Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 February 2-8?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f0765c833950dc5e94f639c3c7b242890852562c401f4a5e1d2a71edb971450
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $348,274
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $367,737
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $348,274 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3323…2d56backed No | 0c | 88,000$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff26…9f77backed No | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cde…b97dbacked No | 67c | 18,221$12,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,185.37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…22d8backed Yes | 49c | 11,561$5,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,894.58 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +7.0wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked Yes | 53c | 10,008$5,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,721.34 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5059…b7b5backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 24c | 10,000$2,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,433.85 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e810backed Yes | 36c | 9,378$3,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,959.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +174.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe598…a0a8backed No | 27c | 6,206$1,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,648.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 45c | 4,450$2,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,444.62 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 45c | 4,251$1,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,358.3 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 45c | 4,017$1,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,211.51 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 60c | 3,786$2,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,260 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd14…1c17backed Yes | 56c | 3,607$2,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.02 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…a577backed Yes | 8c | 3,517$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,237.34 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +7.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +241.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf673…68ecbacked No | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7e7cbacked No | 44c | 1,935$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.8 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 53c | 1,929$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.87 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ed…d936backed No | 24c | 1,825$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.57 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2621…8366backed Yes | 76c | 1,728$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…1960backed Yes | 50c | 1,611$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.44 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6a…2dcfbacked Yes | 46c | 1,530$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 52c | 1,399$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.81 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc241…1487backed Yes | 9c | 1,325$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.25 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +7.0wins | +0.24per pick | 28cpaid | +122.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b5…85efbacked Yes | 40c | 1,258$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d4…64aebacked Yes | 59c | 1,120$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.25 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5c…6c0fbacked No | 28c | 1,100$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b7…924dbacked Yes | 28c | 1,084$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +141.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dba…b54dbacked Yes | 48c | 1,065$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.55 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.31per pick | 30cpaid | +562.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc1…ea30backed No | 24c | 995.86$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.74 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad1f…6c61backed Yes | 35c | 857.14$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.14 | 121 | 29.8%36 W · 85 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Yes | 54c | 814.68$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.75 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 9c | 704.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.15 | 241 | 7.1%17 W · 224 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b1…1bf0backed No | 71c | 660.87$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17a4…b29abacked No | 62c | 606.49$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b06…1088backed No | 40c | 539.09$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.01 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -66%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07cf…a9fabacked Yes | 75c | 502.12$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2615…c16dbacked No | 28c | 500.57$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -8.8wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e1…f503backed Yes | 9c | 492.39$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.31 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 32cpaid | +148.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 65c | 464.6$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.96 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1dd…a272backed No | 59c | 463.24$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.04 | 117 | 26.5%31 W · 86 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x989c…69f4backed No | 56c | 448.96$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.43 | 73 | 30.1%22 W · 51 L | -18.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…270cbacked Yes | 13c | 391.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.08 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +262.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x12b2…dbfdbacked Yes | 76c | 387.38$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.2 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5d…41b9backed Yes | 8c | 342.85$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.98 | 106 | 7.5%8 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 31c | 331.36$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.37 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…8003backed Yes | 27c | 308$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.79 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd27…b1dbbacked Yes | 8c | 300$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.25 | 137 | 5.8%8 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a5…83dbbacked Yes | 24c | 300$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +6.4wins | +0.18per pick | 24cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 13c | 300$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8304…8526backed Yes | 8c | 300$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.25 | 128 | 5.5%7 W · 121 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 8c | 299.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.34 | 268 | 3.4%9 W · 259 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x475a…af91backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.60per pick | 7cpaid | +931.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc12a…dc73backed No | 37c | 268$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.16 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0066…394fbacked No | 62c | 261$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.42 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8586…1316backed Yes | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +126.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f43…a080backed No | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…308bbacked Yes | 46c | 209.61$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.19 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 9c | 205.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.15 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…13bfbacked Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 181 | 62.4%113 W · 68 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb60e…3574backed No | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa956…666fbacked Yes | 75c | 194.46$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 10c | 193.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.2 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0439…3f80backed Yes | 17c | 187.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +488.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3403…411ebacked No | 49c | 183.67$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01e7…d932backed Yes | 64c | 182.94$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.86 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +110.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb09a…7fc7backed Yes | 33c | 180.56$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.56 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +237.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc887…869bbacked No | 29c | 170$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ee…04c2backed Yes | 11c | 169.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.49 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.20per pick | 17cpaid | +119.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 66c | 151.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.27 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +7.8wins | +0.22per pick | 23cpaid | +177.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x71fe…6a3abacked Yes | 79c | 127.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.15 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Yes | 47c | 123.73$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.94 | 262 | 74.4%195 W · 67 L | +45.7wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x70a9…d647backed Yes | 11c | 118.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +809.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…afb4backed Yes | 26c | 117.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 16cpaid | +201.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x784a…7904backed Yes | 60c | 107.92$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +59%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 44c | 102.32$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.68 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +22.9wins | +0.22per pick | 24cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -62%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb4…7e8dbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +900%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8f…0734backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37ed…9f94backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0688…7a12backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd050…be7abacked No | 50c | 97.05$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75ea…1616backed Yes | 44c | 93.71$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.71 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb17…2ae4backed Yes | 65c | 93$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +77%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4043…19cfbacked Yes | 79c | 90$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1f…3537backed Yes | 79c | 80$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76cd…446abacked Yes | 53c | 75.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +60%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9112…7797backed Yes | 65c | 74.32$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb745…981ebacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…de81backed Yes | 52c | 74$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.27 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fd…f553backed No | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb7…93c7backed No | 37c | 68.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb79…a9a5backed Yes | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed No | 75c | 62$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.3 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce42…b9a9backed Yes | 41c | 60.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6374…891fbacked Yes | 74c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.31 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1505…a5e8backed No | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5379…a031backed Yes | 41c | 58.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.77 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +11.7wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 February 2-8?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 2-8?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 February 2-8?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 February 2-8?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 February 2-8?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 February 2-8?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 February 2-8?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 February 2-8?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 February 2-8?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 February 2-8?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 February 2-8?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 February 2-8?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 February 2-8?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.