dbacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…59b2backed No | 70c | 38.92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9695…4fe4backed Yes | 53c | 37.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd7…49f5backed No | 75c | 37.81$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06b6…1332backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x415a…7acbbacked No | 78c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.04 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 February 2-8?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 2-8?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 February 2-8?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 February 2-8?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 February 2-8?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 February 2-8?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 February 2-8?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 February 2-8?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 February 2-8?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 February 2-8?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 February 2-8?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 February 2-8?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 February 2-8?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.